Posted on 12/08/2024 6:42:44 AM PST by Twotone
THE DAMAGE BIDEN HAS DONE. Joe Biden will be president for the next 47 days. That’s enough to make anyone nervous. The 82-year-old president had to be forced, by his own party, to withdraw from the 2024 race because he is no longer mentally and physically up to the job. But, of course, he is still in the job. With a world full of dangerous conflicts, that Biden is in charge for 47 more days, especially with Vice President Kamala Harris in a deep post-defeat funk, is deeply worrisome.
The immediate problem will end on Jan. 20, 2025, when Biden leaves office. But the United States, and the Democratic Party, will be dealing with the damage Biden leaves behind for years. There is a reason voters, for 40 years, were never interested in electing the openly ambitious Biden president of the U.S. — until the bizarre circumstances of the 2020 election. They knew for decades that he would not be a good president. And he has proven them right.
Leave the damage Biden has done to the U.S. — the massive migrant influx, the decline in the standard of living for millions of people, and the chaos abroad — for another day. Right now, a new analysis shows the damage Biden has done to his party, and it is immense.
Exit polls show that in the 2024 presidential election, 35% of voters identified as Republicans, while 34% identified as independents, and 31% identified as Democrats. In addition to a big jump in the number of self-identified independents, the news is that in 2024, Democrats slipped to third place in party ID.
“For the first time since the Watergate era, independents surpassed one of the major political parties to rank second in terms of party identification,” writes Republican pollster David Winston, who has just finished an in-depth study of the election results. “In this presidential election, the percentage of the electorate that self-identified as Democrats came in behind independents. … This means that, in this election, Democrats are de facto more a third party than a dominant party in the electorate.”
Because of the Democrats’ slide, Republicans had a 4-point advantage in party ID this year, 35% to 31%. According to Winston, that is the first time the GOP has had such an advantage in 10 presidential elections. Yes, 10 presidential elections.
The Democrats’ fall between 2020 and 2024 was the party’s worst performance in many years. But in terms of party identification, Democrats have been in decline since former President Barack Obama was first elected. In 2008, Democratic Party ID was 39%, a high that equaled the party’s performance in the Bill Clinton years. But in 2012, Democratic Party ID ticked down to 38%. Then, in 2016, it slipped to 36%. In 2020, it moved up a notch to 37%. And then, in 2024, it plunged to 31%. That 6-point drop was bigger even than the Republican Party’s decline in the final, disastrous years of the George W. Bush presidency.
“To provide a sense of scale of the size of this shift, a comparison of 37% of the 2020 presidential turnout to 31% of the 2024 turnout shows there were over 10 million fewer self-identified Democrats voting in this last election,” Winston writes. “Independents went the other direction, going from 27% in 2020 to 34% in 2024, which resulted in an increase in self-identified independents of about 10 million.”
What does it mean? The simplest explanation is that Biden and his fellow Democrats made the party so unattractive that millions of self-identified Democrats decided to call themselves independents instead. That doesn’t mean they won’t call themselves Democrats again in the future. But it does suggest that they were deeply unhappy with the Democratic Party in 2024. Here is how Winston addresses the issue:
The big question that emerges from this election is what happened to the Democratic Party? In the last 10 presidential elections, the Democrats made up the largest portion of the electorate in terms of party identification (being even at 37% with Republicans for first in 2004). In this election, not only was that streak broken, but Democrats fell behind independents as well — into third place. The clear question from this election is — where did those Democrats go? There are two possibilities. First, they just didn’t show up to vote, while independent turnout increased significantly. This theory would contradict the public survey data done prior to the election that said Democrats were very motivated to vote, while independents were not. The other is that many Democrats changed their party identification to independent. Either way, it shows an electorate that moved away from Democrats as a result of Biden policies and voted for change. Democrats will need to think through how to bring voters back, which is very different than forming the next version of opposition.
We know that when voters become disgusted with one party or the other, some of them stop identifying themselves as members of that party. That is what happened to Democrats over the four years of Joe Biden’s presidency. The burden of Biden’s poor performance was too great for Kamala Harris to overcome, especially since she showed no intention to move away from Biden’s record or plans to do so. The short version is: Joe Biden was a terrible president. His party paid the price. Now, they’ll have to come up with a real, not a rhetorical, way to move forward.
They have no idea how to do that.
He, or more accurately the deep state that controls him, can do a lot of damage with the time left. But they are not going to manically disappear from existence after that. They will continue. Think of Trump’s first term, but with the chaos magnified.
That was a big part of her problem, BUT there was a moment on MSM when one of the lefty hopefuls asked another "can we look at the map and see where she did better than Biden did in 2020?" Shocker!!!! Not one county in the entire US.
IMO, her BIGGEST problem is that she's an absolute moron who can't answer questions she's been posed.
News to Byron, they never existed.
bidAn has been quite accomplished in his 4 years! Should get an Emmy and an Oscar for outstanding performance as a senile drooling fool, in the role of a POTUS.
bidAn has skillfully outed the Deep State Cabal. He was the ‘Pause’ for Trump, setting Trump up for his 2025 return.
With the changes in store for the USA, there is no permanent damage from bidAn’s tenure.
Harris was abysmally dump not to realize the importance of
the question, “Would you do anything different from Biden?”
Even Democrats wanted to know.
Ive only heard one speak on the need to use the justice system not as revenge tool but as a tool to convict these law corrutp in our face breakers. We need to punish those who did all of this
The Damage the Democratic Party has done. Joe was nothing more than a puppet.
However, bad Biden was he backed party and the party backed him in all things.
Who knows what stupid thing he might have said.
“...especially with Vice President Kamala Harris in a deep post-defeat funk, is deeply worrisome.”
That implies that Harris ever contributed anything, or has anything to contribute, to running the country. My worry is that if Biden evaporates, Harris will refuse to resign and let the Speaker of the House become Pres for a few weeks.
My 90-year-old father has been faithfully voting Democrat since Adlai Stevenson. 2024 was the first time he did not vote in the presidential race. He still calls himself a Democrat but could not stomach pulling the lever for Harris.
Not even close, I'd bet. I have the 2020 data of the number of counties "won" by Biden vs the number of counties won by Obama in 2008. It makes me very sure that cheating went on. Biden is credited with winning 17% more votes while winning only 63% as many counties.
Oh, and Biden's 17% increase was while the population grew by only 9%. Yeah, right.
Biden and the cabal of his criminal cohorts tried to ruin and jail President Trump and when that failed, they tried to assassinate him. Thanks to God, thus far, they failed at that to. I hope President Trump doesn’t let them get away with any of it. It will happen again if the DC criminal cabal is allowed to escape accountability for their crimes.
History- the real kind, not what the CRT and DEI goofs offer now- gives you real look at what really happened. You can’t change the past.
History provides everything we need to know about what the democrats are and what they have always been since the election of Jackson, and they have never meant anything good for our country or our Constitutional representative form of government.
How that party managed to become such a destructive force will always amaze me, but I will always admire their cunning.
“Right now, a new analysis shows the damage Biden has done to his party, and it is immense.”
Good article for one of your Bullet Point Lists, Liz!
Recession is assured, at a minimum due to a projected drop in federal spending...the effects of which (i.e., deficits) has masked the true economic damage wrought by progressive, globalist policies.
But the damage may be constrained to segments of the economy most biased by their progressive policies, such as automakers.
The overarching questions are whether DJT can control the financial system as it reacts to the changes and, far more ominously, whether this is the trap laid by zero et al as a probable catalyst for their desired changes.
I weigh in the negative for the prior and the affirmative for the latter.
Biden is kaputsky.......so where is the VP?
We’re not paying loser Harris our hard-earned
tax dollars to go on a month-long crying jag.
She better show up....or else.
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