Posted on 07/21/2015 7:12:54 AM PDT by iowamark
One analyst thinks former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) is the clear front-runner to win the Republican presidential nomination in 2016.
Greg Valliere, the chief political strategist at the Potomac Research Group, now pegs Bush's odds of winning the nomination at 50%. That's up from the 35% odds Potomac gave him in June.
"His campaign has stabilized after a terrible spring slump," Valliere wrote in a research note.
Bush has been leading most Republican polls of the race, but has faced an insurgency in recent weeks from real-estate magnate Donald Trump, who doubled Bush's support nationally in a poll released Monday by ABC and The Washington Post.
But Valliere, like most analysts, eventually expects Trump to flame out: He gives him a 0% chance of winning the GOP nomination. However, he thinks there's a 35% chance he'll run as a third-party candidate, which would make him the Republican Party's "worst nightmare."
"We've been (sort of) amused by this buffoon, but there was nothing funny about Trump's ugly demagoguery this weekend. He's toast," Valliere wrote, referring to Trump's remarks questioning Sen. John McCain's (R-Arizona) status as a "war hero."
Here are the full odds for Republicans, per Valliere:
Bush: 50%, up from 35% Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker: 25%, the same as last month US Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Florida): 20%, down from 30% last month Someone else: 5%
(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...
Jeb has a 0% chance of winning the election.
Geez, how these guys want jebbie to be the guy....
Beat me to it.
¡YEB! is the designated loser
“Business Insider” and Probably “Potomac Research Group” are GOP-e/RINO “Front” outfits.
“Must nominate a RINO, must nominate a RINO, must nominate a....”
It might increase to 0.1% if the Democrats nominate Satan himself, not just a tool, to run at the head of their ticket.
Who’s Jeb Bush?
He's some far-left Republican.
Well, at least he's impartial. LOL!!!!
Still cant find any video of an actual person that is excited about JeBush.
Wow. You never see the same people speak even slightly similarly of their supposed political opposition. Find DC politicos ever speak ill of Obama, Polosi etc. you won’t even see them get close to that about nuts like Alan Grayson in Florida.
But some voters who like Trumps frank talk are crazies and nuts. And Trump himself is a buffoon. Maybe they need to do a little self reflection to figure out why they can’t win an election.
Where is all that support coming from? I personally don’t know of a single Republican who is for him, and several have told me that they will not vote for him if he gets the nomination.
This kind of reminds me of Junior High; new person moves in that the kids like and the “in” crowd get together and decides on who to exclude and isolate him/her.
But regardless of the future ups or downs of the Trump effort, he has certainly exposed the irrelevance of Jeb, as to what people really care about.
Methinks the "pundit" here, is engaging in the same wishful thinking that that segment of the media that dotes on Corporate CEOs, who embraced Jeb from the start, has been engaged in.
Do not get me wrong. I have nothing against CEO's, as long as they do not put the next three or four quarters' "bottom lines," ahead of the American future.
William Flax
Let me guess...another Bushie who has eaten heartily at the Bush fund raising trough.
I don't know about that. Jeb isn't even "the lesser of two evils" in that case, because he'd be taking the nomination away from someone who might actually care about the US.
I’ve noticed the groundswell of enthusiasm for him . . . on the part of Democrats.
Oh yes, apparently this guy is a Tea Party hater.
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