Am I mental?
Posted on 05/27/2020 2:58:38 AM PDT by JohnRand
Earlier this month, the University of Minnesota School of Public Health released projections from a revised coronavirus computer model that said deaths might double by Memorial Day.
That didn’t happen.
In fact, to a layman, it doesn’t even look close.
Minnesota Health Commissioner Jan Malcolm and a key official involved in the model both acknowledged Tuesday that the short-term death projections of the model are notably higher than the reality — but both defended the value of the model.
(Excerpt) Read more at twincities.com ...
Dwath prediction is a very series thing. The models that can do that accurately are hugh!
LOL. I just noticed that. Do you have the tattoo?
Why was the U of M Covid Model so “Wrong” About Predicting Deaths through Memorial Day?
...
Because crooked Democrats in corrupt universities were up to no good.
And, the numbers have been cooked from the start.
Predicting Dwaths is hard, even harder with a lisps.
I doubt it - I’ve never heard of a Dwath. Is it some kind of dwarf or something?
There is no evidence according to many that the "lock down" was of any benefit and in fact it may have caused more deaths than it saved. We have never had a lock down before and once we get the TRUE numbers as far as the fatality rate (which are just now beginning to come to light) we will all see the lock down for the farce it was.
The only value in the ‘model’ is that it lends support to the lefturds’ plans to hobble and control the American people, destroy personal freedoms, and bend them to the socialist will.
The same is true in all the other ‘models’ trotted out by the Anti-Freedom progressive pukes over the last many weeks.
This was NEVER a ‘pandemic’, and they knew it.
By my own most recent calculations using the real case and death numbers of the pandemic, the worldwide lockdowns have reduced the spread of Covid-19 by 95%, with a corresponding reduction in the number of deaths. That's actually pretty big. Oh, and here's the graph that shows the decline:
I need to do an updated calculation; this is data from 10 days ago. I can also post the numbers as a table, but I think that graphs are much easier to understand.
given the cast of characters in this one, you just knew it had to be fake!
4 May: Guardian: US daily coronavirus deaths reportedly projected to double to 3,000 by June
New York Times says it has obtained document that suggests administration expects daily death toll to rise throughout May
by Martin Pengelly
As Donald Trump proclaimed success in America’s fight against the coronavirus and continued to push for the US economy to reopen, it was reported (NYT LINK) on Monday that internal projections show the administration is expecting 3,000 deaths a day by 1 June...
The New York Times said it had obtained an “internal document” containing projections “based on modeling by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and pulled together in chart form by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (Fema)”.
CDC and Fema “forecast about 200,000 new cases each day by the end of the month, up from about 25,000 cases now”, the paper said.
The Times report followed a Washington Post (WaPo LINK) report on Saturday that said the Trump White House had followed a model for economic recovery written by Kevin Hassett, an adviser “with no background in infectious diseases”...
The White House attempted to pour cold water on the New York Times story.
In a statement, a spokesman, Judd Deere, said: “This is not a White House document, nor has it been presented to the coronavirus taskforce or gone through inter-agency vetting.
“This data is not reflective of any of the modeling done by the taskforce or data that the taskforce has analyzed.”...
Trump, who is heavily dependent on economic recovery for his hopes of re-election in November, spoke in favor of reopening measures at a Fox News town hall at the Lincoln Memorial in Washington on Sunday evening...
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/04/coronavirus-daily-us-deaths-models-trump-report
The only thing that graph tells me is your prediction model was crap from the git-go. I told you that extrapolation was not proper modeling two months ago, but now you say we were saved by lockdown. What a tool.
They wanted to cull th ehuman herd by killing people in old folks homes.
80% of those who died were in elder care homes.
Think about that.
There model made NO sense.
We did not need a shut down.
We needed to quarantine the vulnerable, not shut down the whole country and its economy.
Public Health and their academe world have taken and suffered a HUGE hit.
They are leftists bastards of dirty name IMHO.
Janice Dean, weather announcer on Fox News lost BITH her parents to Covid-19 in an elder care home. She could not see them, could not talk to them. Cuomo was sending 4500 Covid-19 patients to these homes while he left the 1000 bed Javitz Center empty.
There will be an accounting.
“He’s dwead, Jim.”
We have a winner!
One of my greatest fears is that Trump falls for the conspiracies and narratives and moves to end the lock-downs too soon without adequate contact tracing and testing in place. If he should do that, with the result that Covid-19 will spread again, he will not get reelected. The left has already been trying to portray his handling of the crisis as inept; the last thing we need is for him to adopt any policy that doesn't continue to curtail the spread of virus.
I wonder if some of the pressure to reopen and pretend Covid-19 is not a problem is coming from the left, so as to guarantee Trump's defeat in the upcoming elections.
And Sweden was saved by not having a lockdown...
And the media and other politicians cover for that POS
Don’t forget the hospital ship Comfort came back to Norfolk After only a few weeks of minimal use during the height of the New York City pandemic
Sweden had no lockdown and now they have herd immunity.
It is of little help to lock everyone down.
You model effectively says Sweden just lost 95% of its population.
The cases per capita statistics can mislead. It’s proximity and age and pre-existing conditions combined that have the high infection returns. By numbers alone, Sweden is NOT a hotspot. There’s lies, damn lies, and statistics. Ask a pollster.
exactly
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