Go Trump!
The thing that is perplexing about this poll is why does the split between Trump and Clinton swing so wildly based on which age demographic you’re in? Doesn’t make any sense. Maybe it’s because the sample size in each demographic group is so small.
If Trump is up 18 in Miami Hillary does not “have a path” to 100, much less 270.
Those internals look real good for Trump.
If I am reading the internals correctly, the respondents are 56% female and 44% male. Is that a fair estimate of gender turnout? Trump does better with males, so if males make up more than 44% of the turnout, which I would think would be a given, he will do even better. Also striking is his numbers with blacks and Hispanics, 26% and 41%, respectively.
It’s about Broward and Dade. Have to beat those votes in the smaller areas.
Thank goodness for FR. Only here are those polls shown. On Murdoch News and Murdoch Business, the Wicked Witch is referred to as having victory assured.
SE Florida is dominated by Democrats, excepting only some GOP districts and enclaves. In statewide contests, GOP candidates win by running up large margins in SW and North Florida and carrying the swing areas of Central Florida. After the 1968 election, this so-called I-4 corridor across the middle of the state was recognized as having a combination of lots of newcomers, loose partisans, and independents clustered in dense media markets. From St.Pete and Tampa, to Lakeland, to Orlando, and on to Daytona Beach, lots of campaign money gets spent on trying to reach these persuadable voters.
Boy, I hope this poll is accurate!!!!
Miami-Dade, Broward (Ft. Lauderdale), Palm Beach have always been 'the problem'.............let's hope that the rich yankees moving down from NYC, Philly and NJ have driven up the prices of property in that area that they are really just a minority there....................
I’ve never heard of Trafalgar polling: anyone familiar with them, know if they’re reliable?
Trafalgar Polling tends to be quite good. I really like the Who do you think your neighbors are voting for? question. It really broadens the reach of the poll beyond the sample size. Not as scientific, but I think a good indicator. A lot of the polls, including this one, are oversampling women. These folks are probably hedging the increased female voter turnout because of a woman in the race. I don’t think that is going to materialize. Partially because I think there is going to be an equal or larger increase in the male vote because of the wicked witch.
I live in a small subdivision in red county in a red state.
I KNOW most of my neighbors are voting Trump.
I’ve seen Trump yard signs.
I briefly saw a Hillary sign on the interstate exit last week. It was GONE before the day ended.
enjoyed reading this again...