Posted on 10/14/2020 6:48:54 PM PDT by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
It’s not just % it’s where the samples are. Guarantee they did not sample adequately north and south GA.they did this in 16.
Go to people’s pundit
Sure he is. Ha ha ha go away fakes. Which part did the respondents like the most, the fact that they aren’t really better off or that they are not part of the 34 point enthusiasm gap in Trump’s favor. Hey maybe it was the high energy Grandpa Groundhog shows at his 20,000 supporters rallies in Atlanta.
I imagine that inside of I-285, that is probably about right; Biden might be up by even more than that. He’s probably also leading in Athens, GA and in Columbus, GA. Why don’t they just say that he’s up by 70,000,000 points everywhere? The Democrat base won’t know the difference, and Never Trumper Republicans can hand-wring to that.
“Trump won GA by 5.7 points,”
There were two anomalies in 2016: Gwinnett & Cobb counties.
Two counties on the north side of Atlanta, together they contain 28% of the population of the state. They are GOP counties and have been for 20 years.
In 2016 they voted for Hillary. Yet, in all other respects, they remain Republican counties. The Democrats are not making inroads locally.
I believe the 2016 Hillary vote in those counties was caused by the scare tactics used against Trump. Now that voters have had four years of Trump and seen how he governs, many of those 2016 Hillary voters will return to their normal GOP voting pattern.
But note that even with the Gwinnett & Cobb anomalies, Trump still won the state by 5.7%
The other thing people don’t take into account in GA is the black vote. GA is 30% black. When there is a black person on the ballot (like the 2018 governor’s race) they turn out in mass and make the statewide races close. But when there isn’t, they don’t.
2018 Gov race: 50% vs 49%
2014 Gov race: 53% vs 45%
The difference between these two races is there was a black candidate running for governor in 2018, and thus a huge black turnout.
There is no statewide black candidate running. Whether Kamala’s presence on the ticket will trigger a huge black turnout is unknown, but there doesn’t seem to be a lot of enthusiasm for her in the black community.
With Gwinnett & Cobb back to voting their normal GOP voting pattern, and a normal black turnout, Trump should win the state handily.
What a bunch of bushlips!
I live in the Great State of Georgia.
This poll is such crap that it could be used as fertilizer.
If you believe this poll, you DESERVE to be depressed. LOL!
I wholeheartedly agree.
Hi.
According to the polls, Slo’ Joe and Heels up Harris are ahead in TX and FL too.
And I’m the queen of England.
5.56mm
The last Trafalgar poll for GA. was Trump 49.8%, Biden 43.5%. Folks, the Very reliable Trafalgar Group is BASED IN ATLANTA!!!
You call them anomalies. Others call them Trump struggling with suburban voters.
There is no statewide black candidate running.
There is. Raphael Warnock, a pro abortion pastor, is running for Senate in GA. And I recall seeing on some other threads that, unlike in other states, the black vote is up in GA so far.
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