Skip to comments.Published 2 hours ago Pollster Frank Luntz: If Trump defies polls again 'my profession is done'
Posted on 10/23/2020 4:55:23 PM PDT by Magnatron
Republican pollster Frank Luntz told Fox News Bret Baier on Thursday night, that his "profession is done" if President Trump wins re-election come Nov. 3, and proves the national polls wrong yet again.
I hate to acknowledge it, because that's my industry at least partially but the public will have no faith. No confidence. Right now, the biggest issue is the trust deficit, Luntz said in response to Baier asking how pollsters will fare if they are wrong in predicting the 2020 presidential election. Pollsters did not do a good job in 2016. So, if Donald Trump surprises people, if Joe Biden had a 5- or 6-point lead, my profession is done."
National polls largely show Biden with a lead over Trump with two weeks until the presidential election.
Real Clear Politics, which pools together several national polls and takes the average, shows Biden up by 7.9 points, though in battleground states the former vice president is only up by 3.8 points well within margin of error, which generally hovers around plus or minus four points.
Hillary Clinton was projected to win in 2016, with polling consistently similar to Bidens.
FiveThirtyEights election project gave Clinton an 86 percent chance of winning during this point in the last presidential race. Biden is currently projected to win with an 88 percent probability.
Still, some polls appear to show a tighter race in their polling this time around.
The New York Times projected Clinton had a 91 percent chance of beating Trump two weeks prior to the 2016 election, but the Times is only projecting that Biden has a 50 percent chance of beating Trump.
But Luntz, a GOP pollster, still thinks that Biden will win the presidency after claiming that Trump won the second and final presidential debate Thursday.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
These companies charge for their services a lot. At some point, even the left will become infuriated that they are continually lied to about their position and will scream election interference.
And theyd be right.
In the past, media would cover for polling outlets failings, knowing that most peoples memories are short. This time around, the pressure will be too great to brush under the rug
Weird headline malfunction. Too thumb-happy with the copy function.
Let me go out on a limb here and say YOUR Profession is DONE!
From your lips to God’s ears, Frank.
They are done. This is going to be amazing.
Liberals crave validation. They'll even pay extravagantly for it.
I think your "profession" is secure.
If Trump wins (and he will), LUNTZ is done.
He pointed out after Election Day that even the exit polls were wrong ... which meant that many of the people he was polling were lying right to his face even AFTER they had voted.
There's something particularly important about this. These people didn't just hang up the phone and refuse to answer a pollster. They went through the trouble of taking the time to answer the poll, then lied to the pollster.
Well good-bye Luntz especially after your LA stream of your selected voters picked Trump 9-1. You later went on local TV and said you’re group indicated a TIE. You’re finished dude.
As someone posted of fr earlier...
“Never trust a dude with a bad wig”
bye Frank, time to pack up your box full of belongings and head out the office door
If Trump was up by 20 across the country, would MSLSD tell ya in advance?
Don’t forget to take Bruce Springstun with you!
Pollsters have attempted to contact me on three occasions and I either didn’t answer the call or reply to the text. I imagine other people are doing the same or outright lying to the pollsters.
The polling companies cannot get a proper sample for Trump because of “non-response” bias.
They only get a 1-2% response rate for polls because most people can’t be bothered. But the last thing most Trump supporters want to do is speak with the “fake news” polls. The republicans that agree to do polls are different than the universe of typical Trump voters.
There are plenty of undercover Trump voters out there that do not want people to know their vote.
Stick a fork in em
Only crazy people and drunks answer a call from a number they don’t recognize. Polling, therefore, is a rather inexact science.
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