Posted on 10/04/2020 6:40:04 AM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
Reuters link
https://t.co/mCdTllTVuk
NBC poll
https://t.co/KJicRpznHq
Umm, this needs to turn around quickly or else the Senate will be a total wash out too.
All pollsters use a turnout model. If these guys are using 2018 as their turnout model then yes there’s going to be a big Biden lead. If they use 2016 as the turnout model, the last presidential election, then there will be no lead.
Polling companies need to make money like everyone else and so they market their contract to whatever media outlet wants a poll. There is no requirement that they be accurate. If that was a requirement none of them would be in business after 2016. But they’ve been able to sell their product despite it being inaccurate. The media outlet does not require it to be accurate, it requires it to generate viewership.
NBC Poll is PUREST of all possible excrement:
800 *REGISTERED* voters,
45% Democrat or lean Democrat.
36% Republican or lean Republican
Democrat advantage = 9%
Reuters/Ipsos does not even SHOW internals, but they make the mistake of noting the poll is +- 5%. Purest bullshit possible.
Good Post on that Hillary poll.
“ Is this your first presidential election cycle?”
I want to see whether those polls over-sample Dems. Also, it’s state by state polls that count. I want to see them.
Unfortunately, Freepers said the polls in 2018 were wrong but they weren’t. They said the red wave was coming. They weren’t and it wasn’t
So there may be good reason to be worried right now, but I want more and better and more targeted data please
Garbage NBC poll. 800 registered voters. Not likely, small sample, I could go on and on....
Yeah I felt batter after I saw that. Plus Zogby is at 2 points, same with a couple of others.
The pollsters release a ridiculous outlier poll in order to keep the polling average showing Biden up in national polling. I’ve noticed the way they do this every election cycle. Averages start showing the GOP candidate even or a point or two ahead, and along comes a poll with a totally unbelievable result to skew the average to the DEMS
Oversampling dems- nothing new for these chumps.
CC
How do these fake polls help Dems?
They didn’t get Hillary elected in 2016.
In fact, would seem the lazy Dems (most of their base) will just stay home thinking the election is in the bag.
Whereas, Trump supporters will be there in person regardless of the weather.
Think this backfires on Dems.
Yep, if it's accurate, that's what it means.
Two weeks before the election: “Hillary is beating Trump in the polls in the solidly Red states of South Carolina and Kansas” Rachel Maddow on MSNBC and you can see it on Youtube. But Trump went on to win SC by 14.2 points and Kansas by 21 points.
Win or lose, President Trump will fight to the end. N
NBC=Nothing But Crap
I cannot believe after seeing a rally and participating in a car rally that took up 2 land of a highway in 2 directions that 6 out of 10 possible voters can support a 77 year old incoherent man controlled by and anti-white socialist mob. This should be a blow out. I will concede that close to 10% of the vote will be total fraud for Joe. We have had most important election in our life time before but this one just seems to be the last ditch total scorched earth election for the Dems.
So these polls showing a big Biden lead cannot be right as It doesn’t pass the smell test to what I see happening with my own 2 eyes
Garbage NBC poll. 800 registered voters.
—
Compare 800 even if all Dems to a non planned turnout march for Trump for a better indicator or where things are.
Ole Joey with the fake “ I protect Covid” small groups as he knows he cant draw more than 100 at his best to anything.
“The polls are either wrong or you got a lotta stoopid idiots out there.”
...it’s a combination of both
Stop following what the media wants you to think about the idiot suburban women..... Hispanics are gonna vote big time for Trump..... They have more common sense and are more normal than upper middle class white people.... Trump is definitely expanding his base.... But the media ain’t gonna tell you about it cause they are terrified about where he is making his gains
ANYONE who believes anything the media says at this point is retarded at best.
The media outlet does not require it to be accurate, it requires it to generate viewership.
Just like the debate. Faux celebrates Wallace as Trump brings audience not him.
All they care about are clicks/ad buys/viewership....
Not reality
But McInturff, the GOP pollster, cautions that the survey could represent a “shock to the system” right after a consequential debate. (Democrats, for instance, hold a 9-point advantage in party identification in this poll, compared with 5- to 6-point advantages in past ones.)
_______________________________________________________
The NBC/WSJ poll is of REGISTERED voters and is a D +9 poll. Likely voters typically boost Trump’s poll number by +3 or +4. So, NBC poll says Biden has a 14 point lead, subtract 9 for the oversample, substract 3 or 4 for using registered voters and, voila, it is Biden +1 or + 2.................which means that Trump wins because of the Electoral College.
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