Posted on 11/04/2016 4:48:31 PM PDT by mandaladon
The last week has been a tough one for Hillary Clinton. Last Friday's announcement by FBI Director James Comey that emails considered “pertinent” to the investigation into Clinton's use of a private email server had been discovered accelerated a bump in Donald Trump's poll numbers that had begun before that news hit.
National polling was the first to tighten — the WaPo-ABC Tracking Poll showed the Democratic presidential candidate up three points on Friday — but swing-state polling has followed suit. CNN, as of Friday morning, even had Clinton below 270 electoral votes for the first time in a long time.
We at The Fix aren't there just yet. But we are making three changes in our electoral-map ratings — all of which favor Trump.
The biggest move is Ohio — from “toss-up” to “lean Republican.” The Buckeye State, which went for Barack Obama in each of his two races, has long been one of the friendlier swing states for Trump, thanks in large part to its older and whiter (as compared with the country as a whole) population. The last two polls in the state have shown Trump up five points, and the RealClearPolitics polling average gives the Republican nominee a 3.3-point edge. That fits more with our “lean” category than our “toss-up” one. Clinton isn't giving up on the state, however — she'll be in Cleveland on Sunday.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
Remebpmber these are businesses, they have owners. Like the Murdock’s who also control the WSJ. If you owned a TV network and a newspaper wouldn’t you make sure they reflex your views?
The world is turning upside down. Fox is reporting Trump down and CNN and WaPo reporting him up.
Yes , I agree the final map will resemble the 2014 mid- term , due to lack of interest in HRC especially among low info and millennial Dems . Polls based on a Obama like D+5 or greater turnout are NUTZ ..
Just heard an interview by a Boston talk host of a former Governor of New Hampshire (a tossup state).They've had "same day voting" for a few years and he said that proven fraud was rampant both in '12 and '14....bus loads of people being brought up from Massachusetts.He said they have people prepared to fight it this year but he didn't have much hope of being successful.
Fox News is the propaganda outlet for the Cheap Labor Express.
The only way it keeps running is if Hillary gets elected.
That’s why GHWB and GWB will be voting for Hillary.
We Trump voters are just sitting quietly back until November 8th. Then we’ll make our move. The Dems won’t know what hit them.
Michael Patrick Leahy with Breitbart was on my local station this morning. They wore discussing his predictions for the swing states.
His opinion is Hillary will get MI and CO, but Trump will get the rest...FL, NC, PA, OH, IA, NM, AZ, UT, NH and I forget which other states in their opinion were toss-ups.
He said Trump would get 290 EV and Hillary would get 248.
“We can then watch her head explode.”
Well, at least she won’t get brains on anyone.
Ping.
Have you made a EV prediction yet. I am about to lock mine in.
All the states you have in red have been discussed as far as I can recall except Delaware. That’s the only big surprise on your map. Vermont has had some chat as well but you give it to H
My EV map has Trump 270, Clinton 195, and 73 toss-up. Some of the toss-ups are starting to trend Trump, though.
289
Trump/Pence 300 EV
Cankles/Kaine 238 EV
President Donald J Trump!
I read somewhere that Delaware is a statistical tie. Vermont has Sanders supporters who despise Canklepotomus, but I don’t see it moving.
I am in Florida. I believe he will win this state.
Yup. That’s what I think it’s going to look like;
279 or 299 depending on PA.
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