Skip to comments.MinnPost poll finds close race between Biden and Trump in Minnesota
Posted on 10/21/2020 1:23:58 PM PDT by Zhang Fei
Forty-nine percent of likely Minnesota voters support former Vice President Joe Biden, while 44 percent support President Donald Trump, a poll by Change Research commissioned by MinnPost finds.
The online poll was conducted among 1,021 likely voters in Minnesota last week, from Oct. 12 to Oct. 15, and the results margin of sampling error is 3.1 percentage points.
Separated by just five points and within the margin of error, this represents the closest the two presidential candidates have been in a recent public poll.
Fewer pollsters have surveyed Minnesota lately compared to in August and early September, when the state had a brief flirtation with national media outlets as a more than remote possibility for flipping from blue to red. On Aug. 31, FiveThirtyEight gave Biden a 69 percent chance of winning the state, giving Trump a little less than a third, the closest the site has had the race before or since.
More recently, pundits have placed Minnesota in the much more likely blue column. As of Tuesday, FiveThirtyEight gave Biden a 92 percent chance of winning the state, his highest odds since the race began. The sites polling average put Biden at 50.7 percent, compared to Trumps 41.6 percent a spread of 9.1 points. Polls done in September and October have suggested Biden ahead by as little as 4 points and as many as 17.
Some recent polls suggest the race may be tightening as Election Day nears, though. A SurveyUSA poll released in early October found Biden ahead of Trump by 7 points, a slightly larger margin than the one in the MinnPost/Change Research poll, compared to 9 points in early September.
Change Researchs methodology involves targeting survey takers based on geography, age, gender, race and partisan identification via advertisements on websites and on
(Excerpt) Read more at minnpost.com ...
Plus online so meh
online polls are always extremely accurate /s
I just drove from Rochester to Minneapolistan. Lots of really big Trump signs along the way. Never saw that before.
info on change research from wiki:
Change Research is a polling firm based in the San Francisco Bay Area. It was first incorporated as a public benefit corporation in July 2017 by Mike Greenfield, a former data scientist at PayPal and LinkedIn, and Pat Reilly, a former Democratic Party campaign operative. Unlike many other pollsters, Change Research conducts all of its polls online. It claims to offer accurate and inexpensive online polling. Its clients have included Democratic political candidates such as Lauren Underwood, who won a race in Illinois’ 14th congressional district in 2018, as well as organizations such as the NAACP and AFL-CIO.
No wonder how they post, a card carrying member of the Democrat Underground that is pro China and all their posts follow along this line
Some kids never grow up, and traitors do what they need to do to protect their own station
Forewarned is forearmed
Respond to them at your own risk, they love the attention
You would think these Minnesota voters would wake up. Maybe they want the rest of America going down the tubes like their state is.
gee...what has happened in Minnesota since 2016? Trump has gone from an unknown quantity to a successful incumbent POTUS. Minneapolis has been burned to the ground by the radical left, crime has sky-rocketed in the city, the left campaigned to get rid of the police. Minnesota should go Trump in 2020.
This is definitely great news. A Marxist polling firm you can trust.
>>online polls are always extremely accurate<<
I know. The last 4 years under President hiLIARy have been hell!
Trump is going to win.
The enthusiasm for Hiden and Ho is in negative territory!
Trump will win.
Biden has no lead in MN! I just got these latest numbers from my friend who is friends with the independent pollster who is one of the best:
NJ Trump 45 Biden 48
NM Trump 45 Biden 46
OR Trump 46 Biden 47
NV Trump 49 Biden 46
CO Trump 47 Biden 47
WI Trump 50 Biden 45
NH Trump 49 Biden 46
ME Trump 48 Biden 46
VA Trump 47 Biden 47
PA Trump 50 Biden 45
MN Trump 47 Biden 44
AZ Trump 50 Biden 45
MI Trump 50 Biden 44
FLA Trump 52 Biden 44
TX Trump 54 Biden 42
NC Trump 53 Biden 43
OH Trump 53 Biden 41
IA Trump 54 Biden 41
National Poll: At least 100 people in each Congressional District have been polled. Almost 44 to 50 thousand respondents who are likely or have voted responded!
Trump 51.2 Biden 44.4
Wait’ll JoeJoe’s Minnesoter Freedom Fund kicks into gear.
Is Trump winning anywhere?
DJT needs to sked a rally in MN.
Great numbers, Darth.
I think the President will win Minnesota this time for a bunch of reasons:
—The Trump campaign views it as a state that is in play and they are focusing on it.
—The Minneapolis riots. At the end of the day I think that terrified a lot of “swing” voters in the suburbs. When you add the emerging issue of doxxing and censorship I expect some new Trump support.
—The Minneapolis riots. Expect business folks and some workers who lost their jobs due to riots to move to Trump.
—Coronavirus. This has made it difficult for Democrats to go door to door and mobilize their base—and it will keep some older Democratic voters who failed to vote by mail from going to the polls.
—The Bernie factor. Young Bernie supporters are even more angry at the Democrats than they were last time. Many will not vote for the old timer corrupt Biden.
I think the state will be close, but I expect a Trump win by 2-3 percentage points.
If Trump wins Minnesota, it will be a Trump landslide.
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