Posted on 09/27/2004 11:45:04 AM PDT by Cableguy
Just talked to a senior Republican in Washington. The USA Today/CNN/Gallup poll should be out shortly - Bush up 53-42 among registered, 52-44 among likely voters.
UPDATE: This source doesn't know about the ABC/Washington Post poll that is supposed to be out later today. Overall thoughts from this GOP source: Most of non-public polls are showing Bush up five or six points. He is telling every Bush supporter who will listen not to get complacent - this lead could shrink quickly, although he is reassured that once you throw out most of the odd outliers (Bush up a lot, or Kerry up a bit) the lead has been pretty steady since the convention. Still, he adds, Bush campaign knows "to campaign like they're five points down."
COOOOLLL
Sure this isn't backwards - usually the bigger spread is among likely voters...
At any rate, DUmmies are ripping violin music in droves...
Wow!!!!!!!!
MSMs are furiously working on some spin :)
Let's hope this is accurate.
Love reading this. There seem to be a lot of polls showing Kerry at around 42 and Bush around 50. Last time it was 14 points now it is now. That is probably statistical noise rather that an erosion.
Gallup now has more Republicans and Democrats in their sample. So Likely is smaller margin than Registered.
I imagine USA Today and CNN are "deeply saddened" to be associated with these poll results.
Anticipated headline from CNN:
"Bush plunges by 6% in latest Gallup Poll!"
On CNN, they really play up the registered voter numbers since Kerry usually does better in them. I wonder if they'll do that now that Bush is up bigger in RV than LV?
I've been waiting for some polls this week since Kerry's new stance on Iraq last week......sorry Kerry, it didn't work.
Does this poll include the Holsteins Kerry talked to in Wisconsin?
late undecided voters will break for GW, not kerry.
the President will win by 11-14 points.
Good to hear that. I thought Bush let up a little at the end in 2000, and that let the DUI story take hold.
Uh-oh. Time for a 'Kerry Camp Shakeup'. Maybe more Clintoon people might help. OK, maybe no more attack and more passive trying to shore up the gay crowd. If Kerry did his next speech with candy passifyer and glow sticks he could get the rave crowd. I don't know. Things are looking rough for the Kerry folks.
Irrelevant. How is he doing among fraudulent voters?
It's beginning to look like the spread is not just a bounce. I can't help but think the debates will change these numbers-for better or for worse. They will definitely be Kerry's last chance to actually articulate a position.
Nah. I say more soccer and touch football.
I'm going to have to do some research to find out when the last time a Presidential candidate secured less than 40% of the vote. Kerry will not score even 40% -- that's my prediction, anyway.
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