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To: wardaddy; Pelham; onyx
I was actually wrong about ARG's quality of data; the Magic Eightball is at least right SOME of the time.

A weekend poll and they had Trump up by +10. Actual result: Cruz by +13.2, an error of 23.2.

I knew ARG was basically a random number generator, but it takes a certain level of brutal incompetence to be this consistently wretched.

By the way, both Fox Business and Marquette had Cruz by +10, so this was a predictable race.

411 posted on 04/06/2016 8:14:36 AM PDT by LiveFree99
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To: LiveFree99; wardaddy; onyx

IIRC the polls I saw had Cruz winning in a range from 8-19%.

So his 13.2% is a respectable win.

But unless Cruz has a strategy that will give him 1237 on the first ballot this is won’t get him the nomination.

His new BFFs in the GOP establishment will stab him in the back as soon as he ceases to be useful in denying Trump 1237. Neither Cruz nor Trump have a prayer in an open convention. All hail President Ryan and his VP Rubio.


412 posted on 04/06/2016 8:36:59 AM PDT by Pelham (A refusal to deport is defacto amnesty)
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To: LiveFree99

No it was magic eightball this time

Off 23 points

That will affect their historical indicators A BUNCH


413 posted on 04/06/2016 8:44:05 AM PDT by wardaddy (is Cruz last name a coincidence or a blessing or is he the anti Christ?)
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