Somehow he sounds less intimidating.
Posted on 05/27/2020 2:58:38 AM PDT by JohnRand
Earlier this month, the University of Minnesota School of Public Health released projections from a revised coronavirus computer model that said deaths might double by Memorial Day.
That didn’t happen.
In fact, to a layman, it doesn’t even look close.
Minnesota Health Commissioner Jan Malcolm and a key official involved in the model both acknowledged Tuesday that the short-term death projections of the model are notably higher than the reality — but both defended the value of the model.
(Excerpt) Read more at twincities.com ...
“According to the AP, the country is reporting one of the highest mortality rates from the virus of any country, with about 40 deaths per 100,000 people. The country’s unemployment rate stands at 7.9% and is expected to continue to rise.”
https://www.businessinsider.com/sweden-praises-coronavirus-strategy-despite-high-death-rate-2020-5
So, with everyone getting COVID in Sweden AND with no “Flatten The Curve” to help hospitals ever handle the waves of infected, Sweden can honestly show the world that on a worst case basis, only “0.0004” of any population will die from COVID.
Your assumptions and projections are both terrible.
Similarly, elitists defend the validity of their global warming models, even though those models are shockingly inaccurate. I am disgusted by people who abuse math and science as levers to grab power over others.
The case of Sweden does suggest a lockdown wasn't needed, but they hardly have 'herd immunity'. Antibody testing in Sweden has found ~1 in 5 people in Stockholm have antibodies to Covid. There are several possibilities for this, including the possibility that the antibody testing is insensitive, but at this point we can't say they have herd immunity - or anything close.
Remember that coronaviruses cause ~15% of annual colds. We certainly do not have herd immunity to colds. These enveloped RNA viruses are very good at evading the immune system.
(Fortunately, Hillary used the same modeling software to predict her chances of being president...)
It is always going to be a failing of any wishcasting prediction when you pre-enter the desired result and then set the model to represent how it gets there. It doesn't represent reality, it represents the viewpoint of the programmer.
Oh, and with MOST of the world shut down, every greenie’s wet dream, CO2 levels went up. Gosh, yet another new record. Makes you wonder - is it the detector/analyzer following a wishcasting scenario, or is it simply not man made CO2? It's sad when you can't even trust what should be a very simple (and repeatable) measure...
Dwath of a Salesman.
Somehow he sounds less intimidating.
PSSST.
The CDC and WHOstopped counting H1N1 deaths in 2009 once it hit global pandemic status. All deaths from 2009-2010 are estimates/guesses and they settled on the middle estimate between low and high.
Science? don’t look for it from these bureaucratic agencies.
The CDC thinks that 25 year olds are teenagers suffering from the disease of gun violence.
TOTAL CONTROL is what this is all about. Destruction of the Republic of the United States and the Constitution, a mere piece of worthless paper to them. They want it burned and gone!! They want to overthrow everything good about this nation and put in their communist, One World Government, ruled by the United Nations. THEN, either we submit to them and their demands or we will find ourselves in their gulags, patterned after the Soviet and North Korean models.
Our deaths will mean nothing to them as they want about 7 billion off the planet anyway for their Earth friendly 500 million projected population (See, the Georgia Guide Stones for all their wants and desires). ONLY THEY get to choose who gets to live and WHO MUST DIE!!! (That'd be us) This is about defeating Trump and finally, at last, forever, taking TOTAL CONTROL over America. I'd bet they would want to rename the country. There would certainly be NOTHING UNITED about these States after their final takeover.
>> I’ve never heard of a Dwath. Is it some kind of dwarf or something?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/La_petite_mort
I simply do not and will not believe any of the numbers regarding this scam/sham which has been foisted on us and the rest of the world.
Unless and until EVERY American is tested for antibodies we cannot know who has had this virus and without that knowledge we cannot know the death rate or the recovery rate.
We have gone from a projected death rate of 3.4% to now at .3 and some “experts” believe it will end up being no worse than the average flu. We KNOW those most in danger and have for some time known and it is only those most in danger which should have been warned to stay in for their own safety.
We’ve been had, Dr and I’m amazed, truly amazed you have not yet seen this.
Take your government contact tracing and stuff it.
Well done! LOL!
Social conditioning for Stockholm Syndrome victims.
Isolate people from friends and family and Church.
Heavy rotation of panic porn propaganda (a visit to MSN.com will give you a daily dose of 5 different Coronavirus headlines every day when you land on the page).
Shepherd Fairey (Obama’s Hope and Change propagandist czar) has been contracted by the Ad Council to create Communist iconic poster/ad designs to get the global citizens to do their part and wear the mask.
Neighbors turn on neighbors and business owners to tattle to the civic authorities about “violations” to non-legislative crimes.
In social media the verbal beatdown of dissent came quick and hard. From roving gangs of people preaching the Party line to “assistance” from twitter and google to delete or denounce certain viewpoints.
ExDemMom's own data shows she is not a follower of any scientific method. When the data shows the projections were BS, she tries to twist/thread her theory to the data, with nothing but her pre-drawn conclusion to support, and use the excuse that the un-modeled 'lockdown' saved us all. Couldn't possibly be that the models were all wrong to begin with.
Hockeystick!
>>4 May: Guardian: US daily coronavirus deaths reportedly projected to double to 3,000 by June
3,000 babies aborted in the USA every day and not a word in the media against it. No efforts to save those lives or to take better precautions against unintended pregnancies. We are told that it’s no different than having tonsils removed. Some even call it a parasitic growth.
Older voters tended to vote more conservative. The Left including Surgeon General Jocelyn Elders said that it’s long been time to ration healthcare (and other) money since old people drain funds and are just “gonna die anyway” whereas young people will be paying into Social Security rather than drawing on it.
And it’s horrendous that these people couldn’t see their loved ones as they lay dying.
“The article did NOT provide any evidence that the lock-downs didn’t work or were unnecessary. On the contrary, it acknowledged that those do, in fact, affect the rate of spread of disease.”
You are talking to the wind, a highly bias wind.
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