The MSM polls must be fraudulently (as required) fabricated as close as needed to pull off the steal.
Posted on 11/03/2024 1:17:50 AM PDT by SoConPubbie
Liberal data analyst Nate Silver believes Trump will win the election. His forecast puts Trump somewhere in the mid-50s and Harris in the mid-40s.
During a recent appearance on the Risky Business podcast, he accused pollsters of cheating and putting their fingers on the scale in order to make the race appear closer than it actually is.
He says that the race has gradually drifted to Trump over a long period of time and notes that Harris has been regularly losing ground.
The Economic Times reports:
Are pollsters playing favorites? Nate Silver says they’re ‘misleading the masses’ in 2024 Presidential race
Polling expert Nate Silver criticized other pollsters for manipulating survey results in the lead-up to the 2024 presidential election. He accused them of recycling past results to keep the race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris appearing close. Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight, called out pollsters for “herding” their numbers, specifically mentioning Emerson College in his criticism.
“I kind of trust pollsters less,” Silver said during an episode of his weekly podcast, Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova. “They all, every time a pollster [says] ‘Oh, every state is just plus-one, every single state’s a tie,’ no! You’re f–king herding! You’re cheating! You’re cheating!”
Silver’s own model shows Trump ahead of Harris, 55% to 45%, as the election nears. He expressed frustration with pollsters showing close races consistently, arguing they were trying not to stand out. He suggested, “Your numbers aren’t all going to come out at exactly one-point leads when you’re sampling 800 people over dozens of surveys. You are lying! You’re putting your f–king finger on the scale!”
Watch the video below, strong language warning:
Nate Silver to pollsters: “You’re f*cking herding. You’re cheating … Your numbers aren’t all going to come out at exactly one-point leads when you’re sampling 800 people over dozens of surveys. You are lying. You’re putting your f*cking finger on the scale.” pic.twitter.com/kowED2GiBd
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) October 31, 2024
Here’s Silver’s forecast:
Nate Silver’s 2024 election forecast:
Trump: 53.8%
Harris: 45.8% pic.twitter.com/nCSIHcHlJW— Kyle James (@KyleJamesLive) November 1, 2024
We will soon know if he is right.
I don’t like him but he’s a smart guy and knows his business probably as well as anybody does.
Fivethirtyeight doesn’t lean one way or the other with the polls and info, just gives info and facts.
Did anyone else think “hey how are Trump and harris in 4,000 states within .0000002 percent of each other?” :)
Yes, I exaggerated.
But I was waiting for breakouts that never came.
We’ll know soon enough.
I also spelled “exaggerated” wrong the first time and spell check didn’t pick it up.
Anyone have any idea why? thanks
It’s the old “Horse Race” game.
Vote like your life depends on the outcome — because it does!
Nate Silver is leftist but he is a statistician. In 2016, IIRC, he still didn’t want to say that Hillary was a sure win as his data showed that —unlike other pundits or polling outlets— there’s still a chance that Trump won.
The kind of late in campaign polling breakout that you have in mind is hard to recognize in advance because, as in 1980, it is usually not clear before the votes are counted and the candidate hated by the establishment wins. And even when individual pollsters see such a win coming, they and their sponsors tend to keep quiet because they do not want to be out on a limb if they are wrong. Polling is one of those lines of work in that you can survive and do well if you are wrong, so long as you are wrong in a way that does not anger the establishment.
From your mouth to God’s ear Nate.
Even after cheating, the 2020 race was razor thin. Kamala is doing worse with blacks and Hispanics than Biden did in 2020. Turnout in Milwaukee and Philly is a problem. Black turnout in Georgia is a problem (thus the attempt to cheat by locking out observers). How is she still either ahead or so close with Trump in most of the polls?
If Trump wins basically 54% of the national vote Tuesday evening is gonna be fun. Better buy earplugs to protect your hearing from the sound of the liberal heads exploding.
538 presented the running vote tallies that showed the huge jumps in the middle of the night for Biden when they dumped the fraudulent votes.
He is right, look what Georgia is doing AGAIN! Locking out Republican poll watchers! A democrat judge has ordered it!
The George Soros "Open Society." The Potato46/kommieLa pResidential policy of Open Borders. Do you actually believe the Puppets Potato46 or kommieLa created their Open Borders policy on their own? Of course not. Look first at the master planner George Soros for the master plan and financing (tens of his $Billions) and then at the puppeteers (Barry Soetoro, Nancy, Chuck, Bill & Hillary) who make the actual political moves such as kicking Potato46 to the curb and anointing their new "nominee" kommieLa.
Some freepers still think I'm being too paranoid and that George Soros and his son Alex don't really have any sway with Democrat politicians. Hopefully, these photos will convince you otherwise:
"It's hard to tell where the Biden administration begins and the Open Society Foundations ends," said Tom Fitton, president of the conservative Judicial Watch.
BAM. Case Closed.
I arrived in Austin, TX on May 11, 1988, from China.
I became a naturalized citizen on Nov. 18, 1994, near 30 years ago. I was sworn in the US District Court for the State of Colorado.
My husband drove me over 2 hours from Wyoming where we lived that time to show up at the… pic.twitter.com/zhoSp49Qhz— Lily Tang Williams (@Lily4Liberty) September 2, 2024
I will be borrowing my mother in law's hearing aids!
I will be on a sea day. We’re taking a cruise back home from visiting grandchildren in the UK. So, I see the final results the next day
Silver is not predicting that Trump will win 54 percent of the popular vote. He’s predicting that Trump has a 54 percent chance of winning. The article is misleading as written.
The thing that he mentions that is real is that almost every tv talking head {regardless of channel} parrots the same line, "It's too close to call" and Silver has the balls to call bullshit on them.
The cucks at FNC especially that demented doocey {he is way past his sell date} are spouting the same crap.
Tyrus, Jimmy Fallia and Gutfeld are calling it for Trump with Tyrus being the most adamant.
I believe that Trump won the 2020 election {I was a poll watcher and know what happened}, but the chicken SCOTUS would not give standing to people with real evidence.
I believe that Trump will get the most legal votes, but I don't know about the vote counters.
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