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Study released today: Coronavirus 4.8% Mortality Rate
Medrxiv.org ^ | Medrxiv.org

Posted on 02/24/2020 5:18:52 PM PST by BusterDog

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To: cba123
What is Medrxiv.org?

I never heard of it but it comes with this warning:

Caution: Preprints are preliminary reports of work that have not been peer-reviewed. They should not be relied on to guide clinical practice or health-related behavior and should not be reported in news media as established information.

21 posted on 02/24/2020 5:30:24 PM PST by yesthatjallen
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To: Mr. Blond

Actually, the previous numbers were 1%-2%. This is 2 times worse than those numbers.

Advise.?


22 posted on 02/24/2020 5:30:38 PM PST by Black Agnes
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To: null and void

I have changed my prognosis on the world’s response to KungFlu to profoundly negative. Summed up by this:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YZuMe5RvxPQ

Italy can’t even find patient zero. Physical attacks on Asians there.

Passengers coming from China through Europe and lying about where they have been.

DHS won’t say it was/wasn’t man made.

CDC can’t even make viable test kits in a reasonable quantity.

The Chi-coms are clearly in total panic.

The economy will take a big hit on this that will be blamed on Trump.


23 posted on 02/24/2020 5:32:43 PM PST by mad_as_he$$
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To: Gideon7

I heard a comment that virtually everyone in China already has compromised lungs and leads to a higher death rate. Makes sense.


24 posted on 02/24/2020 5:32:56 PM PST by cornfedcowboy
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To: mad_as_he$$

You missed:

Congress is getting a classified briefing tomorrow. They will hear from officials from a variety of agencies, including HHS, DHS, CDC, NIH and State...


25 posted on 02/24/2020 5:34:40 PM PST by null and void (By the pricking of my lungs, Something wicked this way comes ...)
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To: Secret Agent Man

“Consider this is mostly, almost all asian deaths.. They are more prone to have serious cases and die from this than those with european genetics.”

I keep seeing people post this, but where is the supporting study? Could it be simply a case of most of the infections to date have been in Asia - where mostly Asians live? I’ve seen one incomplete study that ranked susceptibility by race, but in no way said this was a predominantly Asian thing. Smoking was a bigger factor. Is there a better, more complete study that has the racial data and controls for environmental factors?


26 posted on 02/24/2020 5:35:50 PM PST by calenel (The Democratic Party is a Criminal Enterprise. It is the Progressive Mafia.)
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To: BRL

I suspect the high rates of smoking among Chinese men have a lot to do with the mortality rate of a primarily respiratory illness.


27 posted on 02/24/2020 5:36:11 PM PST by Raymond Pamintuan
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To: Black Agnes

Don’t be Asian.


28 posted on 02/24/2020 5:37:51 PM PST by Mr. Blond
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To: Mr. Blond

Or Italian.

Or Iranian.


29 posted on 02/24/2020 5:38:53 PM PST by Black Agnes
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To: null and void

Forgot that one, it is a bad omen. Which traitor will be the first to break the security of the briefing? Schiff and Nadless will be out blaming Trump before first break.


30 posted on 02/24/2020 5:40:03 PM PST by mad_as_he$$
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To: Black Agnes
I’ve been assured this is just panic to crash the market.

Was it the FR Virologist League that assured you? Aren't they all in the lab busy reverse engineering the virus molecule?

31 posted on 02/24/2020 5:43:39 PM PST by JonPreston
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To: Paladin2

“ Nice crystal ball you have there.

When will this rising tide start happening?”

Since we’re talking crystal balls...My guess is a lower open followed by buying and a higher close. It will take a while to exceed previous highs, but most likely not too many months.


32 posted on 02/24/2020 5:44:05 PM PST by jdsteel (Americans are Dreamers too!!!)
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To: BusterDog

Thanks... good info.


33 posted on 02/24/2020 5:47:34 PM PST by DoughtyOne (The DNC has a taxidermist on speed dial for Nancy, Hillary, and Ruth.)
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To: BusterDog

.


34 posted on 02/24/2020 5:48:10 PM PST by sauropod (David Horowitz: “Inside every progressive is a totalitarian screaming to get out.”)
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To: Gideon7

I also think they aren’t necessarily factoring in the reinfection rates, which can be worse the second time around on the heart. These are the people keeling over from a heart attack.


35 posted on 02/24/2020 5:48:18 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not Averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: yesthatjallen; bitt; LucyT

yesthatjallen wrote:

“”What is Medrxiv.org?”

I never heard of it but it comes with this warning:

Caution: Preprints are preliminary reports of work that have not been peer-reviewed. They should not be relied on to guide clinical practice or health-related behavior and should not be reported in news media as established information.”

Thank you for posting this info!!!

NOTE THESE:

-—preliminary report-—

-—should not be reported in news media as established information-—

-—PING-—

https://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3819214/posts?page=21#21


36 posted on 02/24/2020 5:48:24 PM PST by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57 returning after lurking since 2000)
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To: yesthatjallen

Caution: Preprints are preliminary reports of work that have not been peer-reviewed. They should not be relied on to guide clinical practice or health-related behavior and should not be reported in news media as established information.

Read that right up front and left that site.


37 posted on 02/24/2020 5:48:52 PM PST by Grampa Dave ( Sell the 2020 Dem presidential candidate on EBay with 50 Billion $'s as the minimum EBay bid!)
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To: Secret Agent Man

Italians might not agree with you right now.


38 posted on 02/24/2020 5:50:38 PM PST by datura
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To: jdsteel

“Although new details about the virus’s nature and its growth are still emerging, we know that it has a 2–14 day incubation period and the average #/transmissions by each person who has it is roughly 2.6. As of Feb 14, over 64,000 have been suspected/confirmed to be infected, with almost 1400 deaths.

Despite the seemingly endless media coverage of the virus, many questions remain unanswered. Are there truly only 60k+ confirmed cases, or is this figure deflated? Is the number of fatalities under-reported as well? How fast is the virus spreading every day? How dangerous is it? In order for us to accurately gauge the danger it poses, it’s necessary to calculate the mortality rate. Even if the virus is spreading quickly, it is not a large threat if people don’t die after contracting it.

Currently, the mortality rate calculations are incorrect and misleading. As of now, it is calculated by dividing the number of deaths by the number of infected. The figure below shows the “misleading” mortality rate for Hubei Province since Jan 22. Based on these calculations, the mortality rate is determined to be around 2.5% currently. However, it is incorrect because it does not take one hugely important factor into account: the lag effect.”

There seem to be some likely significant unknown unknowns lurking around out there.


39 posted on 02/24/2020 5:53:47 PM PST by Paladin2
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To: calenel

“I keep seeing people post this, but where is the supporting study? Could it be simply a case of most of the infections to date have been in Asia - where mostly Asians live? I’ve seen one incomplete study that ranked susceptibility by race, but in no way said this was a predominantly Asian thing. Smoking was a bigger factor. Is there a better, more complete study that has the racial data and controls for environmental factors?”

Coronavirus risk for Asians, Africans, Caucasians revealed”:

https://www.eturbonews.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/risk.jpeg


40 posted on 02/24/2020 5:54:36 PM PST by Grampa Dave ( Sell the 2020 Dem presidential candidate on EBay with 50 Billion $'s as the minimum EBay bid!)
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