Posted on 09/12/2021 9:08:04 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Nicholas has formed in the SW Gulf of Mexico
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Tropical Tidbits by Levi Cowan
KHOU.com Houston Local
FOX4 Beaumont Beaumont/Port Arthur Local
KPLC.com Lake Charles Local
Prolly the most famous location in all of Rockport.
My parents initially retired to Rockport. Built a third pig house - the big bad wolf couldn’t blow it down. When they firsted moved there I asked about their hurricane preps. My dad dassured me that they had pre-sized and drilled plywood for the windows. Fast forward to 2005 and Rita was forecast to come into the Texas coast just north of Rockport as a Cat 5. I called up the Ps and my mom said my dad was doing a crossword puzzle and he quit paying for the plywood hangers years ago.
Fortunately Rita veered away from them, but that was it for them for Rockport. They moved to Central Texas the next year and avoided Harvey.
My parents initially retired to Rockport. Built a third pig house - the big bad wolf couldn’t blow it down. When they firsted moved there I asked about their hurricane preps. My dad dassured me that they had pre-sized and drilled plywood for the windows. Fast forward to 2005 and Rita was forecast to come into the Texas coast just north of Rockport as a Cat 5. I called up the Ps and my mom said my dad was doing a crossword puzzle and he quit paying for the plywood hangers years ago.
Fortunately Rita veered away from them, but that was it for them for Rockport. They moved to Central Texas the next year and avoided Harvey.
After four hurricanes in 2004, no more plywood here. Tired of the dark, crack house motif. Invested in hurricane screens. They are wonderful, allow filtered light, easy to slide onto the tracks, and less expensive than moving.
019
WTNT44 KNHC 140305
TCDAT4
Hurricane Nicholas Discussion Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142021
1000 PM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021
Very recently, a WeatherFlow Station at Matagorda Bay, Texas,
reported sustained winds of 66 kt with a gust to 83 kt. Based on
this observation, Nicholas is being upgraded to a hurricane on this
advisory, and a Hurricane Warning is issued. No additional
strengthening is anticipated until the system makes landfall, and
gradual weakening is expected during the next 2-3 days while
Nicholas moves over southeastern Texas and southwestern Louisiana.
Nicholas is moving north-northeastward, or around 020/10 kt. The
system is currently moving through a weakness in the mid-level
subtropical ridge. Within 12 to 24 hours, after Nicholas has moved
inland, the ridge is forecast to weaken and leave Nicholas in an
area of light steering currents. As a result, during the next
couple of days, the cyclone is expected to turn eastward and slow to
a crawl near southwestern Louisiana. The official forecast is
slower than the previous one, but not as slow as the new model
consensus.
Key Messages:
1. Heavy rainfall will impact portions of southeastern Texas,
Louisiana, and southern Mississippi through the middle of the week.
Significant rainfall amounts are expected, potentially resulting in
areas of life-threatening flash and urban flooding, along the
eastern Texas coast into southwestern Louisiana. Minor to isolated
major river flooding is also possible in smaller river basins and
urban areas.
2. There is the danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation
along the coast of Texas from Port Aransas to Sabine Pass.
Residents in these areas should follow any advice given by
local officials.
3. Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane
Warning area and Tropical storm conditions are expected with
the Tropical Storm Warning area along the Texas coast.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 14/0300Z 28.4N 95.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 14/1200Z 29.6N 95.4W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
24H 15/0000Z 30.2N 94.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
36H 15/1200Z 30.3N 93.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 16/0000Z 30.3N 93.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
60H 16/1200Z 30.3N 93.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
72H 17/0000Z 30.5N 92.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Here’s to hoping he goes inland before he gets to Galveston Bay.
Tkx for these threads!
Yep, just like they predicted. A weak Cat 1 right before landfall. Fortunately, this one will steer clear of us for the most part, they’re only predicting a few mild showers for this neck of the woods.
Nicholas keeps raking up the coastline. Keep us posted when you can. Godspeed.
Bad news for the TX/LA border. Nicholas now forecast to stall at the state line. Stuck over LA into Thursday.
will do in the am.
Nicholas will still be stalled over Louisiana when Odette and Peter are named.
The wind is really starting to pick up in NW Houston in the last hour or so. Gusting to 25 or 30 mph. Haven’t seen much rain yet.
Not a good night to be surf fishing on South Padre Island.
Aw, jeez. They don’t need any more rain than we do here in AL. Prayers this thing just go finds something to do with itself.
Thanks again for the threads. Now it’s a hurricane. And Ida was only a Category II hours before it made landfall. Yipes.
Thanks for your local report. Please keep us posted when you are able.
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