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InsiderAdvantage Pennsylvania Survey: Trump Leads by Two Points
Insider Advantage ^ | October 8, 2024 | Insider Advantage

Posted on 10/08/2024 1:47:25 PM PDT by willk

Donald Trump appears to be gaining momentum in Pennsylvania with his numbers among independent, senior, and African American voters increasing or holding steady. It appears that Harris's support from African American males is actually deteriorating a bit. This race continues to remain very close with turnout and enthusiasm remaining important. The Democrats enjoy a slight advantage with regard to enthusiasm at this point, although the gap has narrowed. Evidence of the momentum shift is provided by the narrowing in the U.S. Senate contest where Bob Casey, Jr. now leads David McCormick by just two points.

(Excerpt) Read more at insideradvantage.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2024election; election2024; joshshapiro; pennsylvania; poll; polls
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Good news from one of the more accurate pollsters in the battleground states.
1 posted on 10/08/2024 1:47:25 PM PDT by willk
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To: willk

Early votes are making this seem like a blowout. They had a million mail ins in 2020, the final batch of 300k was the NY shipment. This time they have 250k mail ins requested.


2 posted on 10/08/2024 1:49:36 PM PDT by struggle
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To: fatima; Fresh Wind; st.eqed; xsmommy; House Atreides; Nowhere Man; PaulZe; brityank; Physicist; ...

Pennsylvania Ping!

Please ping me with articles of interest.

FReepmail me to be added to the list.

3 posted on 10/08/2024 1:49:51 PM PDT by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)
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To: willk

Dem Party vote printer go burrrrrrr!


4 posted on 10/08/2024 1:52:19 PM PDT by .cnI redruM (Ukraine, Russia, Iran, and Israel all pretty much deserve one another.)
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To: willk; All

Who knows what is going to happen but the sense I’m getting from PA is similar to OH 2016 but more so FL 2020. Everyone was watching the daily returns on the ballots (R vs D) and in the end FL could have been called by 9EST. OH and FL made substantially shifts towards Trump and PA is starting to feel very similar. That’s my take but we still have to work for it. NC is the one that should concern us based on numbers (even though Trump is leading). It’s looking like GA 2020 when no one thought it should have even been close.


5 posted on 10/08/2024 1:56:07 PM PDT by wiseprince (Me)
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To: willk
The Democrats enjoy a slight advantage with regard to enthusiasm at this point.

I agree. The largest bloc of voters is female voters, especially white women (many of them happen to be childless and single).

Abortion is their most important issue. And they're excited about making history with Kamala Harris because she'll be the first female President.

6 posted on 10/08/2024 1:57:17 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Hopefully, there aren’t enough childless cat ladies to overcome the normal people.


7 posted on 10/08/2024 2:00:20 PM PDT by BuchananBrigadeTrumpFan (If in doubt, it's probably sarcasm)
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To: BuchananBrigadeTrumpFan

They’re more motivated to vote.


8 posted on 10/08/2024 2:03:08 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: wiseprince
...and in the end FL could have been called by 9EST.

True, but the media delayed making the FL call because at no time did they want to show Trump leading in the EC vote.
9 posted on 10/08/2024 2:06:57 PM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: MinorityRepublican

What I find ironic about this, is that under communism,
the state tells you everything you will do with your body,
and abortion is the least of it. They’ll sterilize you if they
want and they’ll terminate you if they want.

These know nothings are in for a real rude awakening, when
they try to protest in the streets, and throw paint at the
party’s offices. Try your temper tantrum riots. See what
it buys you.

We know that the WEF want’s fewer humans on the planet,
and these idiots are essentially volunteering as the first
to go.


10 posted on 10/08/2024 2:07:58 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (I pledge allegiance to the flag of the USofA & to the Constitutional REPUBLIC for which it stands. )
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To: MinorityRepublican

“...white women (many of them happen to be childless and single).

“Abortion is their most important issue.”

Sometimes I wonder if that’s true, or just a political big fat lie to manipulate people to jump on board. Much like polling results which mostly exist to influence.

I don’t know anyone whose most important is is abortion. I have met some women who are OK with it, but there are several more issues that are more important to them.


11 posted on 10/08/2024 2:09:22 PM PDT by MayflowerMadam (I'm voting for the convicted felon with the pierced ear. )
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To: MayflowerMadam
Sometimes I wonder if that’s true

It's true. We have the data from 2022 to prove it.

Now that 2024 is a different story. If Trump wins, it'll look more like 2016. What he needs is a decisive victory not only in the Electoral College but also with the popular vote. But that may not be possible.

12 posted on 10/08/2024 2:11:01 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: willk

13 posted on 10/08/2024 2:14:17 PM PDT by thegagline (Sic semper tyrannis! Trump & Vance, 2024! (Formerly) Goldwater & Thomas Sowell in 202)
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To: willk

Is it possible that in winning, Trump carries Sam Brown in NV and Kari Lake in AZ across the finish line?


14 posted on 10/08/2024 2:29:14 PM PDT by desertsolitaire ( Lee Harvey Oswald and the Bands final performance)
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To: Dan in Wichita

I made the call before those scoundrels. It was obvious very soon that Trump was running away with it. The whole night would have looked like Florida in a free and fair election


15 posted on 10/08/2024 2:29:41 PM PDT by wiseprince (Me)
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To: MayflowerMadam

Trump won the white woman vote 56 to 43 in 2020. He lost among the rest of women minority, spanish, others by extraordinary large margins..


16 posted on 10/08/2024 2:29:45 PM PDT by hollywood12345 (. )
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To: willk

I’m still worried about the “too close to be out of the margin of error” status of several states, which means within the margin of Dem vote stealing.

For African American vote appeal, she should put on the black makeup from the comedy Soul Man. Or Bamboozled.

Like Hillary she tried an unfamiliar phony black accent on a crowd. Learned from watching Shaft film series and Sanford and Son.

Her real accent, a whiny, nasal, schoolmarm condescending one with raised eyebrows to look intellectual, should outrage and repell all males. Not just me.


17 posted on 10/08/2024 2:30:56 PM PDT by frank ballenger (There's a battle outside and it's raging. It'll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls. )
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To: hollywood12345
Trump won the white woman vote 56 to 43 in 2020.

That was in 2020. Now it's 4 years later. More women are single. Harris is doing well with childless cat ladies.

18 posted on 10/08/2024 2:30:57 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: hollywood12345

I meant 53 to 46


19 posted on 10/08/2024 2:31:12 PM PDT by hollywood12345 (. )
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To: MinorityRepublican

Can’t Trump identify as a woman?


20 posted on 10/08/2024 2:35:32 PM PDT by VTenigma (Conspiracy theory is the new "spoiler alert")
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