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Hurricane Nicholas
NHC/NOAA ^ | 12 September 2021 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/12/2021 9:08:04 AM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: dirtboy

Prolly the most famous location in all of Rockport.


81 posted on 09/13/2021 6:26:23 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Puddin' Head Joe--We are checking our watches for the end of your miserable White House tenure.)
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To: NautiNurse

My parents initially retired to Rockport. Built a third pig house - the big bad wolf couldn’t blow it down. When they firsted moved there I asked about their hurricane preps. My dad dassured me that they had pre-sized and drilled plywood for the windows. Fast forward to 2005 and Rita was forecast to come into the Texas coast just north of Rockport as a Cat 5. I called up the Ps and my mom said my dad was doing a crossword puzzle and he quit paying for the plywood hangers years ago.
Fortunately Rita veered away from them, but that was it for them for Rockport. They moved to Central Texas the next year and avoided Harvey.


82 posted on 09/13/2021 6:44:46 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: NautiNurse

My parents initially retired to Rockport. Built a third pig house - the big bad wolf couldn’t blow it down. When they firsted moved there I asked about their hurricane preps. My dad dassured me that they had pre-sized and drilled plywood for the windows. Fast forward to 2005 and Rita was forecast to come into the Texas coast just north of Rockport as a Cat 5. I called up the Ps and my mom said my dad was doing a crossword puzzle and he quit paying for the plywood hangers years ago.
Fortunately Rita veered away from them, but that was it for them for Rockport. They moved to Central Texas the next year and avoided Harvey.


83 posted on 09/13/2021 6:44:46 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

After four hurricanes in 2004, no more plywood here. Tired of the dark, crack house motif. Invested in hurricane screens. They are wonderful, allow filtered light, easy to slide onto the tracks, and less expensive than moving.


84 posted on 09/13/2021 6:50:50 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Puddin' Head Joe--We are checking our watches for the end of your miserable White House tenure.)
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To: NautiNurse
nick
85 posted on 09/13/2021 7:29:41 PM PDT by SimpleJack
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
Hurricane Nicholas...

1000 PM CT Update
-------------------------------
About 20 MI SE of Matagorda TX
About 45 MI SW of Freeport TX
Max Sustained Winds...75 MPH
Moving...NNE at 10 MPH
Minimum Pressure...988 MB

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the storm center.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

86 posted on 09/13/2021 8:07:13 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Puddin' Head Joe--We are checking our watches for the end of your miserable White House tenure.)
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To: SimpleJack

019
WTNT44 KNHC 140305
TCDAT4

Hurricane Nicholas Discussion Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142021
1000 PM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021

Very recently, a WeatherFlow Station at Matagorda Bay, Texas,
reported sustained winds of 66 kt with a gust to 83 kt. Based on
this observation, Nicholas is being upgraded to a hurricane on this
advisory, and a Hurricane Warning is issued. No additional
strengthening is anticipated until the system makes landfall, and
gradual weakening is expected during the next 2-3 days while
Nicholas moves over southeastern Texas and southwestern Louisiana.

Nicholas is moving north-northeastward, or around 020/10 kt. The
system is currently moving through a weakness in the mid-level
subtropical ridge. Within 12 to 24 hours, after Nicholas has moved
inland, the ridge is forecast to weaken and leave Nicholas in an
area of light steering currents. As a result, during the next
couple of days, the cyclone is expected to turn eastward and slow to
a crawl near southwestern Louisiana. The official forecast is
slower than the previous one, but not as slow as the new model
consensus.

Key Messages:

1. Heavy rainfall will impact portions of southeastern Texas,
Louisiana, and southern Mississippi through the middle of the week.
Significant rainfall amounts are expected, potentially resulting in
areas of life-threatening flash and urban flooding, along the
eastern Texas coast into southwestern Louisiana. Minor to isolated
major river flooding is also possible in smaller river basins and
urban areas.

2. There is the danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation
along the coast of Texas from Port Aransas to Sabine Pass.
Residents in these areas should follow any advice given by
local officials.

3. Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane
Warning area and Tropical storm conditions are expected with
the Tropical Storm Warning area along the Texas coast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 14/0300Z 28.4N 95.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 14/1200Z 29.6N 95.4W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
24H 15/0000Z 30.2N 94.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
36H 15/1200Z 30.3N 93.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 16/0000Z 30.3N 93.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
60H 16/1200Z 30.3N 93.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
72H 17/0000Z 30.5N 92.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch


87 posted on 09/13/2021 8:07:46 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Puddin' Head Joe--We are checking our watches for the end of your miserable White House tenure.)
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To: NautiNurse

Here’s to hoping he goes inland before he gets to Galveston Bay.

Tkx for these threads!


88 posted on 09/13/2021 8:13:27 PM PDT by jpsb
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To: NautiNurse

Yep, just like they predicted. A weak Cat 1 right before landfall. Fortunately, this one will steer clear of us for the most part, they’re only predicting a few mild showers for this neck of the woods.


89 posted on 09/13/2021 8:15:10 PM PDT by Viking2002 (Whatever.)
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To: jpsb

Nicholas keeps raking up the coastline. Keep us posted when you can. Godspeed.


90 posted on 09/13/2021 8:16:33 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Puddin' Head Joe--We are checking our watches for the end of your miserable White House tenure.)
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To: Viking2002

Bad news for the TX/LA border. Nicholas now forecast to stall at the state line. Stuck over LA into Thursday.


91 posted on 09/13/2021 8:20:52 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Puddin' Head Joe--We are checking our watches for the end of your miserable White House tenure.)
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To: NautiNurse

will do in the am.


92 posted on 09/13/2021 8:21:47 PM PDT by jpsb
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To: NautiNurse
Nicholas Becomes Hurricane As It Heads To Texas. Two Atlantic Storms Could Form This Week
93 posted on 09/13/2021 8:24:07 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam

Nicholas will still be stalled over Louisiana when Odette and Peter are named.


94 posted on 09/13/2021 8:30:44 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Puddin' Head Joe--We are checking our watches for the end of your miserable White House tenure.)
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To: NautiNurse

The wind is really starting to pick up in NW Houston in the last hour or so. Gusting to 25 or 30 mph. Haven’t seen much rain yet.


95 posted on 09/13/2021 9:05:20 PM PDT by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> --- )
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To: jpsb

Not a good night to be surf fishing on South Padre Island.


96 posted on 09/13/2021 9:07:00 PM PDT by Rebelbase (The difference between animals and humans: animals would never let the dumbest of the herd lead them)
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To: NautiNurse

Aw, jeez. They don’t need any more rain than we do here in AL. Prayers this thing just go finds something to do with itself.


97 posted on 09/13/2021 10:46:24 PM PDT by Viking2002 (Whatever.)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks again for the threads. Now it’s a hurricane. And Ida was only a Category II hours before it made landfall. Yipes.


98 posted on 09/13/2021 10:57:39 PM PDT by Billthedrill
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To: smokingfrog

Thanks for your local report. Please keep us posted when you are able.


99 posted on 09/14/2021 2:14:53 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Puddin' Head Joe--We are checking our watches for the end of your miserable White House tenure.)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
Nicholas Made Landfall About 0100 CT Near Sargent in Matagorda County...

Widespread flooding is expected across portions of the upper TX
Gulf Coast and southern LA and MS as Nicholas slows/stalls...


400 AM CT Update
-------------------------------
About 30 MI SSW of Houston TX
About 35 MI NNW of Freeport TX
Max Sustained Winds...70 MPH
Moving...NNE at 9 MPH
Minimum Pressure...994 MB

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles from the center.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

100 posted on 09/14/2021 2:25:28 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Puddin' Head Joe--We are checking our watches for the end of your miserable White House tenure.)
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