Posted on 09/27/2004 11:45:04 AM PDT by Cableguy
Just talked to a senior Republican in Washington. The USA Today/CNN/Gallup poll should be out shortly - Bush up 53-42 among registered, 52-44 among likely voters.
UPDATE: This source doesn't know about the ABC/Washington Post poll that is supposed to be out later today. Overall thoughts from this GOP source: Most of non-public polls are showing Bush up five or six points. He is telling every Bush supporter who will listen not to get complacent - this lead could shrink quickly, although he is reassured that once you throw out most of the odd outliers (Bush up a lot, or Kerry up a bit) the lead has been pretty steady since the convention. Still, he adds, Bush campaign knows "to campaign like they're five points down."
LOL, will love to show that headline to some of my in-laws neighbors in Memphis. The street they live on is apparently infested with a bunch of liberal profs from nearby Rhodes College. There must be more hanoi john yard signs on that street than in all of Memphis.
This is exactly what two GOP sources have told me - One works in MI the other works in NV -
They say we are up right now around 3 to 5pts -
Exactly my sentiment -- keep the total votes for Bush high enough that they can't cheat.
Today Rush was optimistic about the coming election going to Bush, but the one point that worries him is the fraud taking place in Ohio, Florida, and other locations (don't forget NM either!). 
Is there any particular reason why you pull actual news articles on this poll in favor of a blog's report of leaked numbers which are rumored to come out later?
I really would appreciate some kind of response, because I see this happening all the time.
Thanks!
The figures have been confirmed. They were posted on a later thread that has been pulled by overzealous mods.
The spread among registered voters actually slightly larger 54 - 41 (whatever that means). For once Reuters zooming in on likely voters. Surprise (not).
53-42 RV 52-44 LV 0-100 FV
FV fradulent voters include Cemetery Voters (CV), multiple voters (MV) and illegal voters (IV).
...It's like sitting in a rocking chair: It gives you something to do, but gets you no where
Absolutely cannot become complacent. You know the libs and the MSM will pull out all of the stops this time, especially the last three days, right up to election night. You also have to know they're going to do everything they can to make sure people who are not eligible to vote get to vote, and you know they'll try to phony up votes, as they did in Florida back in 2000.
If her 18th birthday falls on or before election day, then she can submit a registration form up until Oct 4th (the deadline to register). Otherwise, she has to wait until after the election.
Does this poll include the dead people that the dumb-o-crats count as votes for them?
yeah - -they will look at them - and then they will cling to the idea in CNN's headline on the poll:
Bush Lead Narrows in CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll
.....If the Bush lead is larger for "registered" than for "likely" then there are Bush folks out there who've decided not to bother voting. Don't get complacement, people. It doesn't count unless you actually vote and we've got dead people and furners to outvote.....
As I am led to believe, the pollsters determine whether a respondent is a likely voter by asking a series of question not specifically related to the respondent's candidate preference. I surmise that the questions go to the issue of how fired up he is, how determined to get to the polls he is no matter what the obstacle.
My sense is that the Kerry/Edwards voter is more emotionally invested in this election than the Bush voter. This is reflected in his typical answer to the likely voter questions. Therefore, you see better numbers for Kerry in the likely voter count.
And it makes sense to some degree. At considerable risk to alienating moderate voters, the Kerry campaign has said many reckless things intended to fire up its "base." It is fired up and armed for bear. We cannot be complacent.
The biggest risk to the Bush campaign at this moment is turn-out. The Left will turn out in force, one can count on that. We need to bring out our vote as well or the current lead in the polls will mean nothing on election day.
You don't deserve it.
Correct. Last time they tried to win by changing the definition of a legal vote; who knows what assault upon our republic they have in mind this time.
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