Posted on 11/07/2016 9:43:16 AM PST by ThinkingBuddha
Which candidate do you think most of your neighbors are voting for? Trump +18
Southeast Florida seems to be the only problem. Trump leads in every other region
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Go Trump!
The thing that is perplexing about this poll is why does the split between Trump and Clinton swing so wildly based on which age demographic you’re in? Doesn’t make any sense. Maybe it’s because the sample size in each demographic group is so small.
If Trump is up 18 in Miami Hillary does not “have a path” to 100, much less 270.
Those internals look real good for Trump.
SE Florida is populated by a lot of Northeastern Libs who have retired there plus a large Hispanic population (non-Cuban).
I think Miami is in the southeast. Trump is -27 there.
If I am reading the internals correctly, the respondents are 56% female and 44% male. Is that a fair estimate of gender turnout? Trump does better with males, so if males make up more than 44% of the turnout, which I would think would be a given, he will do even better. Also striking is his numbers with blacks and Hispanics, 26% and 41%, respectively.
Kaine drew a crowd of thirty there last week.
It’s about Broward and Dade. Have to beat those votes in the smaller areas.
Thank goodness for FR. Only here are those polls shown. On Murdoch News and Murdoch Business, the Wicked Witch is referred to as having victory assured.
SE Florida is dominated by Democrats, excepting only some GOP districts and enclaves. In statewide contests, GOP candidates win by running up large margins in SW and North Florida and carrying the swing areas of Central Florida. After the 1968 election, this so-called I-4 corridor across the middle of the state was recognized as having a combination of lots of newcomers, loose partisans, and independents clustered in dense media markets. From St.Pete and Tampa, to Lakeland, to Orlando, and on to Daytona Beach, lots of campaign money gets spent on trying to reach these persuadable voters.
Where are you getting those numbers?
Don't know about Florida speciically, but nationally the Male/Female split is usually 47/53 or 48/52.
“From St.Pete and Tampa, to Lakeland, to Orlando, and on to Daytona Beach,”
You are right...here is where the action is. We are in St. Pete and the there is more ads and campaign rallies here than in any year we can remember, going back 26 years.
Even Obama’s 2 elections, never has there been this amount of attention given to Tampa Bay.
Boy, I hope this poll is accurate!!!!
Miami-Dade, Broward (Ft. Lauderdale), Palm Beach have always been 'the problem'.............let's hope that the rich yankees moving down from NYC, Philly and NJ have driven up the prices of property in that area that they are really just a minority there....................
How do you know that?
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