Posted on 08/31/2016 3:51:30 PM PDT by 11th_VA
A new Emerson College Polling Society poll has good news for North Carolina Republicans after several polls put Democrats in the lead here.
The survey of 800 likely voters found GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump with 45 percent support to 43 percent support for Democrat Hillary Clinton. In the U.S. Senate race, Republican incumbent Sen. Richard Burr had 45 percent, with Democrat Deborah Ross receiving 41 percent.
Burr’s lead is barely outside the poll’s 3.4 percent margin of error. The margin also means the presidential race is statistically tied in North Carolina.
Other recent polls have given a narrow lead to Clinton in North Carolina. With the addition of the Emerson poll, Real Clear Politics’ polling average has Clinton with a 0.5 percent lead here – meaning the presidential race is tighter here than in the six other swing states where Real Clear Politics is tracking polls.
Trump hasn’t fared well in polls nationally lately, so his campaign was quick to trumpet the Emerson results, tweeting “thank you North Carolina” as soon as the two-point lead was announced.
In the Senate race, only one poll has put Ross in the lead. The Real Clear Politics polling average currently gives Burr a 2.6 percent lead.
Emerson’s Senate poll failed to include Libertarian candidate Sean Haugh, although the presidential poll included third-party candidates. Given that Haugh’s candidacy could draw some voters from Burr and Ross, it’s difficult to accurately poll the race without him.
Emerson did not poll the governor’s race.
Read more here: http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/election/article99086037.html#storylink=cpy
With voter registration changes, FL and NC are safe.
Actually, only worried about VA at this point.
Bump!
D 38.6%
R 32.7%
I 28.7%
Male 45.4%
Female 54.6%
Just posting internals, not speaking on validity.
NC will go Trump in a landslide. Liberals are being shamed into voting for Gary.
What is voter registration in NC?
I’m not sure what it was in 2012, but 2012 really wouldn’t be a good comparison and W+10 just seems a little too high. No idea on actual makeup of NC makeup looks like.
The only thing I’ve been able to reference outside of past elections, would be Gallup tracking, which shows Conservative/liberal trends by state.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/188969/red-states-outnumber-blue-first-time-gallup-tracking.aspx
replace “actual makeup of” with “what” lol
I’m glad Trump is up.
Burr is a Cheap Labor Express stooge so I’m less enthused about that.
Good news for TRUMP
TRUMP always outperforms on close races & wins by 5+
Misses the single-largest voting bloc—the 40%+ who don't usually vote—the bulk of whom are voting for Trump, though no pollster knows it yet.
Trump ~ 70%
Clint ~ 22%
Will make Reagan's historic sweep look like a squeaker.
Only a fool would think either MSN can lose North Carolina.
VA hasn’t been red in a while. He DOES need some states that we haven’t won recently and he WILL get them.
I’d love the most recent polls on NJ, NY and PA.
I’m not naive, I live in NYC. But one never knows!!
It’s the same thing, Hillary ahead she is leading, Trump ahead, he has a “narrow” or “slim” lead. Trump takes NC massively.
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