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Bill Straub: Being the ‘most conservative’ in a crowded field could work to Paul’s advantage
Kentucky Forward ^ | January 22, 2015 | Bill Straub

Posted on 01/22/2015 7:44:59 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

One thing you can say about Sen. Rand Paul’s burgeoning presidential campaign – he’s not scaring anybody out of the race.

The Republican National Committee reports that the 2016 primary field has mushroomed to about 25 legitimate contenders — the size of a major league baseball roster — and growing, which certainly could make for an interesting party debate where you quite literally won’t be able to tell the players without a scorecard.

Despite the RNC’s claims of legitimacy there are a few apples in the barrel who have about as much chance of moving into the Oval Office two years hence as Christian Laettner has of being elected mayor of Lexington. How many times, for instance, is the American public supposed to put up with the likes of Rick Santorum?

But there are some heavy hitters in the bunch. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, you may have heard that name associated with the White House in the past, disrupted the field early on by announcing his intention to “explore’’ the possibility of a candidacy, which is like Christopher Columbus saying he’s building the Nina, Pinta and Santa Maria to explore the possibility of a new route to India – once you’ve made the investment, you’re in.

The plot grew even thicker earlier this month when Mitt Romney, who fell short by a mere 5 million votes when he challenged President Obama in 2012, made it known that he is willing to once again enter the breach for the good of the nation, leaving at least 47 percent of the nation wondering how in the world we ever got along without him.

And there are other interesting names. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, is the darling of the Tea Party if not his fellow GOP lawmakers. Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker has both Tea Party and establishment support, but he’s about as exciting as soggy tofu. And Dr. Ben Carson, a neurosurgeon who stands out because he has no political record to vilify, said nasty things about the administration’s record in the president’s presence and is an African-American in an otherwise all white field.

In other words, the nation could be in for either the political equivalent of the Charge up San Juan Hill or the Charge of the Light Brigade, all according to how things turn out in November 2016.

It’s unlikely 25 individuals will make it to the starting gate but even a dozen or so in the Iowa caucuses or the New Hampshire primary could ultimately skew the outcome. It’s possible that a huge field consisting of big-name, well-financed candidates will result in a contender capturing a state with something like 10 percent of the vote. A candidate with views far outside the mainstream but with a loyal contingent of starry-eyed supporters will undoubtedly benefit from such a crowded ballot.

All of which presents the presumed candidates with a challenge — how does one separate himself from the mob while simultaneously leaving enough elbow room to attract sufficient support in the general election?

That’s a mountain Paul, the Republican from Bowling Green, has to climb. He has made small steps toward broadening the base, observing that the nation’s drug laws are ridiculous and have proved particularly devastating to the African-American community, illegal immigrants shouldn’t be forced off the cliff like so many lemmings and that his party should take steps to make it more attractive to individuals of all styles, creeds and colors. But how far is too far to satisfy GOP voters and when is not enough for the general election?

Paul could also look to attract support from isolationists who don’t find it necessary to send in thousands of U.S. troops every time a dictator sneezes, although it’s fair to say he has taken a more militant view on foreign affairs than he appeared to embrace during his successful 2010 Senate campaign. Still, compared to potential foes like Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-SC, Paul could easily be mistaken for Mohandas K. Gandhi.

Paul is further distinguished, or extinguished according to your point of view, by another factor – his record. Crowdpac, a relatively new website created by researchers at Stanford University to categorize candidates based on criteria such as voting history, speech content and money contributors, recently concluded that Paul is the most conservative candidate in the crowded field, which is akin to saying Mt. Everest is the tallest mountain in the Himalayas.

That distinction could very well help Paul in the primaries, which are controlled by voters so far to the right that they’re falling off the page. Iowa, which officially kicks off the campaign season on Feb. 1, 2016, is recognized as possessing a GOP constituency with a particular fondness for those on the right.

So being the most conservative candidate in a field overflowing with Tories could work to Paul’s advantage – in the primaries. Whether it offers any help in the general election is another matter altogether.

The late Sen. Henry M. “Scoop’’ Jackson, D-Washington, a revered figure in the Capitol who twice sought the Democratic presidential nomination in the 1970s, often made it clear, “I may be a liberal but I’m not a damn fool.’’ His reputation for being the most conservative candidate could place Paul in that damn fool category after the GOP has made its choice.

And there exists evidence that Paul could trip over his own two feet in expressing his conservative views when given the opportunity. During a recent appearance in New Hampshire (lord knows what he was doing there) he blistered the disability portion of the Social Security system:

“Over half the people on disability are either anxious or their back hurts. Join the club. Who doesn’t get up a little anxious for work every day and their back hurts? Everyone over 40 has a back pain.”

The comment plays into the narrative that Republicans, conservatives in particular, believe that the population of the United States consists of a bunch of pikers searching for ways to live off the dole. It displays a willful ignorance of the effects of depression and similar maladies on some unfortunate members of the workforce, as well as individuals unable to continue performing heavy labor because of physical defects.

Romney, who most observers will acknowledge isn’t as conservative as Paul, lost points, and perhaps the election in 2012, after being heard complaining that 47 percent of the nation’s voters essentially wouldn’t vote for him because they were looking for a free ride that he refused to provide. Statements like the one regarding disability payments may not hurt him in the primary, but they can come back to haunt in the general.

Paul has a real shot at the Republican nomination. What then?


TOPICS: Kentucky; Campaign News; Issues; Parties
KEYWORDS: bush; randpaul; romney; tedcruz
What a Laff Riot!
1 posted on 01/22/2015 7:44:59 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

(hoping libtards see this)

2 posted on 01/22/2015 7:47:06 AM PST by Doogle (( USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Randy is just like Milt Romley... he can say anything you want him to say, be anything you want him to be.


3 posted on 01/22/2015 7:47:39 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (Offend a Christian and he is obliged to pray for you. Offend a Muslim and he is obliged to kill you.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Bwhahahaha! You have to be a conservative first, before you can aspire to be the “most conservative”.


4 posted on 01/22/2015 7:48:39 AM PST by Boogieman
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Most conservative? That is an utter lie.

This is an object lesson on how mendacious the media is. They believe they can print any falsehood with impunity because no one will call them on it.

5 posted on 01/22/2015 7:50:46 AM PST by Dr. Thorne ("Don't be afraid. Just believe." - Mark 5:36)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Being the loosest cannon on the gun deck makes one the likeliest to go overboard.


6 posted on 01/22/2015 7:52:49 AM PST by Paladin2
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Despite all the rhetoric, Rand Paul IS NOT going to be the GOP nominee. Don’t forget, the seed doesn’t fall far from the tree.


7 posted on 01/22/2015 8:01:16 AM PST by Old Retired Army Guy
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

NOTE TO BILL STRAUB: Rand Paul is not the most conservative, nor is he even in the top 10! Maybe you should ask the electorate what we mean by conservative.


8 posted on 01/22/2015 8:02:06 AM PST by Shery (Pray for righteousness to be restored and for the peace of Jerusalem.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Rand reminds me so much of Mitt Romney, he can “evolve” instantly and frequently.

CNN:
BLITZER: So, just to be precise, if you believe life begins at conception, which I suspect you do believe that, you would have no exceptions for rape, incest, the life of the mother, is that right?

PAUL: Well, I think that once again puts things in too small of a box. What I would say is that there are thousands of exceptions. You know, I’m a physician and every individual case is going to be different, and everything is going to be particular to that individual case and what’s going on with that mother and the medical circumstances of that mother.

I would say that after birth, you know, we’ve decided that when life begins, we have decided that we don’t have exceptions for one- day-old or six-month-olds. We don’t ask where they came from or how they came into being, but it is more complicated because the rest of it depends on the definition of when life comes in. So, I don’t think it’s a simple as checking box and saying exceptions or no exceptions.

And there are a lot of decisions that are made privately by families and their doctors that really won’t — the law won’t apply to, but I think it’s important that we not be flippant one way or the other and pigeon hole and say, oh, this person doesn’t believe in any sort of discussion between family. And so, I don’t know if there’s a simple way to put me in a category on any of that.

BLITZER: Well, it sounds like you believe in some exceptions.

PAUL: Well, there’s going to be, like I say, thousands of extraneous situations where the life of the mother is involved and other things that are involved.

So, I would say that each individual case would have to be addressed and even if there were eventually a change in the law, let’s say, the people came more to my way of thinking, it’s still be a lot of complicated things that the law may not ultimately be able to address in the early stages of pregnancy that would have to be part of what occurs between the physician and the woman and the family.


9 posted on 01/22/2015 8:16:09 AM PST by ansel12 (Civilization, Crusade against the Mohammedan Death Cult.)
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To: Doogle

Liberaltarians are out of touch.


10 posted on 01/22/2015 8:23:45 AM PST by SaraJohnson
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To: Shery

Maybe you should ask the electorate what we mean by conservative.

***
Silly voter! What makes you think the media elite care about what we peasants think?


11 posted on 01/22/2015 8:36:34 AM PST by Bigg Red (Let's put the ship of state on Cruz Control with Ted Cruz.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The left know he’s a wacko and this is their attempt to paint conservatives with the wacko brush.


12 posted on 01/22/2015 8:40:32 AM PST by BubbaBasher ("Liberty will not long survive the total extinction of morals" - Sam Adams)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I just realized what Graham could be doing in the race: acting as a ‘favorite son’ spoiler to the conservative frontrunner in SC.

NH, especially, favors the chosen RINO/GOPe candidate, and Iowa can fall for an Evangelist RINO/GOPe, such as Huck. SC is the best hope for a conservative, and if Graham can take that away that’s a significant blocking move to the advantage of the Establishment candidate.


13 posted on 01/22/2015 9:27:01 AM PST by 9YearLurker
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To: Boogieman

Well now, you know he just might be the most conservative..................... in his family.


14 posted on 01/22/2015 11:11:52 AM PST by Mastador1 (I'll take a bad dog over a good politician any day!)
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To: 9YearLurker

My worst fears:

Iowa — Huckster
NH — Mittster
SC — mrs. Graham


15 posted on 01/22/2015 10:05:44 PM PST by entropy12 (Dumb and Dumber to borrow money from China to protect oil flow to China from middle-east.)
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To: entropy12

Yep—a GOPe dream.


16 posted on 01/23/2015 4:07:23 AM PST by 9YearLurker
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