New WI Poll: Trump 42, Cruz 32, Kasich 23

American Research Group ^ | 04/04/2016 | American Research Group

[GIdget2004]

Likely Republican Primary Voters Apr 1-3 Cruz 32% Kasich 23% Trump 42% Other * Undecided 3%

[Rome2000]

TRUMP OR BUST!!

Last chance to avoid the fall.

[Haiku Guy]

HA!

[FreeReign]

So I guess this poll can be discounted now.

[kik5150]

I guess if they keep it up on the sidebar long enough it might come true.

[HLPhat]

>>He almost never (if not never) admits mistakes.

Hmmm.

http://www.amazon.com/Extreme-Ownership-U-S-Navy-SEALs-ebook/dp/B00VE4Y0Z2

“(*) The leader is always responsible. (This is what they call “extreme ownership.” Basically, leaders must always “own” the mistakes and shortcomings of their teams.)”

[NelsonEddyFan]

As a “newbie,” I thank you for the heads-up!

[gbscott1954]

“Yup, Trump by 10%...that’s my prediction.”

How did that work out for ya??

[RoosterRedux]

Pretty good hindsight there.

[Fundamentally Fair]

No, just an observation of facts that should lead you to reevaluate your prediction skills.

[RoosterRedux]

Just because Trump lost, one cannot logically conclude (as you seem to) that Stone's lowering of expectations did or did not cause more Trump supporters to turn out.

One can only conclude that Trump lost.

You might want to reconsider your grasp on reality.

[LiveFree99]

I was actually wrong about ARG's quality of data; the Magic Eightball is at least right SOME of the time.

A weekend poll and they had Trump up by +10. Actual result: Cruz by +13.2, an error of 23.2.

I knew ARG was basically a random number generator, but it takes a certain level of brutal incompetence to be this consistently wretched.

By the way, both Fox Business and Marquette had Cruz by +10, so this was a predictable race.

[Pelham]

IIRC the polls I saw had Cruz winning in a range from 8-19%.

So his 13.2% is a respectable win.

But unless Cruz has a strategy that will give him 1237 on the first ballot this is won’t get him the nomination.

His new BFFs in the GOP establishment will stab him in the back as soon as he ceases to be useful in denying Trump 1237. Neither Cruz nor Trump have a prayer in an open convention. All hail President Ryan and his VP Rubio.

[wardaddy]

No it was magic eightball this time

Off 23 points

That will affect their historical indicators A BUNCH

[wardaddy]

After next run of primaries Cruz will be out of the running

He knows that which is why this morning he stated we’ll win in the primaries or at the convention

[Pelham]

I just can’t imagine how Cruz believes that he can win at the convention. That GOPe crew will stab him faster than Brutus and his pals did Julius Caesar. Maybe the pressure of the campaign has made him delusional.

The only thing he will succeed in doing is stopping Trump and handing the nomination to Ryan.

[Fundamentally Fair]

I conclude that you fail to recognize when you are wrong.

[RoosterRedux]

Another illogical point.

You just don't give up do you.

[Starstruck]

Oh, are people FINALLY realizing Trump is going to win Wisconsin?! I’m telling you, I live here and his support is much stronger than Cruz has

Guess you really have your finger on the pulse of Wisconsin.

[Starstruck]

As they get closer to the actual vote, they have to give more honest numbers, in order to not look stupid later.

Looks like they chose to move toward stupid. Aaarg.

[mabelkitty]

Ohio was the same way.
Trump and Kasich polling going in and then swapped after voting.

Fraud.