Posted on 09/26/2024 3:37:22 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
There’s a good chance former President Donald Trump will need the fireworks twice-failed presidential candidate Hillary Clinton planned to use in 2016 after a new poll shows his probability of defeating Vice President Kamala Harris has risen by ten points.
A J.L. Partners election model is making a bold prediction ahead of the 2024 election. Its forecast found that Trump’s chances of securing enough votes to win in November have increased by four points since Monday and nine points since the presidential debate.
The model considered the latest poll data, years' worth of election results, and economic indicators to calculate which candidate has the best chance of securing the electoral college. It produced about 8,000 probabilities of each candidate winning a state and the probability the candidates win the Electoral College.
While the model’s results show Harris winning the popular vote, historically blue swing states all tilt toward Trump. This means he would beat Harris over 50 percent of the time in various scenarios.
The model predicted the 45th president would claim victory in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, giving him a 55.2 percent chance of winning while giving Harris only 44.6 percent.
Callum Hunter, data scientist at J.L. Partners, suggested Harris’ “honeymoon,” which she welcomed after announcing her run, is drying up.
“Things are continuing to move against Harris,” Hunter said. “While September saw her gain ground as a result of the debate and changes in ballot access, things have started to settle back to where they were at the start of September.”
(Excerpt) Read more at townhall.com ...
He won over Biden but yet ....
We all know the election has been rigged to ensure a Harris “victory”.
For those who want to see the details of the election model, go to this link:
While the race will be close, Callum predicted that if the current trend continues in Trump’s favor as it is now, the former president will take a significant lead over Harris in the next few weeks.
Anyway, for what it’s worth, For those who want to see the details of the election model, go to this link:
While the race will be close, Callum predicted that if the current trend continues in Trump’s favor as it is now, the former president will take a significant lead over Harris in the next few weeks.
From your mouth to God´s ears!!
Well, we all know they will try without question.
k everyone knows they can’t win. we need to thinking about what they’re gonna pull when they don’t.
It’s the Electoral College is what’s important.
They have the same fraud in place as in 2020 and now they have all the illegals.
“While the race will be close,”
Every race is always close, ever notice that? Matter of fact, most of the time it’s hard to tell who actually won when the dust settles.
And if there is a clear winner, damned if your team don’t start working with the other team!
This is a rigged game... and we’re the mark folks.
ok. but we have God and He knows truth of everything going on, and He will decide who to let us have as next president. He sees who is praying and staying in faith and who is caving or given up.
all the fraud etc in the world is nothing compared to what God can do. Look how many times He has pulled Israel out of various stuff they allow themselves to get caught up in.
If God so chooses, He will help the USA.
They will not let Trump occupy the White House again. Just saying.
The election is always close because when one side gets behind they “manufacture” the number of votes they need to win. Hence, the “unexplained” halt in the counting in 2020.
The dems already have millions of mail in ballots from illegals ready to go, they are just waiting to release them..so when this time the steal is beyond obvious, the left wants Trump supporters to riot, giving them a reason to jail all of us
Kamala Harris will increase the cost of energy, as Joe Biden did.
Obama 4.0
I see a very violent month in November. Being prepped is the best bet and ready for anything. A pre planned place to meet family that’s seperated and survival items.
Yep.
And we’re not allowed to bring it up or cite it as evidence.
That should tell us who is really in charge.
Trump is the best Political closer I have ever seen.
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