Posted on 10/22/2022 10:29:39 PM PDT by Antoninus
A new poll shows that Republican Pennsylvania Senate candidate Dr. Mehmet Oz is leading Democrat John Fetterman.
The poll of 1,013 likely voters, conducted by market research firm Wick between October 9-13, found that Oz, the celebrity heart surgeon, leads by 4.5 points over Fetterman, the lieutenant governor, with just two weeks left before the 2022 midterms. The poll signifies that Oz may be breaking through a polling wall, as he has been behind Fetterman in polling for most of the cycle.
According to the poll, Oz leads Fetterman 49.1%-44.6%. Another 3.4% are voting for someone else, and 2.9% are undecided. Among those undecided voters, Oz has a sizable lead, 59%-41%.
The poll also showed that Republican Doug Mastriano is within the margin of error against Democrat Josh Shapiro in the Pennsylvania Governor’s race. Shapiro leads Mastriano 48.5%-46.4%; that number is well within the poll’s 3.1% margin of error. Mastriano also holds a slight lead among undecided voters; 50.9% of undecideds break for Mastriano, while 49.1% break for Shapiro.
The Wick poll was followed by another poll that showed the race was effectively tied. An InsiderAdvantage/Fox29 news poll showed that Oz and Fetterman were tied at about 46% apiece. InsiderAdvantage chairman Matt Towery explained that Oz’s surge was coming largely from self-described independent voters, who are breaking for Oz by twenty points.
“Oz is also picking an unusually high 14% of the African American vote and Asians and Hispanics prefer Oz[,] say they are voting for Oz by a wide margin,” Towery added. “Fetterman continues to enjoy a ten-point lead among female voters, while men prefer Oz at that same rate.”
The same poll found that Mastriano is also surging in the governor’s race. Shapiro leads Mastriano 49%-42%, with 6% of voters undecided, but Towery explained that Mastriano is experiencing a similar wave of support from self-described independents: 18% of independents are breaking for the Republican, the poll found.
Undecideds may heavily favor the Republicans in both races. Just 44% of voters have a favorable opinion of Democratic President Joe Biden, while nearly 55% are unfavorable toward Biden.
The new polling follows a poll earlier this month from the Trafalgar Group and The Daily Wire, which found that the race was much closer than mainstream polling had been showing. The poll found that Fetterman led Oz, 47.2%-44.8%, which was within the margin of error, with 4% undecided.
“We’ve always thought this race was a two or three-point race, and everybody else has finally come to join us on that conclusion,” Trafalgar Group founder and senior strategist Robert Cahaly told The Daily Wire. The race had tightened considerably because of concerns about Fetterman’s health and his record, especially on issues like crime. “The thought that your senator cannot hear spoken information and process it and make an argument is actually of great concern to people,” he said.
“What we’re seeing is people begin to realize what his record says … and people have a real problem with it,” Cahaly added. “Whether it’s his position to legalize drugs, including heroin, or getting rid of bail and letting people out of jails.”
Oz is also gaining a surprising amount of support from the black community. While most Republicans have garnered about 20% of black support, Oz has achieved some 30% support. “And that is completely unique to any other race that we’re watching,” Cahaly said.
That just blows my mind.
Women favor Fetterman. Yuk
Pennsylvania: Free and unFettered.
I think they have him confused with Famous Anthony Fauci and his experiments on Beagles.
Blacks like Oz because of Oprah.
Also, women like Oz because of Oprah. Never underestimate Oprah. I’m as right wing as they come but even I like Oprah. I used to subscribe to her magazine. I ignore her left wing stuff but respect and enjoy her take on things otherwise.
If Fettergooon wins, I’ll be thinking of becoming an atheist. Oz is kinda lib, but he was stalwart at using HCQ when Covid19 first hit/ That is good enough for me.
Just as with the Tea Party red wave, the wave will break against the Sierra Nevada and barely affect California. Everywhere else, get out and vote and drown these sick bastards in the red wave
Fetterman holding gun on black man probably helps Oz with black vote too. Shapiro ads I see now imply Mastriano is an antisemite. Not sure that helps Shapiro with the black vote either.
10 second Festerman and Shapiro ads are infesting my YouBoob feed recently. The Rats are desperate.
I think a lot of Blacks are really sick and tired of the crime. They’re often the victims of it so why wouldn’t they be?
As big as that race is, if Mastriano could beat establishment golden boy Josh Shapiro who was rewarded for helping steal the 2020 election with vast amounts of campaign cash, that would be huge. Imagine if Michigan, Wisconsin AND Pennsylvania all had Republican governors (in addition to Arizona having a real Republican governor like Kari Lake).
Real election integrity laws would be passed in all of those states. A repeat of the Stolen 2020 Presidential Election would be off the table.
Check out what’s given as the methodology for the poll.
Striking distance, my derriere.
Strange isn’t it. You’d think the female vote would go for the decent-looking TV star. Instead they go for the guy that could play Lurch or Frankenstein monster in the next movie.
‘Striking distance, my derriere.’
agreed; Mastriano has no shot...however, I have recalibrated my Senate projections, and now believe Oz will win, a GOP hold
I also believe AZ is a GOP pick up, along with NV...GA will need a Dec runoff to determine the winner, most likely Warnock...
I wouldn’t hold my breath. PA is a Dem state. It’s voters are ignorant. They are big on unions and other socialistic tendencies. Trump won it only by 44,000 votes. The state has 12,000,000 people. Fetterman will likely win.
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