Posted on 09/25/2015 8:30:13 PM PDT by Helicondelta
For the GOP field, the poll shows that new frontrunners have emerged: Donald Trump still leads with 26 percent of likely Republican primary voters casting their choice with the billionaire, but he's now followed by Carly Fiorina at 16 percent, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio at 9 percent, and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson with 8 percent. Jeb Bush has fallen to fifth in the pack with 7 percent, which ties him with John Kasich.
The favorability ratings for the GOP field also spell a very dismal outlook for Bush.
Fiorina tops Republican contenders when it comes to favorable public opinion: Sixty-two percent view the former tech executive favorably, followed by Ben Carson at 60 percent
(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...
I heard some scuttlebutt that Rove has a plan to put Bush on top by picking up the votes from candidates dropping out.
So I took the RCP avg for 9/17-9/22 and grouped candidates by outsider/establishment and progressive/conservative.
Outsiders Progs Cons
Trump 24.0 24.0
Carson 16.3 16.3
Fiorina 11.8 11.8
Cruz 6.5 6.5
Huckabee 3.5 3.5
Paul 2.3 2.3
Santorum 0.5 0.5
64.9 11.8 53.1
Establishment
Bush 9.8 9.8
Rubio 9.3 9.3
Christie 3.5 3.5
Kasich 3.0 3.0
Walker 0.5 0.5
Pataki 0.5 0.5
Jindal 0.3 0.3
Graham - -
26.9 26.6 0.3
91.8 38.4 53.4
You may disagree with my grouping, feel free to run the numbers with different groupings.
If voters move to similar candidates to the ones who drop out, Outsider candidates win with 64.9% and Conservative candidates win with 53.4%
Does anyone have another source for average national polls? It might be good to do this for the early primary states.
Stop it or you’re going to make her cry for another two weeks.
Where have all the rinos, long time passing?
Where have all the rinos gone, long time ago?
Where have all the rinos gone?
Gone for k street everyone.
Oh, when will they ever learn?
Oh, when will they ever learn
I have no idea what you’re taking about.
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