Of course, polls could have been wrong all along. However, that seems unlikely, given the consistency of the results in a number of polls, administered by many different polling organizations. For the Lake-Hobbs contest, the results displayed by FiveThirtyEight came from 13 different polling organizations, as shown in Figure 2. Only one (Marist) had Hobbs winning:
Figure 2: Lake-Hobbs polling organizations and results
Did 12 out of 13 companies make the same error, and in the same direction?
We see the same pattern with the senatorial contests. Figure 3 displays the final polling averages, as produced by RealClearPolitics, for seven key races. In each case the GOP candidate was leading just before the election, even though these races were in different states and conducted by different pollsters, and for different candidates. This pattern does not suggest polling error. The actual election results (courtesy of Reuters) are also shown.
Three of the seven contests were won by Republicans, but look deeper. In every case, the Democrat candidate’s election results were sharply higher than the final polling percentage. For the most part, that was not the case for Republicans, as we can see in the right-side columns in Figure 3.
Figure 3: Senatorial polling versus results
Figure 4, below, presents the same information in graphic form. Keep your eye on the “zero” line. It shows the expected results for both Democrats and Republicans. Democrats are entirely above the “expected” line, signifying that they beat the predictions in every case. On the other hand, Republicans are much lower, and mostly below the expected line.
Figure 4: Senatorial polling results, shown graphically
Before we address ballot-harvesting, let’s summarize: Perhaps I missed it, but it seems there was no last minute erosion of support for GOP candidates. And polling error is unlikely, given that the GOP lead was shown by many different pollsters, in different states, and for different candidates. Yet, the Democrat candidates consistently beat expectations by quite a lot. Why was that?
Ballot-harvesting
It is just a theory, but I believe that aggressive ballot-harvesting is the most likely explanation for the disparity between pollster predictions and actual results in the 2022 midterm elections. In the movie, 2,000 Mules, True the Vote (TTV), the organization run by Catharine Engelbrecht and Gregg Phillips, described the prevalence of ballot-harvesting in the 2020 election. Although its estimates are only rough approximations (based on cell phone analysis), TTV believes there were up to 200,000 and 275,000 harvested ballots in Arizona and Pennsylvania, respectively. Nevada was not included in the TTV analysis, but since the end of 2020, Nevada has taken all restrictions off of harvesting. It is now legal to harvest ballots in Nevada, and it can be done anonymously in any quantity with ballots from unregistered homeless people, drug addicts— anyone. [Editor's note: See also phantom voting, previously published at American Thinker by contributor Jay Valentine, here and here.]
When it comes to the legality of ballot-harvesting, there is confusion. As noted, it is now completely legal in the state of Nevada. In most other swing states, including Pennsylvania and Arizona, it is (technically) allowed only within tight limitations (e.g., for family members). That said, large-scale harvesting operations have been performed in many states, and I believe they often lead to serious election law violations. There are three reasons for this:
2022 was "engineered" for specific outcomes.
Once 2020 showed that they could do it "in your face" and get away with it, it was on to the next phase.
All of the factors combined would not account for the strange outcomes we saw, except for one: massive statistical anomalies and 6-sigma “coincidence” that all speak to huge Dem cheating and electoral fraud.
Some say that the Dems have mastered all the new post-COVID voting law and rule changes better than the Reps. But all the during-COVID and post-COVID changes were done for one reason only — to enable massive Dem cheating and fraud. There are no two ways about it.
So what is the GOP or the Trump campaign going to do about it ? It’s a proven winner for Democrats. They don’t have to come out of the basement. They don’t have to debate their opponents. They don’t have to do *anything*. Just Rest & Harvest. And boom - they are declared winners.
The abortion issue motivated suburban women to vote Democratic and the Republicans did not do a good job communicating the Roe vs Wade decision. The Democrats used ballot harvesting so they were able to "bank" their votes in early. We need to go to nursing homes and find every Republican voter. Don't wait until Election Day. You might get sick. Or you might get in a car accident.
It was a nice country we used to have.
The Democrats cried and cried about “the end of democracy.”
They got the end of democracy.
And they couldn’t be happier.
I don’t believe for one second Hobbs won, not for a second.
Other losses were obvious from the start, like OZ in PA…
But Kari? Nope not for one second.
Flagrant theft
Arizona / Pennsylvania / Nevada - failed states bump for later..
The evidence has been provided. Nothing was done.
There was a massive red wave. The democrats did massive in your face cheating. About 15 million Republican votes were disappeared and almost as many democrat votes were created out of thin air. 2018 and 2020 were just warm ups.
Those who cannot see that 2020 and 2022 were stolen are either hopelessly high on drugs or severely retarded. Or they could just be stinking, lowlife Nazis and Communists. To all the ignorant morons who voted for RATS in 2022, America is still going in the wrong direction thanks to you ignorant bastards.
p
Cheating
I’d like to see nationwide county by county and/or precinct data on votes submitted (ostensibly) by Dem, Pubbie and Independents via mail-In, Absentee and election day voters.
Voters are listed for each election they voted in (at least in Florida) for years. I do wonder how the numbers would add up.
95% returns from anywhere would deserve looking into. A lot of interesting views might become apparent.
See how the percentages come in by precinct by party registrations in that district.
The election in Maricopa County, AZ was either rigged or so flawed that a new election should be mandated. 20% of ballot readers “breakdown” all at once on election day, ballots are lost, commingled or mysteriously appear. The counting goes on for more than a week. There is ample evidence that the vote was flawed and many voters were denied their right to vote. However, as in the 2020 election it’s move along citizen nothing to see here. Sad it may now take a violent revolution to restore our republic as the free election process has now been destroyed.
it is hard to see how Hobbs managed to win.
—
Hobbs was in charge of counting the votes ... she was a shoo in.
“Katie Hobbs was roundly criticized for her deer-in-the-headlights interviews...”
??? Certainly he’s not talking about the awesome interviews where she schools the libtard media.
Institutionally, the left owns the electoral process. Couple that with voter rolls that are never cleaned up (e.g., dead voters, moved voters), mail in voting and aggressive ballot harvesting and you get results like observed in AZ. Republicans are delusional enough to think that getting better at ballot harvesting will improve their chances.
They are not called the stupid party for nothing.
Fourth: Fraud!