Biden up by 7 points in Georgia: survey

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden leads President Trump by 7 points in Georgia, according to a new poll.

The latest Quinnipiac University survey finds Biden's support at 51 percent and Trump's at 44 percent, with 4 percent of respondents undecided. Biden led by only 3 points in the same poll in September, before the first presidential debate and Trump’s coronavirus diagnosis.

Biden is now viewed favorably by 51 percent of Georgians, compared to 46 percent who view him negatively. Trump is underwater at 43 positive and 54 negative.

Trump will campaign in Georgia, which last went for the Democratic nominee in 1992, later this week.

"For Trump, 2016 is a distant memory,” said Quinnipiac pollster Tim Malloy. “Defeating Hillary Clinton by 5 points when the polls closed then, and now down 7 to Biden with three weeks to go. Warning lights are blinking red and alarms are going off in the Peach Tree state."

Quinnipiac’s polls have regularly found Biden with bigger leads than other pollsters have found. Trump and Biden are effectively tied in the RealClearPolitics average of Georgia surveys.

Election Day in Georgia will also have major consequences for which party controls the Senate, as there are two seats up for grabs this cycle.

Democrat Jon Ossoff leads Sen. David Perdue (R), 51 to 45 percent, in the new poll, up from a 1-point advantage in the prior survey.

Ossoff has a 10-point net positive favorability rating, while Perdue is underwater by 3 points.

And Democrat Raphael Warnock leads the big field of contenders in the special election race to replace former Sen. Johnny Isakson (R-Ga.).

Warnock has 41 percent support, followed by Rep. Doug Collins (R) at 22 percent and Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) at 20 percent. If no candidate reaches more than 50 percent on Election...

Trump won Georgia by 210,000 votes in 2016.

That equates to a 5.1% margin.

In 2018, the MOST favorable year for Democrats, Stacey Abrams LOST by 55,000 votes to a pretty pedestrian candidate in Kemp.

Can Georgia possibly flip in 4 years and go Blue? I can’t see it.

Tell me I am right.

Internals:

This RDD telephone survey was conducted from October 8 – 12, 2020 throughout the state of
Georgia.
Responses are reported for 1,040 self-identified likely voters with a margin of sampling error of +/- 3 percentage points. Margins of sampling error for subgroups are available upon request.
Surveys are conducted with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
Data collection support provided by Dynata. All data was managed and tabulated by the
Quinnipiac University Poll.
PARTY IDENTIFICATION QUESTION WORDING - Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what?
LIKELY VOTERS
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Republican 33%
Democrat 35
Independent 24
Other/DK/NA 7
METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS
Dual frame landline and cell phone samples are generated using Random Digit Dialing
procedures by Dynata. Both the landline and cellular phone samples are stratified by
Census division according to area code.
Landline numbers and cell phone numbers are scheduled for 4+ call attempts. When calling
landlines interviewers ask to speak with the adult member of the household having the
next birthday. Interviews are conducted on cell phones with both cell only and dual owner
respondents. The complete land and cell sample is weighted to National Health Interview
Survey estimates for [land only/cell only/dual owner] households.
Questions are asked as they appear in the release document. If a question is asked of a subset of the sample, a descriptive note is added in parentheses preceding the question. Questions are numbered as asked with additional questions found in successive releases.
This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult sample is weighted to recent Census data using a sample balancing procedure to match the demographic makeup of the population by county, gender, age, education and race. When including the design effect, the margin of sampling error for this study of likely voters is +/- 4 percentage points.
Polls are funded entirely by Quinnipiac University. The Quinnipiac University Poll is
part of the Department of Public Affairs.
Contact poll@quinnipiac.edu for additional information or call 203-582-5201.

I know we all say “these polls are fake” all the time here on FR, but are ALL of them fake?

Maybe there is something WE are missing ... maybe we are just “whistling past the grave yard”.

Most of the people in the country don’t know anything about Hunter Biden, don’t see Biden being a bumbling old fool, don’t know about the riots by Antifa and BLM ... because all they watch is the Fake New Media. I believe THAT is the problem and that is why people think Biden is a harmless old guy and “would never do the things the evil Right Wingers say he will”.

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