Posted on 04/11/2020 6:45:40 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
Dr. Ben Carson says there is not enough attention being paid to the number of people who have recovered from coronavirus, noting that the number is going to be about 98 percent of all the people who get it.
Carson, a pediatric neurosurgeon who serves as Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), also said the one-quarter to fully one-half of all people who will get SARS-CoV-2 will show no symptoms at all.
You probably do know someone that has it, you may have it, who knows? Carson told Fox News host Martha MacCallum on Thursday. But people have been terrified because weve talked about the bad.
SARS stands for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome. This new virus is an off-shoot of that one, which emerged in 2003 less deadly but more infection. In that 2003 outbreak, The World Health Organization (WHO) said the fatality rate for SARS was 14% to 15%. The agency estimated the fatality rate for people older than 64 years to be more than 50%
When we see that bell-shaped curve and weve seen it come down rather steeply in some other countries when that happens [and] we havent seen it go back up, thats what we are looking for here, he said. That already seems to be starting.
Obviously, we dont want to [resume economic activity] too early. We will wait for a couple of weeks and see if that continues down and then we also need to make sure that we have appropriate testing, he said, adding We cant operate out of hysteria. When people are hysterical they dont do logical things.
So is he saying we will have a 2% death rate? If true, by the time Covid burns through the population that means ~6.5mm dead Americans. I would say thats very unlikely.
98%?Bring Out Your DeadThat translates to a fatality rate of 2%, 20 times worse than a seasonal flu,bro!
If you use people who are actually sick (rather than merely positive) as the denominator, it's higher than that.
Even then, it's still not high enough to be civilization destroying.
Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.
The purpose of the Bring Out Your Dead ping list (formerly the Ebola ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.
The false positive rate was 100%.
At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the Bring Out Your Dead threads will miss the beginning entirely.
*sigh* Such is life, and death...
If a quarantine saves just one child's or one old farts life, it's worth it.
He’s not being literal by that figure, I don’t think.
Totally.
They are of the same Deep State "Experts" that have been "exerting" us into servitude and poverty since before World War II.
This has to be the first “pandemic” in history that bankrupts hospitals and forces them to lay off clinical staff due to a shortage of work.
I think he means 2% of those currently testing positive.
There’s some unknown amount of people who get it but don’t get tested.
Our fatality rate (confirmed vs deaths) is 3.71% now. Yesterday was the lowest daily fatality rate increase(12.37%) since I started tracking on 3/22. Our confirmed daily increase is about 8%. Our %’s are plummeting
Italy’s fatality rate is 12.77%. Their daily fatality rate increase is 3% which is basically the same as their confirmed daily increases. The %’s have been that way for quite a while.
Not opinion. Just data
That translates to a fatality rate of 2%, 20 times worse than a seasonal flu,bro!
No it doesn’t.
Wonder how many people, who didn’t go to the hospital or to a doctors office, have died from non-virus issues?
Quite a few people live because a exam revealed a person had cancer or a underlying heart problem or the like.
‘If true, by the time Covid burns through the population that means ~6.5mm dead Americans.’
yeah, that’s what he’s saying, if every US resident got infected; that’s not likely, some would have a natural immunity, it would miss some others for some reason...but I think his numbers are off, 2% seems pretty high...
Where did he say that?
f true, by the time Covid burns through the population that means ~6.5mm dead Americans.
Laughable attempt to invoke hysteria anyone?
Which are you then?
Fauci or Birx?
flu runs around 1 percent mortality rate or so.
(and like from this new Virus, deaths from flu is almost all concentrated in the aged....people who are more likely to have other contributing health conditions and/or immunological weaknesses
both are important. my only comment is that if we were to lock down America for every flu that goes around, we’d be one big North Korean style prison camp on an almost perpetual basis.
OK. So...do you drive? Ever get on a bus or train? Ever travel?
38,000 die from road accidents every single year.
So according to you, every single child should stay home , get under the table and assume the fetal position because they may die from road accidents or get hit by a car if they ever venture out?
I believe Dr. Carson. And not Hillary’s boyfriend.
‘No it doesnt.’
well, yeah it does; 100-98 equals 2...I think he was just using a high number as an indicator of lethality; the true number is more likely 99.something percent...
When I gave half my liver to my brother I had a 2% chance of death and 15% chance of complications. That was an acceptable risk to me.
2% of our nation WILL NOT die because of hydroxychlorolquine. The French Dr. Didier Raoult has been achieving 91% cure using this drug in combination with azithromycin.
This nation needs to come out of isolation least we collapse economically. The left wants this collapse. They think they will then rule the ashes. That is why they are hyper critical of hydroxychlorolquine. It is all about power and politics.
If the lock down is eased some people will catch the disease. Those that are severe will be treated with the above mentioned drugs. Actually it is necessary for 60% of our population to become infected and recover. This will give us herd immunity. The virus will still be around but no longer a pandemic.
We are many months from a vaccine available to the public. That is if we can develop one. We have been trying to do this for HIV since the 80s. Today we do not have a vaccine for HIV.
Wonder how many people, who didnt go to the hospital or to a doctors office, have died from non-virus issues?
Quite a few people live because a exam revealed a person had cancer or a underlying heart problem or the like.
Exactly. All kinds of elderly and at risk folks are now terrified to go to the hospital for any reason. But nothing else matters as long as Wu Flu addicts get their fear fix.
And I’ll bet that it’s 99.9% of those under 80.
Dr. Carson is the best Nero Surgeon of our time. Great talent. Perhaps a genius.
I read about him 30 years ago.
The President has a good balance of advisors, including Mike Pence.
I hope Dr. Carson, and Surgeon General Adams are freely lending advice.
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