[exDemMom]

There is no evidence according to many that the "lock down" was of any benefit and in fact it may have caused more deaths than it saved. We have never had a lock down before and once we get the TRUE numbers as far as the fatality rate (which are just now beginning to come to light) we will all see the lock down for the farce it was.

By my own most recent calculations using the real case and death numbers of the pandemic, the worldwide lockdowns have reduced the spread of Covid-19 by 95%, with a corresponding reduction in the number of deaths. That's actually pretty big. Oh, and here's the graph that shows the decline:

I need to do an updated calculation; this is data from 10 days ago. I can also post the numbers as a table, but I think that graphs are much easier to understand.

[Magnum44]

The only thing that graph tells me is your prediction model was crap from the git-go. I told you that extrapolation was not proper modeling two months ago, but now you say we were saved by lockdown. What a tool.

[ConservativeMind]

Sweden had no lockdown and now they have herd immunity.

It is of little help to lock everyone down.

You model effectively says Sweden just lost 95% of its population.

[ConservativeMind]

“According to the AP, the country is reporting one of the highest mortality rates from the virus of any country, with about 40 deaths per 100,000 people. The country’s unemployment rate stands at 7.9% and is expected to continue to rise.”

https://www.businessinsider.com/sweden-praises-coronavirus-strategy-despite-high-death-rate-2020-5

So, with everyone getting COVID in Sweden AND with no “Flatten The Curve” to help hospitals ever handle the waves of infected, Sweden can honestly show the world that on a worst case basis, only “0.0004” of any population will die from COVID.

Your assumptions and projections are both terrible.

[billyboy15]

I simply do not and will not believe any of the numbers regarding this scam/sham which has been foisted on us and the rest of the world.

Unless and until EVERY American is tested for antibodies we cannot know who has had this virus and without that knowledge we cannot know the death rate or the recovery rate.

We have gone from a projected death rate of 3.4% to now at .3 and some “experts” believe it will end up being no worse than the average flu. We KNOW those most in danger and have for some time known and it is only those most in danger which should have been warned to stay in for their own safety.

We’ve been had, Dr and I’m amazed, truly amazed you have not yet seen this.

[a fool in paradise]

Hockeystick!