Skip to comments.Study Finds That Climate Change Added 10% to Ian's Rainfall
Posted on 09/30/2022 8:32:22 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
A quick study by two scientists calculates that climate change made Hurricane Ian 10% rainier than it would have been if there were no such thing as global warming.
Climate change added at least 10% more rain to Hurricane Ian, a study prepared immediately after the storm shows.
Thursday's research, which is not peer-reviewed, compared peak rainfall rates during the real storm to about 20 different computer scenarios of a model with Hurricane Ian's characteristics slamming into the Sunshine State in a world with no human-caused climate change.
“The real storm was 10% wetter than the storm that might have been,’’ said Lawrence Berkeley National Lab climate scientist Michael Wehner, study co-author.
Forecasters predicted Ian will have dropped up to two feet (61 centimeters) of rain in parts of Florida by the time it stopped.
Wehner and Kevin Reed, an atmospheric scientist at Stony Brook University, published a study in Nature Communications earlier this year looking at the hurricanes of 2020 and found during their rainiest three-hour periods they were more than 10% wetter than in a world without greenhouse gases trapping heat. Wehner and Reed applied the same scientifically accepted attribution technique to Hurricane Ian.
A long-time rule of physics is that for every extra degree of warmth Celsius (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit), the air in the atmosphere can hold 7% more water. This week the Gulf of Mexico was 0.8 degrees warmer than normal, which should have meant about 5% more rain. Reality turned out to be even worse. The flash study found the hurricane dropped double that — 10% more rain.
Ten percent may not sound like a lot, but 10% of 20 inches is two inches, which is a lot of rain, especially on top of the 20 inches that already fell, Reed said.
(Excerpt) Read more at usnews.com ...
Not a real study...
The eggheads should see a grant renewal, soon. Mission accomplished.
You mean an impossibly quick study, performed after the rainfall result was known concludes exactly what leftists and eco-cultists already believe???? I am shocked!!!
The Studies trap found yet another fraud.
The world has been here over 5 billion years and the arrogance these two dimwits have that think humans contribute to this is such a pile of steaming bovine fecal material I DONT even know why I AM responding other than it ticks me off !
[In the climate propaganda bunker]
Ok, we have to come up with a number.
How about 3%?
That’s not even 5, too low.
Okay how about 7?
Still too low, we need to think bigger.
It can’t be too big or we’ll lose the idiots.
Okay, but it has to be at least double digits.
10, that’s perfect! Print it.
Poetry in motion.
A 10% bonus?
Ya well Confucius says if you go to bed with an itchy butt, you’ll wake with a stinky finger!!
A new “scientific study” shows Vladimir Putin actually caused Hurricane Ian and sent it into Florida.
We can’t have a single day pass without massive gaslighting.
I had eggs for breakfast on Thursday, which added an additional 3%. Sorry about that.
This study was so fast, it was complete before Ian formed.
Trust the science! (not)
The Wehner SWAG story gets amplified by the Maoist Media.
This clown is going to spend the next two years backtracking on his little playtime simulation.
A quick study?! Scientists on the up and up don’t do quick studies.
Ridiculous...I calc’d 7.236742 inches
10%? Not 8% or 12%? If you are making a point, why not 80%? I know these are “scientists” but nonsense like this puts the fat in fatuous.
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