Posted on 09/24/2003 7:32:16 AM PDT by areafiftyone
No weapons of mass destruction have been found in Iraq by the group tasked with looking for them, according to a Bush administration source who has spoken to the BBC's Daily Politics. The programme's presenter Andrew Neil says this is the conclusion of the Iraq Survey Group's interim report, due to be published next month.
Mr Neil said the report is also set to say it was highly unlikely that weapons were shipped out of the country before the US-led war on Iraq.
He said it will also claim that Saddam Hussein mounted a huge programme to deceive and hinder the work of US weapons inspectors.
Mr Neil, a former editor of the Sunday Times, stressed the Daily Politics had not seen the draft report, and was reporting what a single source had said its findings were likely to be. The bottom line is that the team has found no weapons of mass destruction
Former Tory Cabinet minister Michael Portillo said if these details of the report were true, it would be a "savage blow" to the prime minister.
But Downing Street and the CIA have refused to comment until the report is published.
The Iraq Survey Group took over the job of finding WMD from the US military in June.
The ISG is a largely US operation - headed by a US general although it includes some British and Australian staff.
Its 1,400 personnel are made up of many former UN weapons inspectors and its work is shrouded in secrecy.
'Under pressure'
Its focus is intelligence, using documents and interviews with Iraqi scientists to build up a picture of the secret world of Iraq's weapons programmes.
The Iraq Survey Group has been under a good deal of pressure to prove the Bush administration's case that Iraq's weapons posed a significant threat.
Gary Samor, of the international institute for strategic studies in London told the BBC that "it would have been far better to have asked the UN inspection teams back into Iraq after the war to complete their work".
"Their ranks could have been bolstered in any number of ways."
In his view, whatever the Iraq Survey Group comes up with, their evidence is going to have to contend with a huge degree of international scepticism.
So either Saddam did have WMDs to hide, or Saddam was, in effect, framing himself for the crime of having WMDs. In either case, isn't it clear that Saddam is to blame for any WMD confusion?
And exactly what gassed and killed entire Kurdistan towns? There are a whole lot of critical issues to be explained away if one is to make the case that Iraq had no WMD's. Just from an intellectually honest approach, one cannot go much past the conclusion that Iraq still has them either buried somewhere or at the bottom of the ocean.
They will turn up. Most likely right after Bush is defeated in 2004. Much like the hostages being released by Iran right after Carter was run out of town.
Saddam did want people to think he had a program still going though. Why? Machismo. Seriously.
He could not admit that he was terrified of the reprisals if he got caught with WMD, so he stopped the program, focused on domestically terrorizing his opponents, and tried to run a trick play.
Basically, think of a football game with a fake hand off, where everybody knows where the ball was handed to, but it really wasn't.
He lost his regime because he didn't want to lose face. He heard Powell quietly in Egypt saying in 2001, that they knew Saddam had disarmed. He kept playing coy. It was a suicidal game, and he lost. He had crap.
It would be like challenging somebody bigger, stronger to a fight, claiming you had a gun. There was no gun though. You thought that they wouldn't know for sure if there was a gun, and that would buy you time, as well as impress your friends. Oops.
It was a massive intelligence failure for us to not know that he was lying. Our big problem was the dissident crowd. They frankly lied their asses off to us. They wanted Saddam out, knew he shelved his program, and that presented a problem. If they told us honestly that Saddam was not making WMDs, it would mean that we wouldn't do anything. We were told what we wanted to hear. We had people in the CIA who were telling the admin exactly what I am saying. It is all bluster, Saddam is toothless. The admin rejected those opinions.
Saddam is evil, and he is gone, but he has gotten his revenge on the Bush family in a twisted way, by being disarmed of WMDs.
-Bill Clinton, on Larry King Live
Again, listen to the scientists who are now free. They unanimously say that the program was basically shuttered in 1991 after President Bush I pounded the snot out of Saddam.
Saddam didn't want to admit he was intimidated. He publically denied the program truthfully, but winked as he said it. We believed the wink. Clinton did, and Bush did as well. Our great source of info on this was dissidents who wanted us to go the full monty and take Saddam out. We have dozens of them rounded up, debriefed by our intelligence who said, "Oh yes, they are producing everything. Smallpox, anthrax, nukes, you name it". Clinton believed them. Bush believed them.
I believed in the tooth fairy too, because I wanted the money to keep flowing. Ask all these Bush and Clinton officials about their "proof" of the program going, and I guarantee that 90% of it was supplied by dissidents.
The free scientists speak for themselves. They basically stopped in 1991. If you believe that not one person in the entire program, including the building secretary, file clerk, janitor has not cracked by now, even though they know where the WMDs are, you should reconsider that fact.
The Iraqi who shows us one chemical weapon, becomes a very wealthy person on the spot.
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