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Based on Current Situation=> Ted Cruz Will Be Knocked Out of Race By April 26th
GP ^ | 04/02/16 | Jim Hoft

Posted on 04/02/2016 11:20:48 PM PDT by Enlightened1

Based on current delegate counts and poll numbers Ted Cruz will be mathematically unable to reach the delegate count required for him to win the Republican Presidential nomination.  

By the end April it will be clear that Ted Cruz has no chance of reaching the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination.

Actually in only 3 weeks, on April 26th, it will be clear that Ted Cruz cannot win.

Rep Del Count 4-3

(chart from Google)

Currently Cruz has only 463 delegates. Even if Cruz wins Wisconsin, which is a state whose delegates are winner take most (WTM), he still will not have enough delegates to win the election by April 26th.

This is in part because New York is leaning heavily towards Trump who leads according to polls listed at Real Clear Politics by as much as 36%. New York has a Republican primary where the delegates are split proportionally. So even if Cruz wins a third of the delegates, it won’t be enough. This is because come April 26th, there are five Republican Presidential primaries and three of these are winner take all (WTA). All three of these states are in the East where polls show Trump leading (Maryland and Pennsylvania) or there is no polling available with the state highly likely leaning towards Trump (Delaware). Even if Cruz wins a third of the delegates in Rhode Island or Connecticut or any of these states, it will not be enough to keep him mathematically in the race.

 

(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Constitution/Conservatism; Crime/Corruption; Editorial; Front Page News; Philosophy; Politics/Elections; US: New York; US: Ohio; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 1stcanadiansenator; 2016election; april; buhbyerafael; cruz; cruzisobama; eh; election2016; gatewaypundit; globalistcruz; gohometeddy; hastalavista; jimhoft; johnkasich; knockedout; megatdsaproaches; newyork; notbreakingnews; noteligiblecruz; ohio; openboarderscruz; race; tedcruz; texansforcalgary; texas; thetrumppundit; trump; whycruzsteals
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To: okie01
I never have claimed to be "worried".

Unlike you and many others, I live in the real world and know how to count noses.

41 posted on 04/03/2016 12:31:41 AM PDT by nopardons
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To: MIA_eccl1212

LOL...true, whether he is still in the USA or goes home to Canada!


42 posted on 04/03/2016 12:32:55 AM PDT by nopardons
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To: nopardons

it’s all good man=it’s Saul Goodman. You obviously don’t watch Better Call Saul. It’s all good man. I truly don’t care which of them wins. I just want this crap over with so we can focus on the real battle.


43 posted on 04/03/2016 12:33:23 AM PDT by RC one
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To: wardaddy; nopardons

pardon me while I am crying....


44 posted on 04/03/2016 12:35:54 AM PDT by dila813
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To: RC one
Not only don't I watch it, I've never even heard of that show. :-)

Yes, I too would like the primaries to be over and the REAL fight on!

45 posted on 04/03/2016 12:37:48 AM PDT by nopardons
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To: RC one

http://www.nationalaffairs.com/publications/detail/a-republican-nomination-process

Here’s an article from 2013 discussing the Republican nomination process and how it changed in 1972 to what we have now. Where our candidates are bruised, bloody and broke even before they fight the real battle. (Hmm - they didn’t say bruised, bloody and broke in the article. Those are my words. Tagline material perhaps!)


46 posted on 04/03/2016 12:38:17 AM PDT by 21twelve (http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2185147/posts It is happening again.)
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To: dila813
Not funny nor clever and you don't mean it.

But never fear, you'll find out that I am correct and that you are an idiot soon enough; pet.

47 posted on 04/03/2016 12:39:36 AM PDT by nopardons
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To: Windflier

If my guy was “crushing” his rivals I sure wouldn’t spend hours on this board haranguing the few vocal supporters of his opponent with harassment, invective, appeals to surrender and sniping. What would be the point of all that? But the fact that so many of you can’t resist picking the scab tells me that you are nowhere near as confident as you act.


48 posted on 04/03/2016 12:46:05 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: nopardons
The truth for the Texans that still embrace the insanity of a "damn yankee" from Calgary.

Overall based on the numbers, because it is highly unlikely East Coast Republicans will vote for a Canadian- born Texan for President over a New York billionaire, April will be Cruz’s last hurrah. But on the bright side Ted, you will always be welcomed back home in Canada.

The remaining 49 states of the Republic are not Texas.

As they say in Marcellus and Utica, TAFT!
49 posted on 04/03/2016 12:47:59 AM PDT by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the Occupation Media. #2ndAmendmentMatters)
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To: PA Engineer
LOL...love your last sentence !

I keep posting the same thing, more or less.

N.Y., N.J., Pa., Ct., Delaware, and Maryland are NOT Cruz "friendly" states! R.I. is pretty much the bluest of the Blue states, even more so than N.Y. and there are NO polls, nor news at all from that state, so I'm not mentioning it with the ones I do know about.

And then there's California, which is NOT a winner take all state, so no matter HOW Trump does there, he SHALL still get delegates. So "count noses" and Trump gets MORE than the required 1237.

50 posted on 04/03/2016 12:55:15 AM PDT by nopardons
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To: dila813

So, Ted and Heidi are going to invite youto their backyard BBQ? Geesh! Let me share a true story with you - the lady from CA, can’t remember her name, but, she lost her only son to an illegal immigrant. She was a legal immigrant from Germany. Anyway, she went to speak in front of Congress about the problem. She said she met Crz, and he hugged her and asked for her contact information. He told her he’d keep in touch with her to see what he could do. He NEVER called - NEVER. No one did until Trump started contacting the families. Cruz doesn’t care about anyone but himself, power and prestige. If he cared about anyone, he sure wouldn’t have pulled a dirty, rotten trick on Dr. Carson either. Ben didn’t deserve that, but, did Cruz care? He** NO! Cruz makes my stomach turn, and it’s sickening to watch and listen o you cultists defend this piece of garbage.


51 posted on 04/03/2016 12:57:27 AM PDT by Catsrus (I callz 'em as I seez 'em)
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To: nopardons
the REAL dirt bag, liar, dirty trick lover, fraud, FAUX CHRISTIAN,

No kidding! At least Trump has publicly displayed his atheism and pro-abort positions! Unlike that dirty SOB Cruz who has always supported Christianity and the right of the innocent not to be murdered in the womb.

52 posted on 04/03/2016 12:58:27 AM PDT by Darth Reardon (Would I lie to you?)
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To: okie01

Oh my. You think they are going to give Cruz the nomination on the 2nd ballot? You are so naive - just so naive.


53 posted on 04/03/2016 12:59:03 AM PDT by Catsrus (I callz 'em as I seez 'em)
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To: okie01; All

Forgive me , if I can’t follow your logic of blocking the top guy in the RNC Primaries and that some how translates to victory in 2016?

First the 1237 rule can easily be changed by the Republican Establishment.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3416255/posts

Second, I don’t see how VOIDING the WILL the of the Republican voters will MAGICALLY translate into Republican Voters supporting the HIJACKING and the SELECTING the Establishment guy? What complete and utter nonsense!

I’m sorry but that sounds like Common Core math and WISHFUL THINKING at best.


54 posted on 04/03/2016 1:08:39 AM PDT by Enlightened1
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To: Darth Reardon

That’s right...lie about Trump and refuse to see what a damned FRAUD teddy is; that’s all that you and your ilk do. It would be funny, if it wasn’t so that to see posters here being so stupid.


55 posted on 04/03/2016 1:10:44 AM PDT by nopardons
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

#Tedliminated


56 posted on 04/03/2016 1:33:57 AM PDT by StAnDeliver ("Too bad your overhauled unicorn start-up failed, Ted.")
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To: Enlightened1

Ugghhh.. I can’t believe we have to deal with him for 3 more weeks. Can’t wait until he’s just a Lying, whining pundit like the other also rans.


57 posted on 04/03/2016 1:34:09 AM PDT by JerseyDvl (Hillary's a criminal.)
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To: StAnDeliver

DelegaTED. Hahahaha!


58 posted on 04/03/2016 1:35:53 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: Dagnabitt

That’s right, be a man...be a full strength supporter.


59 posted on 04/03/2016 1:46:11 AM PDT by jacknhoo (Luke 12:51. Think ye, that I am come to give peace on earth? I tell you, no; but separation.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

What do you care about our confidence, or lack thereof? You have free rein here to post article after article, attacking the Republican front runner, while posting positive articles about the GOP-e’s flunky agent.

How nice for you, that the owner’s heart is too big to kick you out the door, as you deserve. You’re doing the bidding of the establishment, and seem to be quite happy to do so.

I don’t know what sort of twisted logic you employed to justify what you’re doing. It must take something very powerful to make a man toss his integrity away like you have. Either that, or a sufficient number of zeroes.


60 posted on 04/03/2016 1:48:06 AM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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