Posted on 10/04/2020 6:40:04 AM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
Reuters link
https://t.co/mCdTllTVuk
NBC poll
https://t.co/KJicRpznHq
Umm, this needs to turn around quickly or else the Senate will be a total wash out too.
so what were the other 409 respondents?
Reagan sure did, and we saw what happened.
Yes all our republican friends are saying this, that he acted stupidly and got caught. You don’t realize how many people are terrified by the virus.
To your point, look where POTUS, VPOTUS and their surrogates are traveling to (before Trump’s COVID diagnosis) and where the RNC is spending money.
Traditionally red states that “should” be easy wins for us - Georgia, Texas, S. Carolina, ...
Meanwhile, Biden is spending in areas where he should be sure to lose.
Not hard to figure from there what is ‘really’ going on in the electorate.
Yes, you nailed it!
FLA has been a hotbed of voter fraud.....so it does gain attention....especially after the Bush/Gore debacle.
Trump is not a Republican.
He best 16 actual Republicans and in so doing exposed the fraud and lack of principles at the heart of the GOP.
In a two party system (which can’t work if there is no middle) when voters want to punish the ins they have to vote for the outs - which is what will happen in a few weeks.
Trump was a one-off, and he could have won - and still might - but the timing of the superspreader event at the White House is very bad.
The Democrats in power with the GOP destroyed will not last long, of course - this is not Venezuela, after all - but we’re in for some nasty weather for a while.
Quick, where’s the “Oh Noes” gif?
LOL, and right here on FR only yesterday 2 polls were cited with one having Trump ahead by 1 and one having him trailing pedo joe by 2 and well within the MOE.
The only people who know where this race stands are the campaigns when they do their own internal polling.
Yes you have a good point but here is the problem.
Hillary sucked as a candidate and democrats didn’t vote in sufficient numbers.
Now, democrats hate Trump, they will vote. That’s why Biden hides, leaving the election to be only about Trump.
And that’s why Trump needed to widen his base and yes be “presidential” to calm the suburban fools.
He also has NOT effectively trashed Biden.
Assassination attempt?
Because I’m being negative, yes it’s true there were two good polls yesterday. Let’s hope and fight to win.
What you said.
“But I find many Republicans are like scared little children.”
All you can do is VOTE. Even if there are zombies and it’s raining FIRE outside. VOTE.
FWIW, it is well known that trump will poll “low”, which is why everyone was wrong in 2016. That political climate was fields of grass and puffy clouds compared to today. How many people will tell a pollster the truth today? Do you REALLY know who is on the other end of a phone or web page? I suspect that the “Trump Effect” is double or triple what it was in 2016.
LOL they always release this crap on Sunday monrnings so the Sunday news shows will hammer it over and over and over and then talk about it again on Monday.
“I’ve been predicting D+6 for months and it may go higher.”
I think that’s slightly pessimistic but there’s definitely a path to a bloodbath:
Republicans gain in Alabama, and then in other Senate races:
Colorado: gone, Democrat pickup for sure
Maine: gone, 90% sure
Arizona: gone, 80% sure
North Carolina: Dem pervert won’t lose a single vote over the recent revelations, whereas a Republican would have had to resign immediately if he had been caught doing this. Maybe Tillis squeaks this out, but it’s still in serious danger.
South Carolina: 50-50 at best for Light Loafers to be re-elected. He’s either the worst Republican candidate in that state in 20+ years (true), or the demographics of South Carolina are deteriorating quickly in some key areas (also true), or there’s a general trend to the left like everywhere else and like in 2018 (nah).
Iowa, Montana, Georgia x2: could be major trouble.
But surely some analyst will be along to declare that according to secret polls (and ridiculous assumptions) no Republican will lose anywhere, and we’re going to pick up Michigan, Minnesota, Atlantis, Oz, New York and several other fantasy lands. That would be very pleasant indeed, but most fantasy scenarios are.
There were THREE good polls yesterday, each with much better predictive records than the two announced today. Zogby had Biden up by two points; IBD had him up by 2.5 points; London Daily Express had Trump up by 1. How does that compare with badly biased news organization polls showing Biden up by 10 or 14? You cannot have this much spread without a “cooking” of the inputs.
Then take a glance at post 84.
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