Hurricane Isabel:Live Thread #2 "Force Ten Conditions In North Carolina And Further North"

NHC | 9-17-03 | My Favorite Headache

[My Favorite Headache]

Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 48

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 17, 2003

...Outer bands of Hurricane Isabel moving onshore...weather should gradually worsen...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within 24 hours.

All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane Warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to South Santee River South Carolina...and north of Chincoteague to Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point northward...and for the tidal Potomac.

At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 31.9 north... longitude 73.9 west or about 250 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.

Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph. A turn to the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected prior to landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Isabel is expected to make landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day Thursday. However...conditions will deteriorate over a large area well before the center reaches the coast. Tropical storm conditions are already spreading across the coastline.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...with higher gusts. A slight increase in strength is possible prior to landfall.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 315 miles. A buoy located west of the hurricane recently reported wind gusts to 74 mph and 32 foot waves.

An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 956 mb...28.23 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels... along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent rivers.

Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.

There is a threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia on Thursday.

Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...31.9 N... 73.9 W. Movement toward...north-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 956 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.

Forecaster Avila

[Howlin]

I don't quit know what to think here; he's only 42.

[Howlin]

Er.....quite. (Not a MS keyboard!)

No, K, I don't want you to stay up with me.....I should go to bed because these children get up early!

[Fawnn]

They think my son-in-law might have had a heart attack. :-(

Prayers lifted for your son-in-law!

[Howlin]

Thank you both.

[AFPhys]

Ahh... shooot ... my description of how to get there was a bit too terse.

NHC.NOAA.gov --> Satellite Imagery --> GOES Storm Floater 2 --> Water Vapor Image

[kayak]

When my hubby was not much older than that he woke up one night with chest pains. I called an ambulance and he was taken to the ER. This was at our small rural county hospital .... the doctor there said hubby had had a heart attack and admitted him to CCU. I spent nearly 24 hours in that place before someone finally told me that he hadn't. They kept him for a few days and ran a gazillion tests and never found a thing. When hubby went to our regular doctor afterwards, he speculated that perhaps there was an infection in the lining around the heart that caused the pain. Hubby has never had any problems since then.

[Free Trapper]

You have my prayers too.God be with you all.

[kayak]

See Howlin's #2077

[AFPhys]

There is now very dry air over the coast of NC where this storm hit. I'm surprised at how quickly that happened.

Ah ... I am able to get this link into FR now. For some reason I couldn't copy the URL when I tried earlier.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT2/WV/20.jpg

[kayak]

I've experienced several hurricanes when the next day was startlingly clear and the sky nearly a Colorado blue ...... effects generally caused by dry air and not often seen in coastal NC. It's almost surreal to view the havoc of a storm under such conditions and to recall what the day (or night) before was like.

[pops88]

Howlin, prayers with your son-in-law. I was remembering being in the hurricane on the Outer Banks as a teen. I realized that was the year my grandfather had a heart attack a day or so later. The stress of knowing his only son and 4 grand daughters were on vactaion in the storm was probably too stressful :(

[MEG33]

Oh.Howlin,hoping and praying your son in law will be well.

[bd476]

Prayers for your son-in law and hugs to you Howlin. Please let us know. God Bless you and your family. Sending positive thoughts along, too.

[Knute]

Daughter is a unique young lady. A "computer nerd" with a social life. As she pursues her PhD in Educational Technology, she works part-time for a government funded research center dealing with the NSA and the NRO (many military ties), yet would consider herself a liberal. (She jumped on the Edwards bandwagon months ago).
We tried to instill healthy respect for one's surroundings without a sense of outright fear. She is always ready to be adventurous, but prepares for the contingencies.

[Unknown Freeper]

Hoping everyone is safe and has power now bump

[putupon]

Look at the scoreboard, my man

yeah, yeah. whatever. your team looks pretty solid, I must admit.

The other Hurricanes will have to take ya'll series this year,
as will The University.

See you on 11-29!

[Mo1]

Oh wow .. sending prayers right away

[Mo1]

My experience with a tornado is that it sounds like a loud and very low deep grinding noise and oscillates as when someone is using a saw on a tree

It kind of sounded like a very low flying plane or something like that.

[Jackie-O]

Praying for your son-in-law, Howl!

[Carolinamom]

Prayers and more prayers for your s-i-l. When you can, please give us an update.