POLL: Masters has closed the gap with Kelly in ARIZONA

twitter ^ | Oct 7 | IAPolls

[RandFan]

@IAPolls2022

🚨 ARIZONA POLL By CD Media/Big Data Poll @Peoples_Pundit

SENATE

(D) Mark Kelly 46% (+1)

(R) Blake Masters 45%

Certain to vote

(R) Blake Masters 48% (+1)

(D) Mark Kelly 47%

Extreme Enthusiasm

72% of R's / 63% of D's (R+9)

10/2-10/05 | 974 LV | ±3.1%

[RandFan]

Wooohoo!

Some good news!

[FLT-bird]

Rich Baris has polled Arizona and has been saying this was what was happening on the ground there for a while.

Hopefully Kari Lake’s impending thrashing of Katie Hobbs will act as a drag on votes for gun grabbing China sellout Mark Kelly.

[Caipirabob]

Kelly is an uncle Fester looking MFer who has his nose so far up the left’s arse he can see stars from the other end. He needs to be retired ASAP.

[Baldwin77]

I like Baris, but he’s often been wrong.

I hope he’s right this time.

[nathanbedford]

To get to 53 senators in my previously posted prediction I already had Masters in the probable column and now I doubt he will look back until until he crosses the line in victory.

Next in line is Oz in Pennsylvania who probably has actually statistically tied Federman and will move ahead in due course, as will Masters.

Attention then would turn to Walker in Georgia which presents a difficult race to read because of the peculiarities of elections in that state and the cross claims of moral deficiencies in both candidates. Walker has the edge and probably will prevail. Walker probably needs no coattails but Kemp has a strong lead and might provide them.

Laxalt has already led the way in Nevada for Masters and Oz who will shortly follow suit. Presumably, Alaska will produce a "Republican" whichever way that plays out. North Carolina is in the bag as is Johnson in Wisconsin.

All this of course is conditioned on no October surprise and limited Democrat cheating which might be contained by many new Republican boots on the ground on election day and in the election counting rooms-we shall see.

More likely than a Democrat October surprise is a wave going in the other direction producing a chance for candidate Smiley in Washington state and even for the general in New Hampshire. Likewise, a Republican wave could well produce a count in the house over 235 and even over 240.

[Fai Mao]

Patty Murray may lose in Washington State.
There is another on the list

[FLT-bird]

The “October Surprise” has already been sprung....by the Saudis. The 2 million barrels per day cut in oil production is a real kick in the balls for the Democrats. Gas prices are going to soar which undoes months of their crowing about gas prices going down (nevermind prices are way up over the last 2 years and they’re up for everything, not just gas).

I’d rate Masters, Vance, Walker, Oz, Laxalt as wins. It goes without saying that Budd in NC and Johnson in Wisconsin are going to win.

I don’t think the Republicans can pull out the races in New Hampshire or Washington, but it wouldn’t shock me.

Tshibaka beating Murkowski would be about as good as unseating a Democrat. I really don’t know which way that race will go.

I see the Republicans picking up seats in AZ, GA, NV for a total of 53 in the Senate....a Pierre Delecto proof majority. Given how favorable this cycle was for Democrats with so many more Republican held seats up for re-election and so few Democrat seats, this bodes ill for them in 2024 when that will be flipped. They could suffer a real bloodbath in the Senate in the next cycle.

[FLT-bird]

Baris has been more accurate than any other pollster.

[Nateman]

Mark Kelly is the stealth RAT. Votes like he is a Schumer clone but hides from view as if he can just call it in. At least Synema acts independently every once in a while.

[nathanbedford]

We are in agreement on the numbers and the probabilities.

As to the 2024 election, Republicans who will in all probability control both the house and the Senate going into that election will need to be wary of traps to the left and to the right governing a country deep in the throes of a very bad recession, perhaps even a depression.

Hard times breed demagogues and the Democrats are wily enough not to let a huge crisis like massive unemployment go to waste. Facts on the ground will require restraint in government spending which will tend to posture the Republicans to great disadvantage against Democrats who are promising salvation by government. The lesson of the defeat of Herbert Hoover and the election of Franklin Roosevelt should be instructive.

To the degree that the publicans behave prudently and patriotically they will become vulnerable to Democrat demagoguery. Worse, Pierre Delecto and Mitch McConnell are liable to couple with the likes of Lindy Graham and produce no end of mischief which could be fatal to the chances of Donald Trump or any MAGA Republican.

[jmaroneps37]

There never was a “gap” but just look at the enthusiasm “gap’ to see the Cue Ball doesn’t have a chance. Lake Masers and Hamadeh will sweep to victory. 9 point extreme enthusiasm lead for Republicans says all you need to know.

[DMD13]

He is right often actually. He nailed the popular vote in 2020 right on the nose.

[DMD13]

Masters crushed it at last night’s debate. Kelly performed so poorly that it further reinforces my position that McSally was an awful candidate.

[MayflowerMadam]

To me, it seems that Kelly’s only qualification is that Gabby Giffords is his wife. And he went into space which so many others have done at this point in time. He’s never DONE anything to help the citizens.

Overall, discounting the fraud which will be massive, we’re in very good shape for November.

[babble-on]

If Masters wins, I will buy a hat store, and I will eat all the hats in it.

[Preachin']

I would see a good sweep of elections for the Trump supported candidates as a serious slap at the McCain family.

[FLT-bird]

The Democrats are going to be saddled with the economy in 2024,, not the Republicans. Trump will remind voters over and over again that things were going well when he was in office. Things only turned to shit when Biden came in and reversed all of his policies.....throttling domestic energy production, flooding the country with millions of illegal aliens, going soft on criminals and sending tens of billions of dollars to Ukraine rather than keeping it here in America.

What are the Democrats going to do? - secure the border, get tough on criminals, drill and frack and disavow the Deep State and its warmongering abroad? They will have no answers when Trump hits them on all those issues.

[Dr. Sivana]

I have started to see those new billboards thank Kelly and Biden for the open border, as the cartels need all the help they can get.

VERY prominent location heading west on I-10 in the heart of Phoenix. This is good, in part because I am sick of billboards for cannibis shots and “The Husband and Wife Law Team”.

[TexasGurl24]

His polls are very accurate, what tends to be inaccurate is that sometimes he doesn’t trust his own polls.

His final poll in PA had Biden ahead by less than a point, at that same time polls in PA had Biden up nearly 10. His poll ended up being nearly spot on, his analysis though was that he thought Trump would win even though his own poll said otherwise.

No other poll was as close to the final result.

Masters is likely behind, but there is still 30 days to close the gap.

[bray]

There was no lead in the first place. The fake polls help DNC fundraising.