Posted on 08/06/2018 4:16:21 PM PDT by Pinkbell
An Emerson College e-Poll released on Monday shows that Tuesday’s special election in Ohio’s 12th Congressional District is a dead heat between Democrat Danny O’Connor and Republican Troy Balderson.
The Emerson College Polling Society said in a statement accompanying the release of the poll:
The final US Congressional special election before the November midterm elections will be held on August 7 in Ohio’s 12th district and it shows a neck and neck race:
The Democrat, Franklin County Recorder Danny O’Connor has 47% of the vote and Republican, State Senator Troy Balderson is at 46%, 7% of very likely voters were undecided. The data was collected August 2 to 4, with +/-5 percentage points. The poll was taken prior to President Trump’s rally in the district on August 4.
The statement continued:
Both Congressional candidates are polarizing figures O’Connor has a 44% favorable and 41% unfavorable, while Balderson has a 46% favorable and 45% unfavorable opinion. President Trump is more popular in the district than he is nationwide with a 47% approval and 48% disapproval. Better news for Balderson, is that Pelosi is severely disliked with 56% disapproval and a 22% approval rating.
Independents are breaking 56% to 28% for O’Connor, and the Clinton voter seem more loyal to their party candidates in this election that those who voted for Trump. Clinton voters are breaking for O’Connor 95% to 3%, while Trump voters are breaking for Balderson 89% to 7%.
The Emerson College e-Poll “was conducted August 2-4, 2018 under the Supervision of Assistant Professor Spencer Kimball. The sample consisted of only likely voters, n=431, with a Credibility Interval (similar to margin of error) of +/- 5 percentage points. The data was weighted by party affiliation, age, county and gender based on a turnout out model.”
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Thanks for your predictions. From your keyboard to God’s ears!
So this Ohio election is THE election, not just a primary? The winner will go to Congress?
Sorry to be so dense but thought the actual elections take place in November and everything else leading up to November is just preliminaries.
I heard another election will be held in November
Precisely correct. If we did an E Poll on Free Republic about Nancy Pelosi we all know the results.
I hope for my sake that there’s a clear cut winner. I used to live in Ohio, but 5 years ago we moved to Indiana. Whenever there’s some big political issue at stake in Ohio, we get phone calls on our Indiana landline. Drives me nuts! Five years of this nonsense! I’ve tried calling the Secretary of State’s Office. Let’s see if my latest call (today) has any effect.
This is a “Special Election” to fill a vacated seat by a Congressman that resigned. The winner will serve for about four months and then he will have to run for re-election come November 6th, 2018.
Bottom line is: while the media & the Democrats are howling how important this election is, it is not important at all, looking at the big picture. These two gents will be facing each other come November, competing for a full term House seat.
You must also understand that a scheduled regular election is a completely different game. Many more voters will turn out to vote in November, then will turn out today in this “Special Election”. Thus, the Republicans will hold this seat long term whether they win tomorrow or in November. They may not win tomorrow, but, they will win for sure in November for this is truly a heavy Republican district.
However, Voters in the Ohio, 12thCD...turn out and, today and cast your votes for Republican, Troy Balderson. support POTUS, Doanld J. Trump, VP, Mike Pence, Congressman, Jim Jordan and....MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN...(MAGA)!!!
Thanks for the explanation!
All I am looking for is good data. I am well aware of polls used for pushing opinion instead of capturing it, but this polling outfit got PA 18 correct.
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