The support for Nader is well down, and I have seen evidence that the left that occasionally or usually sits out or votes 3rd party is with the Democrats. Combine them with the Muslim vote, and it does not surprise me to see a net wash.
Thanks, it will be interesting to see if these lefties actually vote, or if there numbers are concentrated in States that Kerry would win any way. With the exception of Michigan with the Muslims, aren't most of these votes in major metropolitan areas? Wisconsin, which had a huge Nader vote (and a Buchanan vote that was higher than the margin of Gores win), seems to have Bush in the lead.