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NBC News Opinion: Biden is leading Trump in 2020 polls. But expect Election Day to be a repeat of 2016.
NBC "News" / Comcast ^ | November 1, 2020 | By Keith Koffler

Posted on 11/01/2020 3:56:05 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer

Contrary to the prevailing wisdom among the cognoscenti, history and current circumstances suggest President Donald Trump is going to defeat former Vice President Joe Biden - for some of the very same reasons he came from behind in 2016 to shock the Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton.

It is understandable why conventional wisdom is getting this wrong again. Trump is down in the polls, the nation’s demographics are continuing to change in ways unfavorable to Trump and Republicans, the coronavirus has wrought death and economic destruction throughout the land and Trump’s personality provokes stormy oceans of antipathy - perhaps most crucially among women and suburban voters.

But Biden and his campaign are making mistakes that will ensure little of this matters. And the polls are almost certainly wrong again. The only question is by how much.

The economy is turning around, playing to Trump’s strength. The president has made significant outreach to minorities, and a relative handful of Black voters switching from Democrat to Republican could help him secure states like Georgia, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and North Carolina. Not to mention that Trump - unlike Biden - is actually campaigning for the job.

Refusing to mobilize voters by showing up in their neighborhoods early and often is another likely ill-fated Biden experiment in ignoring modern campaign practice.

Moreover, the polls are not as bad as they seem for Trump. At this point before Election Day, Trump is, on average, polling behind Biden in battleground states by nearly the same amount he trailed Clinton in 2016. Trump is going to win many of those battleground states again.

And, just like in 2016, the Electoral College and the presidency will follow.

(Excerpt) Read more at nbcnews.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California; US: Delaware
KEYWORDS: 2020election; bias; california; clowncar; cnbc; delaware; election2020; india; jamaica; joebiden; joeclowncarbiden; journalism; kamalaharris; keithkoffler; landslide; media; msnbc; nbc; nobrainscollectively; trumplandslide
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Keith Koffler is a senior editor at the Washington Examiner.
1 posted on 11/01/2020 3:56:05 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Yeah, it didn’t read like a typical NBC story.


2 posted on 11/01/2020 3:58:59 AM PST by sauropod (Let them eat kale. I will not comply.)
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Telecom tried so hard to destroy Trump.

You subscribers should at least acknowledge what’s been going on.


3 posted on 11/01/2020 4:00:28 AM PST by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist!)
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To: sauropod

Death and economic destruction throughout the land?

Trump’s personality breeds antipathy?

Boy if this is one of his fans I’d hate to read one of his enemies :-)


4 posted on 11/01/2020 4:00:44 AM PST by dp0622 (Tried a coup, a fake tax story, tramp slander, Russia nonsense, impeachment and a virus. They lost.)
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To: sauropod

The rare Op-Ed giving the Rat news operation the impression of honesty.


5 posted on 11/01/2020 4:02:29 AM PST by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist!)
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To: sauropod; Oldeconomybuyer

The Washington Examiner is nowhere near as Conservative as it was in the past.


6 posted on 11/01/2020 4:07:05 AM PST by billyboy15
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

So the Fake News has been shoveling the same thing a constipated bull is full of until 2 days before the election then all of a sudden we get stories like this.

Who could have guessed? /S


7 posted on 11/01/2020 4:10:29 AM PST by SnuffaBolshevik
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To: Gene Eric

Now they are worried about their credibility and are throwing something out so that they can say ‘we told you he might’. They all sense it and it scares them to death.


8 posted on 11/01/2020 4:11:03 AM PST by silent majority rising
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To: billyboy15

I have noticed that.

I’m still trying to figure out if Byron York is AGAINST any politician or FOR any politician. Maybe that’s good, but I see it as someone who can’t make a decision.

I think Byron is still at the Examiner. They jump around so frequently.


9 posted on 11/01/2020 4:14:19 AM PST by Maris Crane (.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

The Michael Moore School of Thought.


10 posted on 11/01/2020 4:14:36 AM PST by moovova (Not a tagline.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

What a headline.


11 posted on 11/01/2020 4:19:09 AM PST by ptsal (CVote R.E.D. >>>Remove Every Democrat ***)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Keith Koffler clearly drunk stoned or suffering mental fatigue or maybe he just didn’t feel like falling on his sword for the likes of Joe Biden


12 posted on 11/01/2020 4:21:00 AM PST by Kartographer ("We mutually pledge to each other our lives our fortunes and our sacred honor.")
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
Refusing to mobilize voters by showing up in their neighborhoods early and often is another likely ill-fated Biden experiment in ignoring modern campaign practice.

Biden is physically and mentally challenged. He is not capable of doing multiple campaign rallies.

13 posted on 11/01/2020 4:24:37 AM PST by cpdiii (cane cutter, deckhand, roughhneck, geologist, pilot, pharmacist, old man, CONSTITUTION TO DIE FOR)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

“...he came from behind in 2016...”

He was never behind. The polls then, like now, are crap.


14 posted on 11/01/2020 4:25:53 AM PST by ops33 (SMSgt, USAF, Retired)
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To: Maris Crane

Byron York works in reality, which most often favors conservatism. His daily blasts highlight D folly on a regular basis, but isn’t blind to R folly either.

one of the straightest, imho.


15 posted on 11/01/2020 4:27:45 AM PST by chiller (Davey Crockett said: "Be sure you're right. Then go ahead'. I'm going ahead.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Bidens going to get walloped and they feel it coming!


16 posted on 11/01/2020 4:28:49 AM PST by vigilante2 (Make liberals cry again)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

I keep reading this stuff and am baffled by it. But then I am baffled by anyone voting for Biden.


17 posted on 11/01/2020 4:34:20 AM PST by EBH (My family fought for Liberty in 1776 and we will do so again. God Save the Republic.)
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To: vigilante2; All

Biden is a Chinese soy and the media is complicit.

Real losers in this campaign are Big Tech and the MSM. Both bet all their credibility and political clout on defeating Trump. They will lose bigly.

MSM gave up whatever tiny thread of credibility they had with the American public.

Big Tech will be facing phone company-style monopoly breakups and be stripped of legal protections.

The Red Wave will give us the House as well. Will be a fun week ahead.


18 posted on 11/01/2020 4:36:51 AM PST by TigerClaws
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

NBC, you can’t have it both ways. Your polls have been the most outrageous of all the suppression polls with Biden in double digit leads everywhere. Don’t think you are going to reestablish your lost credibility when your suppression polls did not work in successive 2016 and 2020 elections by simply saying 2 days before election day, sorry, we were bs ing you in our polls and we really thought Trump was going to win. That CYA is not going to fly


19 posted on 11/01/2020 4:45:40 AM PST by chuckee
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To: chiller

That’s true. But sometimes he frustrates me.


20 posted on 11/01/2020 4:58:51 AM PST by Maris Crane (.)
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