Posted on 11/16/2022 6:35:38 AM PST by karpov
Donald Trump announced his 2024 presidential campaign Tuesday night, heavy with the odor of a man fighting the last war. But politics is all about matching the man to the moment. Trump’s moment was six years ago. The nation’s voters have moved on, and if early signs are any indication, Republican primary voters are ready to consider doing so as well.
The 2022 midterms were about as decisive a failure for Trump as it was possible for them to be. Consider, as one item of evidence, the exit polls. Exit polls are not perfect; even though they should have the advantage over other polls of polling only people who actually voted, they still have their known biases and shortcomings. Still, they are the only evidence we get of who voted for whom and why at the time of the actual election, and when they deliver messages in bold, screaming letters, we should listen.
The 2022 exit polls examined the national House electorate and 19 Senate and/or governors races across eleven states — Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. Two of the clearest findings across all of these races are that (1) Donald Trump is profoundly unpopular with the people who voted in 2022 and (2) Trump was a fatal drag on many Republican candidates.
On the first point, look at Trump’s favorability ratings. He is viewed unfavorably by a solid majority of the midterm voters nationally (by a 19-point margin of 58 percent to 39 percent), and in every state polled, even places such as Texas (52 percent disapproval to 45 percent approval), Ohio (53 percent to 44 percent), and North Carolina (53 percent to 43 percent) that he won two years ago.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
Actually, the plan in place and being executed is to ensure NO anti-Globalist/anti-Establish POTUS is elected, not just Trump.
“If Trump can’t win, DeSantis will fail miserably.”
I guess we will know soon enough.
;-)
My guess is that other candidates will declare later in 2023. There’s really no benefit politically to declare sooner.
Sure thing National Quisling Review come back in six months when the gaslighters will be struggling to stay out of prison instead of making up push polls.
Re: 118 - Thanks for an on-the-ground report.
Trump is not my God. Fair warning though, I will never again vote for anyone that the GOPe supports. If some GOPe clown ends up heading the ticket I will certainly find something more productive to do with my time. I didn't do this, all of the GOPe clowns did this.
The author, Dan McLaughlin, has been very busy writing numerous anti-Trump articles since the election.
You’re a troll.
That was a cloud of squid ink instead of acknowledging election fraud in the open.
Those aren't the words of the 8th Day Wonder. Why would they be? If DeSantis hesitates long enough he'll be eating Trumps dust. He who hesitates is lost. I want him to run. I want him exposed as the GOPe fave.
If President Trump runs away with all the support in the GOP he deserves the nomination.
DeSantis should follow the Sun Tzu rules—do not enter the battlefield until and unless victory is assured.
Don’t be an ostrich, look at the actual vote totals. Easy to find. Nearly 5 million more GOP votes than Dem for the House seats.
Polls are useless and for pundits. Exit polls are BS and for fools.
I contend that now he's like a pugilist who finally learned to keep his guard up.
That Liberal rag just keeps at it.
FU National Review and FU Rich Lowry.
Getting the GOP candidate’s own families to turn on them and do it on TV was a RAT stroke of brilliance.
“National Review has been worthless for years...”
And it was Buckley’s own doing. Conservative writers like Sobran and Buchanan and Chilton Williamson left and the magazine became a mouthpiece for Bush Republicanism.
“You’re a troll.”
Yeah, because no one can disagree with you. You claim rampant, insurmountable election fraud. If you are right, we might as well give up. Arizona won’t change with a Democrat Gov and Democrat SoS, so the next election, and next, and the one after that - we’re all DOOMED! No more meaningful elections in Arizona.
Screw you, boy. I want to WIN the next election. If that means we need to learn how to WIN the MAIL-IN vote - as Republicans are learning in New York and California - then by all means lets LEARN!
And no, if Kari Lake lost by “fraud”, then Trump will lose in 2024 too. This “fraud” crap needs to stop! I’m sick of sniveling cowards making excuses for failing to get out the vote. And MAYBE even for failing to understand a significant part of the voters we need are NOT hard-core conservatives!
We need to drop the moral purity tests and build a coalition that can win. Without that, there will never be any election reform and the Dems will hold power forever!
PS: I can think of several GOP governors who are getting the job done in opposing the Biden Admin AND doing so in a way that BUILDS support. Not just angry talk, but action.
I agree with learning how to win: but why accept "mail-in" as a fait accompli, given all the obvious issues (e.g. ballots found in a ravine in Santa Clara CA after the election)?
And you ought to actually, you know, READ what I wrote?
Kari didn't fail to deliver the vote: 30% of the deep red districts had open manipulation going on, like the FRICKING BALLOTS BEING THE WRONG SIZE FOR THE MACHINE, or the machines "malfunctioning" when they worked perfectly the night before...compared to NO such problems in blue voting areas.
And ballots which wouldn't fit "accidentally" being mixed with already counted ballots.
And it's not "Oh gee we got outvoted by mail-in". Most of the red-vote mail-ins were brought in, IN PERSON, by people who didn't trust the USPS. Only to find the machine had other ways of destroying or not counting their votes at all, or even swapping them 1-for-1 with blue ballots.
That's not "failing to deliver the vote."
There were temporary problems in Maricopa County. They were fixed on Election Day. Should have been run better but it sure won’t be run better now that Democrats run the state government.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.