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The Battleground Poll and Trump's Path to Victory
American Thinker ^ | September 9, 2016 | Bruce Walker

Posted on 09/09/2016 9:04:41 AM PDT by Kaslin

The GWU Battleground Poll published on September 9 shows Donald Trump a clear path to victory: win the conservative vote. The data in this poll has been consistent over the last two decades, and the data in the latest poll is no different. The overwhelming majority of Americans are self-identified conservatives.

The September 2016 Battleground Poll shows that 54% of all Americans are self-identified conservatives and only 38% are self-identified liberals, which means that if the tiny "moderate" 3% and the equally tiny "unsure/refused" 4% are excluded, then the conservative candidate would beat the liberal candidate by a landslide of 58.7% of the vote. If the two groups of ideologically unclear voters broke even for the two candidates, then the conservative candidate would win "only" by 57.5% of the vote.

The GWU Battleground Poll looks at the conservative and liberal breakdown of America nationally. Gallup has actually analyzed the conservative and liberal breakdown of individual states, and, as in the Battleground Poll, Gallup has tested this data over and over in many polls over many years. The results are the same.

In the last Gallup Poll that broke down the ideological split of each of the fifty states, conservatives outnumbered liberals in every state except Vermont, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts. Consider the huge conservative advantage in percentage points in those states identified as key for Trump: Michigan (+11.6), Pennsylvania (+12.3), Arizona (+12.8), Virginia (+13.4), Florida (+14.0), Wisconsin (+14.4), Ohio (+16.3), Iowa (+17.3), North Carolina (+19.5)...and so on.

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(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona; US: Florida; US: Iowa; US: Massachusetts; US: North Carolina; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; 2016swingstates; donaldtrump; polls
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To: EQAndyBuzz

I really don’t see Hillary taking any Rust belt state beyond MN and IL...

Will Philly have fraud? sure.. but she has ZERO enthusiasm, she won’t get enough turnout and support even with the fraud in Philly to carry PA... Same with Detroit and MI.

She isn’t going to win OH or NC either....

There just isn’t a path for Hillary, the rust belt firewall is going to crumble and so is some of the new england states as well.


21 posted on 09/09/2016 10:58:51 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: jonno

I welcome anyone who wants to vote against Hillary!, but I’d prefer it if they’d vote against Hillary for the only other candidate that actually has a chance of winning.

Heck, the Libertarian party isn’t even running libertarian candidates this year.


22 posted on 09/09/2016 11:48:26 AM PDT by Little Ray (Freedom Before Security!)
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To: Kaslin

fl


23 posted on 09/09/2016 12:08:41 PM PDT by maine-iac7 (A Christian is as a Christian does - "By their works...")
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To: SteveH

sounds like a prescreening call


24 posted on 09/09/2016 12:20:19 PM PDT by thoughtomator (This message has been encrypted in ROT13 twice for maximum security)
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To: thoughtomator

for what? not commercial service since they asked for my party affiliation. maybe they wanted to check to see if i had recently updated my affiliation due to current events. that would make a little bit of sense. it could tell them which way the wind was blowing (?)


25 posted on 09/09/2016 12:37:17 PM PDT by SteveH
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To: jonno
If they hadn't sat the 2006 elections out because they wanted to teach the GOP a lessen, the rats would not have taken over Congress and they would not have kept the Senate for eight years.

If they had not sat the 2008 and 2012 general elections out because they did not like the nominees. That arrogant pos occupant of 1600 Pennsylvania Ave would have not been elected, yet alone reelected

But I know I am preaching to the wall *sigh*

26 posted on 09/09/2016 2:19:33 PM PDT by Kaslin
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To: SteveH
I don't answer calls on my cellphone from numbers I do not recognize. I have a specific ringtone and when that rings I don't answer. The exception was yesterday when someone reminded me of an appointment I had today, but it said who it was, so of course I answered.

I used to have a Landline and my phone had an audible Caller ID. So again if I did not recognize the number or the caller, I just did not answer the phone.

27 posted on 09/09/2016 2:30:57 PM PDT by Kaslin
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To: jonno

The big problem Trump has is that conservatives only really want to vote for a true conservative, preferably a conservative with an originalist view of the meaning of The Constitution. Most do not believe Trump fits into that category.


28 posted on 09/10/2016 8:07:08 AM PDT by AFPhys ((Liberalism is what Smart looks like to Stupid people - Trademark - Mia of KC. Rush - 1:50-8/21/15))
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To: AFPhys

Yep - the “perfect” is the enemy of the “good” - which, outside of heaven is an extremely unrealistic expectation.

To “take ones ball and go home” because you “only” get 80% of what you want, is immature and or prideful, and WORSE, goes against (once again) the wisdom of the great Ronaldus Magnus:

http://www.azquotes.com/picture-quotes/quote-the-person-who-agrees-with-you-80-percent-of-the-time-is-a-friend-and-an-ally-not-a-ronald-reagan-51-92-72.jpg


29 posted on 09/10/2016 9:49:34 AM PDT by jonno (Having an opinion is not the same as having the answer...)
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