Surprised by the Midterm Election Results? Take a Look at the Data

American Thinker ^ | 11/25/2022 | Joe Fried

[SeekAndFind]

For many Republicans, the final midterm election results were surprising— especially in the states of Arizona, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. Based on polling, it looked likely that Kari Lake, Adam Laxalt, and Mehmet Oz would win their contests. I believe that there are only three likely explanations for the unexpected results: late campaign surges, polling error, or aggressive ballot-harvesting.

A late surge?

Some Republicans are falling for an illogical narrative put forth by Democrats and the mainstream media. It goes like this: Although Republican candidates were higher in the polls, at the last minute people voted for Democrats because:

• they feared the end of democracy
• they hated Donald Trump
• they were angered by the Dobbs abortion decision
• they saw more anti-Republican campaign ads, due to financing differences
• they were turned off by fighting during the primaries
• they weren’t impressed by the poor quality GOP candidates

Certainly, these were real and very potent factors for many if not all Democrats, and for some independents. However, they were all “baked into the cake” long before the election and long before pre-election voter polls were administered. They were not last-minute issues.

I can think of a couple significant last-minute campaign developments, but they worked against the Democrats— not for them. Many pundits thought John Fetterman’s late October debate performance would put him into a political death spiral. Indeed, he was polling lower than Oz, just before the election. However, he ended up winning by over 4 points— somehow.

And Katie Hobbs was roundly criticized for her deer-in-the-headlights interviews near the end of the campaign. Just before the election, Hobbs was polling substantially below Lake, yet she won. Lake’s pre-election dominance is evident from the polling averages compiled by FiveThirtyEight:

Figure 1: Lake-Hobbs polling trends Oct 1 to Nov 8

[ProudGOP]

So what is the GOP or the Trump campaign going to do about it ?

The answer is simple

Dump fraudulent ballots in every drop box in the nation

You don't need to make them legal. The Dems don't. You need to put ballots equal to 3 times the number of registered voters in every precinct. The Dems have gotten away with 120% in some precincts so lets do 300%.

There is one difference between our cheating and theirs. They are trying to hide it and we are trying to expose it.

So cheat so much that it has to be addressed

Simple but I doubt many have the stomach for it.

[Adder]

find or steal

Or make as many as possible.

It takes a well oiled machine to keep the total # of votes from exceeding the # of voters. I would think it includes deleting some votes.

Whatever it is, it has to stop.

[ronnie raygun]

Lets not forget rank voting another rat voter scam just used successfully in Alaska with merkowski

[The Great RJ]

The election in Maricopa County, AZ was either rigged or so flawed that a new election should be mandated. 20% of ballot readers “breakdown” all at once on election day, ballots are lost, commingled or mysteriously appear. The counting goes on for more than a week. There is ample evidence that the vote was flawed and many voters were denied their right to vote. However, as in the 2020 election it’s move along citizen nothing to see here. Sad it may now take a violent revolution to restore our republic as the free election process has now been destroyed.

[PIF]

it is hard to see how Hobbs managed to win.

—
Hobbs was in charge of counting the votes ... she was a shoo in.

[Lee'sGhost]

“Katie Hobbs was roundly criticized for her deer-in-the-headlights interviews...”

??? Certainly he’s not talking about the awesome interviews where she schools the libtard media.

[No Party Affiliation]

Institutionally, the left owns the electoral process. Couple that with voter rolls that are never cleaned up (e.g., dead voters, moved voters), mail in voting and aggressive ballot harvesting and you get results like observed in AZ. Republicans are delusional enough to think that getting better at ballot harvesting will improve their chances.
They are not called the stupid party for nothing.

[wintertime]

Fourth: Fraud!

[ealgeone]

Source for your claim? And not the gateway pundit.

[AlmaKing]

The people on this site already know all that. You’re preaching to the choir here. It’s an echo chamber.

[joe fonebone]

There is another angle that no one is even looking at...
I got my information from actual poll watchers on the ground at precincts (no, i will not provide a link...do your own damn research) and it is real simple..
The republicans did not show up to vote.
These poll watchers reported, in non mail in states by the way, that even heavy pub area’s, the dem got elected.
They simply did not show.
Now, could it have been voter apathy? ( The red wave is going to be huge, so they don’t need my vote )
Or, could it have been the bush league chamber of commerce worshiping republiCAN’Ts, and the never trumpers, just did not vote?
Unknown.
But, the pubs did not show up.

[RideForever]

So what is the GOP or the Trump campaign going to do about it

Have the GOP at the meeting called in AZ on the 28th by Jennifer Wright, Asst SOS of AZ, to address Hobbs interference with her election duties as a candidate in violating state law by not surrendering her official duties in the election as a candidate. Then there's the voter suppression issue.

This meeting was later changed to an earlier time, for 'certifying' the election.

So the GOP has one chance to put a cop at the door before the meeting to intercept Hobbs and keep her out of the meeting as well as the rest of the candidates who may show up (Lake). If Hobbs is let in, any other candidate should be allowed in as well.

[MikelTackNailer]

“Katie Hobbs was roundly criticized for her deer-in-the-headlights interviews...”

??? Certainly he’s not talking about the awesome interviews where she schools the libtard media.

Hobbs is the Democrat Secretary of State (conveniently in charge of elections). Her opponent, former reporter Lake, is the one who took her former cohorts behind the woodshed.

[DrDude]

I don’t know about the disappeared votes. I do know there were 15.3 million extra votes in 2020. Been talking about that for 2 years

[rodguy911]

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2022/11/surprised_by_the_midterm_election_results_take_a_look_at_the_data.html

It's all about voter fraud and if we don't get it under control nothing we do will save the country.Recently an excellent piece was done by Joe Fried in the American Thinker,linked above.

Fried goes to exotic lengths to make the case for ballot harvesting. Any time you have a loose ballot that's been mailed, dropped off into the third basket ala maricopa, muled into a ballot box at 3:00 am, or however it gets into the wrong hands, it's a formula for disaster.

Its likely how Fetterman, the Jolly Green whackjob wound up four points ahead of the Oz man. We all want to know how the only guy dumber than Brandon beat the Oz man.

Truth is he didn't. Whether due to electoral fraud courtesy of those hooked up dominion boxes to the Internet which reportedly accounted for 19% fraud in 2016 or the more likely harvesting by the mule or ballot servicing companies like Runbeck, the ones used by maricopa, the fix is in and we have to stop it or forever or lose our vote.

Here's a clip from the link above by Fried in relationship to ballot harvesting:

Ballot-harvesting

..........................

It is just a theory, but I believe that aggressive ballot-harvesting is the most likely explanation for the disparity between pollster predictions and actual results in the 2022 midterm elections.

There is no way that all the experts predicting wins by our side were miraculously had by the dirty dems. It just about had to be vote fraud. Ballot harvesting is the likely suspect. I see Dominion machines as an additional suspect along with the other 20 odd varieties of how to steal an election.

In the movie, 2,000 Mules, True the Vote (TTV), the organization run by Catherine Engelbrecht and Gregg Phillips, described the prevalence of ballot-harvesting in the 2020 election. Although it's estimates are only rough approximations (based on cell phone analysis), TTV believes there were up to 200,000 and 275,000 harvested ballots in Arizona and Pennsylvania, respectively.

The cell pone data which is often poo-pooed by lefties is actually far more accurate than most realize. It's often used as evidence in court. So cellphone data is a realistic method of the cheat.

Nevada was not included in the TTV analysis, but since the end of 2020, Nevada has taken all restrictions off of harvesting. It is now legal to harvest ballots in Nevada, and it can be done anonymously in any quantity with ballots from unregistered homeless people, drug addicts— anyone. [Editor's note: See also phantom voting, previously published at American Thinker by contributor Jay Valentine, here and here.

With unrestricted ballot harvesting made legal it's like doing your own thing for those so inclined. Some suggest we should start doing everything that has been made legal in elections to fight fire with fire.

But, many still believe that paper ballots counted at small precincts and everyone voting on a Tuesday, make it a holiday, could be the answer. It is in France.

Whatever the answer voter fraud can't be ignored anymore or we won't have a country left.

[rodguy911]

NOt likely we had five million more votes than the commie dems so someone was showing up.Do you live in LA or Philly?

[joe fonebone]

No... michiganstan..
The reports I read were from several states....
None from Arizona or Pennsylvania...
But, I believe them

[MikelTackNailer]

The Republicans, who fill Trump's stadiums to overflow, didn't show up to vote in Arizona where machine shenanigans had Lake voters sent home without recourse or any fair shot - after we put up with a ridiculous amount of days before the woman in charge of the votes was eventually declared the winner?

I haven't done recreational drugs for many years but would like to know what you're doing.

[joe fonebone]

Dude..
Read my post 57....
Antidepressants are called for in your case

[MikelTackNailer]

I read that but responded from your earlier statements. I stand with let the old egomaniac with no financial obligations to anyone roll while he can and we back him with the now-archaic concepts of patriotism and what's best for our country. His message is true and right while all those relative youngsters with half that charisma can wait their turn.

If Trump is willing to expend the last of his lifetime for the betterment of our nation with nothing in it for him I'm with him. That embodies the spirit of every American who's served in the military and public services under oaths taken seriously. Unlike some usurping puppet in power now who's always laughed that off.