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U.S.-built Ebola treatment centers in Liberia are nearly empty as outbreak fades
The Washington Post ^ | 18 Jan 2015 | Kevin Sieff

Posted on 01/18/2015 6:19:14 PM PST by Theoria

Near the hillside shelter where dozens of men and women died of Ebola, a row of green U.S. military tents sit atop a vast expanse of imported gravel. The generators hum; chlorinated water churns in brand-new containers; surveillance cameras send a live feed to a large-screen television.

There’s only one thing missing from this state-of-the-art Ebola treatment center: Ebola patients.

The U.S. military sent about 3,000 troops to West Africa to build centers like this one in recent months. They were intended as a crucial safeguard against an epidemic that flared in unpredictable, deadly waves. But as the outbreak fades in Liberia, it has become clear that the disease had already drastically subsided before the first American centers were completed. Several of the U.S.-built units haven’t seen a single patient infected with Ebola.

It now appears that the alarming epidemiological predictions that in large part prompted the U.S. aid effort here were far too bleak. Although future flare-ups of the disease are possible, the near-empty Ebola centers tell the story of an aggressive American military and civilian response that occurred too late to help the bulk of the more than 8,300 Liberians who became infected. Last week, even as international aid organizations built yet more Ebola centers, there was an average of less than one new case reported in Liberia per day.

“If they had been built when we needed them, it wouldn’t have been too much,” said Moses Massaquoi, the Liberian government’s chairman for Ebola case management. “But they were too late.”

It was impossible to predict the decline in the Ebola caseload last September, when the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention suggested a worst-case scenario of 1.4 million victims in West Africa.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Government
KEYWORDS: africa; ebola; epidemic; liberia; ohreally; outbreak; washpo; westafrica
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1 posted on 01/18/2015 6:19:14 PM PST by Theoria
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To: Theoria

As usual, Obama is too late to accomplish anything.


2 posted on 01/18/2015 6:24:23 PM PST by Blood of Tyrants (Good Muslims, like good Nazis or good liberals, are terrible human beings.)
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To: Theoria

It’s a shame. Not the my opinion means anything to our feckless leader, but sending our troops was the only decision of his in 7 years that I agreed with.

Too bad thousands died as he fiddled. He will meet them again as they line his motorcade to hell.


3 posted on 01/18/2015 6:29:31 PM PST by Vermont Lt (Ebola: Death is a lagging indicator.)
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To: Theoria
Prediction #1: No money will be allocated to maintain these buildings. They will fall apart and be useless within 1 year.

Prediction #2: There will be another Ebola outbreak in 2 years, and the US will rush to create entirely new structures to treat the patients.

Prediction #3: The new structures will be completed and ready to serve patients shortly after the next outbreak ends.

4 posted on 01/18/2015 6:31:59 PM PST by ClearCase_guy (Malort, turning taste-buds into taste-foes for generations.)
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To: ClearCase_guy

Id love to see a series on TV called Earth after the United States of America


5 posted on 01/18/2015 6:34:30 PM PST by al baby (Hi Mom)
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To: Theoria

I’ll have to go check the old Ebola threads, but I’m pretty sure that almost all of the troops are dead, and they brought back Ebola to America which wiped out between 50% and 90% of our American population.

Or something.


6 posted on 01/18/2015 6:35:28 PM PST by ansel12 (Civilization, Crusade against the Mohammedan Death Cult.)
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To: Theoria

They are probably empty because Ebolo snuck those infected into the US.


7 posted on 01/18/2015 6:36:30 PM PST by RW_Whacko
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To: Blood of Tyrants

Personally I’d rather hear news like this rather than...

-100th US Soldier infected with Ebola

-US Treatment centers overrun as Ebola cases increase exponentially

-US Armed forces unable to contain outbreak in their own ranks

Or other similar headlines. Don’t get me wrong, I’d rather they not have gone at all. But this is truly the best result.

I’m sure Obama is saddened by this news. Truly.


8 posted on 01/18/2015 6:38:37 PM PST by FourtySeven (47)
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To: FourtySeven

Yep, this is great news, not bad news.


9 posted on 01/18/2015 6:40:10 PM PST by ansel12 (Civilization, Crusade against the Mohammedan Death Cult.)
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To: Theoria

This article does not square with the numbers being reported by WHO for the three West African countries where the Ebola outbreak is most prevalent.

http://apps.who.int/gho/data/view.ebola-sitrep.ebola-summary-latest?lang=en

Here are the numbers:

Date Cases Deaths
08/29/14 3,052 1,546
09/05/14 3,944 2,097
09/08/14 4,269 2,288
09/16/14 4,963 2,453
09/18/14 5,335 2,622
09/22/14 5,843 2,803
09/24/14 6,242 2,909
09/26/14 6,553 3,083
10/01/14 7,157 3,330
10/03/14 7,470 3,431
10/08/14 8,011 3,857
10/10/14 8,376 4,024
10/15/14 8,937 4,484
10/17/14 9,191 4,546
10/22/14 9,911 4,868
10/25/14 10,114 4,912
11/07/14 13,241 4,950
11/12/14 14,068 5,147
11/14/14 14,383 5,165
11/19/14 15,113 5,406
11/21/14 15,319 5,444
11/26/14 15,901 5,674
12/01/14 16,899 5,987
12/02/14 17,111 6,055
12/04/14 17,256 6,113
12/05/14 17,517 6,187
12/08/14 17,800 6,331
12/10/14 17,908 6,373
12/11/14 18,118 6,533
12/12/14 18,188 6,583
12/15/14 18,464 6,841
12/17/14 18,569 6,900
12/19/14 19,031 7,373
12/22/14 19,340 7,518
12/23/14 19,431 7,565
12/24/14 19,463 7,573
12/26/14 19,695 7,693
12/29/14 20,081 7,842
12/30/14 20,129 7,879
12/31/14 20,171 7,890
01/02/15 20,381 7,989
01/05/15 20,656 8,153
01/06/15 20,712 8,220
01/08/15 20,972 8,259
01/09/15 21,086 8,289
01/12/15 21,171 8,371
01/14/15 21,261 8,414
01/15/15 21,329 8,444
01/16/15 21,373 8,468

These numbers show continued exponential growth. Granted, the rate of increase has slowed in relationship to data posted from preceding months, but it has NOT stopped.

The current trendline based on the past 30 days of data shows that the case count is growing by just under five tenths of one percent per day. That may not seem like much, but it means about 50 to 100 new cases per day. I estimate the current count of persons with active infections to be in the neighborhood of more than one thousand.

Someone is lying - either The Washington Post or WHO.

I do NOT believe The Washington Post.


10 posted on 01/18/2015 6:46:46 PM PST by TruthInThoughtWordAndDeed (Yahuah Yahusha)
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To: TruthInThoughtWordAndDeed

Its possible that most of the new cases being reported are in Sierra Leone or Guinea, and that the outbreak in Monrovia has indeed burned itself out.

The real danger is still leakage to another location.


11 posted on 01/18/2015 6:51:42 PM PST by buwaya
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To: Theoria

Obama has fought and defeated Ebola , D’oh


12 posted on 01/18/2015 7:00:20 PM PST by molson209 (Blank)
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To: buwaya

The current data show that Liberia (where Monrovia is located) is contributing about one third of the new cases.

Liberia has not burned out the Ebola virus. As a matter of fact, with a population of just over four (4) million, the Ebola virus has only infected about two tenths of one percent of its population. There are plenty of bodies available for the Ebola virus to infect. I do not expect the increase in the case count to taper off until a significantly larger number of cases have occurred.


13 posted on 01/18/2015 7:05:54 PM PST by TruthInThoughtWordAndDeed (Yahuah Yahusha)
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To: TruthInThoughtWordAndDeed

Wait, are you saying the Messiah didn’t cure Ebola? Blaspheme!


14 posted on 01/18/2015 7:20:09 PM PST by MaxMax (Pay Attention and you'll be pissed off too! FIRE BOEHNER, NOW!)
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To: Theoria; neverdem; ProtectOurFreedom; Mother Abigail; EBH; vetvetdoug; Smokin' Joe; Global2010; ...
Good news!

Bring Out Your Dead

Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.

The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.

So far the false positive rate is 100%.

At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.

*sigh* Such is life, and death...

15 posted on 01/18/2015 7:26:42 PM PST by null and void (The aggregate effect of competitive capitalism is indistinguishable from magic)
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To: Theoria

Wuh?

You mean I was right?

We wouldn’t be talking about Ebola in 2015 because segmentation, Quarantine and something called hydration actually work?

And it’s not airborne and requires a specific transmission method?

What do I know?(rhet)

And to think, Freepers were calling me a fool.


16 posted on 01/18/2015 7:36:50 PM PST by Vendome (Don't take life so seriously-you won't live through it anyway-Enjoy Yourself ala Louis Prima)
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To: Theoria

Glad to hear it.


17 posted on 01/18/2015 7:42:31 PM PST by steve86 (Prophecies of Maelmhaedhoc OÂ’Morgair (Latin form: Malachy))
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To: 2ndreconmarine; Fitzcarraldo; Covenantor; Mother Abigail; EBH; Dog Gone; ...
Ping...

A link to this thread has been posted on the Ebola Surveillance Thread

18 posted on 01/18/2015 7:56:37 PM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: TruthInThoughtWordAndDeed
U.S.-built Ebola treatment centers in Liberia are nearly empty as outbreak fades

Yes, and Al Quaeda has been decimated and the deficit cut in half.

19 posted on 01/18/2015 8:01:22 PM PST by The_Media_never_lie (The media must be defeated any way it can be done.)
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To: TruthInThoughtWordAndDeed
These numbers show continued exponential growth.

The numbers appear to be cumulative totals, beacuse the differences are small, but always positive. The cases and deaths seem to have been growing at a roughly constant, but slowly diminishing rate. I see 60 deaths a day in early September diminishing to 40 then 20 or 30 in early January. This is far from "exponential" but it doesn't give me warm fuzzies.

20 posted on 01/18/2015 8:52:11 PM PST by dr_lew
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