Posted on 11/04/2018 10:58:21 AM PST by SeekAndFind
President Donald Trump's late campaign blitz targeting immigrants has rallied the Republican base of white working-class voters, helping to curb the Democratic advantage heading into Tuesday's midterm elections for Congress.
The election-eve NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows Democrats leading by seven percentage points, 50 percent to 43 percent, among likely voters. That's down from a nine-percentage point lead last month.
That slightly narrowing reflects rising interest in the election from the foundation of Trump's support: White men, especially older, less educated, less affluent ones in small towns and rural areas. Most noteworthy for a mid-term election, the 2018 campaign has seized the attention of voters at presidential-campaign levels and Trump has helped Republicans wipe out the advantage Democrats held earlier in the campaign.
"There has been some method to his madness," said Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducts the NBC/WSJ survey with his Democratic counterpart Peter Hart. "The base is coming home."
The results presage the possibility of a split verdict on Tuesday. With many battleground House races taking place in more affluent suburbs, the unusual Trump-era advantage Democrats continue to maintain among college-educated whites especially women represent a strong sign for their prospects of gaining or exceeding the 23-seat gain they need to recapture the majority.
But in the less-populated, more conservative states that will decide control of the Senate, the late campaign trend brightens Republican prospects. Needing a two-seat gain to recapture a majority, Democrats must defend incumbents in states such as Missouri, Indiana and North Dakota where the Trump base looms larger.
"Republicans have clearly made progress," McInturff said. One key indicator: the Democratic edge among independent voters has dipped to nine percentage points from 14 percent last month, reflecting fresh uncertainty among less-affluent white men.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...
A 7 point lead NATIONALLY doesn't mean much when you consider population centers like IL, NY and CA overwhelmingly poll for Dems.
What matters, especially for control of the House, is how the voting shakes out for individual races.
Don’t forget Indiana.
Ive already voted!!
NBC has been locked in competion with CNN for the most left wing biased propaganda outlet out there for months now.
Yeah, NBC, we believe you, Ill just stay home and drink my sad day wiskey to get ready to lose on Tuesday! NOT!
Actually, I voted by mail a couple weeks ago.
Fake slanted poll. If NBC is only givin the Rats +7, its half that in reality, at best. I always add 5 points to the GOP/Trump in any fake news poll.
Rasmussen has it at Dems +3 so thats about right
From what I seen he might be rallying a sizable group of blacks to the GOP side also
The last I checked Rasmussen had the Dems with only 3 percent generic lead as of October 31 and for the period ending October 25, 43% surveyed see the country heading in the right direction versus 53% saying it is on the wrong track, a gap of minus 10. At about this time in 2010, it was 32% saying on right track versus 64% saying on wrong, a gap of minus 32.
It never left.
Yup.
A national lead is meaningless. State by state results matter far more.
They always have but such polls are very expensive to do and moreover they dont fit the narrative.
We can expect a result similar to 2014 or 2016.
I just laugh. Taunts and insults are all they've got.
Harwood is a leftie bootlicker.
Our bumpkins are vastly over matched by the “poor, uneducated, urban, minority and vicious masses.”
I’ll take our bumpkins any day.
We should have hammered the illegal issue weeks ago. The GOPe would be happy talking about the corporate tax rate x infinity, but MS-13 moves the base.
I heard on the Collusion News Network the Democrats had a 70-point advantage and there is no point in any Republicans even bothering to vote.
What are the numbers for registered voters? Those are the serious ones.
Actually the likely voters is the one to take serious. Its hard not to get a little discouraged when you see a seven point Rat advantage 2 days out. I keep thinking that its common sense you would look at why you got it so wrong in 16 and fix it, so this worries me a bit but we know nothing about the weighting of the sample.
Getty images aren’t allowed on FR. You may want
to hit abuse and asked the mods to pull it.
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Of course we all believe the garbage from cnbc!
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