Sure this isn't backwards - usually the bigger spread is among likely voters...
At any rate, DUmmies are ripping violin music in droves...
Gallup now has more Republicans and Democrats in their sample. So Likely is smaller margin than Registered.
Will someone please post this over at DU so I can watch the convulsions? They don't know about this pole and are still debating how Bush will "rig the handshake" at Thursday's debate. Glad they are focussed on the really important issues.
If the Bush lead is larger for "registered" than for "likely" then there are Bush folks out there who've decided not to bother voting. Don't get complacement, people. It doesn't count unless you actually vote and we've got dead people and furners to outvote.
Dear Rutles4Ever,
"Sure this isn't backwards - usually the bigger spread is among likely voters... "
I think it's Dales who has theorized this may be a result of an increase in voting preference for Mr. Bush by two groups that have low turn-out records: younger voters, and blacks.
I've seen a few polls to suggest that perhaps instead of getting around 10% of blacks, Mr. Bush may be getting more like 25%, give or take. I've also seen a few that suggest that Mr. Kerry's get out the youth vote drive may be a little counterproductive, as these polls have shown younger folks going toward Bush.
It's tough to say at this point that these two phenomena are real, but here's hoping.
sitetest
Got a link? Most of the DU threads I've looked at are about a river in Egypt. (That's denial for those who are humour impared.)
Kerry's new drinking song (you all saw the photo of Macho Man in the bar):
We had joy, we had fun,
We had seasons in the sun
But the stars we could reach
Were just starfish on the beach.
We had joy, we had fun,
We had seasons in the sun
My campaign, I did find
Was just windmills in my mind.
Kerry Spot says people have been emailing him about the numbers being reversed. He says this is what he was told but to wait until the results are published.
see:
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/2004-09-17-gallup-poll.htm
The LV has been higher than RV in at least the last 2 Gallup polls.
Suicide watch in DU land...
how sweet it is.
Now, euphoria is over..
get back to work..
go like we're 5 pts down!!