I think the cat is smarter.
Posted on 07/21/2015 7:12:54 AM PDT by iowamark
One analyst thinks former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) is the clear front-runner to win the Republican presidential nomination in 2016.
Greg Valliere, the chief political strategist at the Potomac Research Group, now pegs Bush's odds of winning the nomination at 50%. That's up from the 35% odds Potomac gave him in June.
"His campaign has stabilized after a terrible spring slump," Valliere wrote in a research note.
Bush has been leading most Republican polls of the race, but has faced an insurgency in recent weeks from real-estate magnate Donald Trump, who doubled Bush's support nationally in a poll released Monday by ABC and The Washington Post.
But Valliere, like most analysts, eventually expects Trump to flame out: He gives him a 0% chance of winning the GOP nomination. However, he thinks there's a 35% chance he'll run as a third-party candidate, which would make him the Republican Party's "worst nightmare."
"We've been (sort of) amused by this buffoon, but there was nothing funny about Trump's ugly demagoguery this weekend. He's toast," Valliere wrote, referring to Trump's remarks questioning Sen. John McCain's (R-Arizona) status as a "war hero."
Here are the full odds for Republicans, per Valliere:
Bush: 50%, up from 35% Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker: 25%, the same as last month US Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Florida): 20%, down from 30% last month Someone else: 5%
(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...
And not much more than 0% chance of winning the nomination. As I just commented in another response, whatever happens to Trump’s campaign, good or bad, he has exposed the obvious irrelevance of Jeb Bush.
I’d like Cruz to be the nominee. If not maybe Scott Walker.
Under no circumstances will I EVER vote for Jeb Bush, Rick Perry, Amnesty Graham, Marc Rubio, George Pataki, Rand Paul or Chris Christy.
He was just on Mike Gallagher’s show. After about 3 minutes, I switched over to Mark Simone. I’ve never heard a duller, more tired and bored candidate outside of maybe Dole and Bill Bennett and Jack Kemp.
Well of course. The GOPe fix is in. I am somewhat heartened by his abysmal poll numbers and he is a TERRIBLE candidate. But I’ve been around a long time. What the GOPe wants the GOPe gets. Anything else is just moving the furniture around a little.
And I still have yet to meet an actual Jeb Bush supporter.
How does Jeb improve his poll numbers given he already has 100% name recognition? And he is barely to the right of Hillary?
jebbush is the Leftist globalist, not so covert mole.
His job is to suck up the big money, use that money to attack other conservative candidates, and in the general, he will intentionally insult the conservative base to drive them to vote 3rd party or stay at home.
They are going to push, drag and shove this dead horse over the finish line faster than you can say President Hillary.
I’m wondering how Trump would do with a third party that’s established in all 50 states, with a well chosen VP, if it’s hillary vs Jeb. 40% of the vote would probably win a three-way in most states, and a majority of voters might be disgusted enough to cast that protest vote.
Which is exactly why the democrat/communist media/entertainment/academia propaganda complex wants to select him as the "straw man" candidate. Just like they did with McCain in 2008.
I've had a thought! The media and the 'pub puppetmasters and the outraged dwarfs in the race are so outraged about anyone speaking truth about McCain, maybe McCain should be their nominee!
I think the cat is smarter.
The support is from the people who donate millions.
I am waiting to see how the Iowa caucases go. Last time, Romney stole the election via fraud, which was only corrected after the Paul people filled a lot of complaints. I expect similar tricks this time around.
Simply put, you don’t matter, the donors do. They want open borders.
Nah, Jeb isn’t “serious” about running.
Bwahahahahahahahahahahahaha.......
Corporate board rooms and the club room of the monocle and top hat crowd tend to frown on anyone bringing in video cameras without authorization.
These numbers look pretty bogus to me. The conservative base hates Jeb and without us he does not have a path to the nomination.
The stage managers are in a panic.
The actors are taking over the play.
It has not been this fun since 1968.
There are seventeen candidates, sixteen of which are fighting for the conservative vote. I suppose he’s figuring that the conservatives will fight among themselves for so long that Bush will sneak in under the wire.
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