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America's premiere political guru predicts Romney to win comfortably
American Thinker ^ | 11/03/2012 | Rick Moran

Posted on 11/03/2012 7:53:13 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

No one doubts Michael Barone's credentials; the guy has established himself as the pre-eminent political nuts and bolts expert in the country.

If you watch Barone on election night, you will realize he knows the politics of America down to the key individual counties in each state. His encyclopedic mind recognizes when a state's vote is trending toward one candidate or another early on, and while he is carefully not to predict a winner, he leaves the viewer with little doubt as to who is in trouble and who isn't.

But it makes me wonder when he reels off a prediction like this:

*****

Fundamentals usually prevail in American elections. That's bad news for Barack Obama. True, Americans want to think well of their presidents and many think it would be bad if Americans were perceived as rejecting the first black president.

But it's also true that most voters oppose Obama's major policies and consider unsatisfactory the very sluggish economic recovery -- Friday's jobs report showed an unemployment uptick.

Also, both national and target state polls show that independents, voters who don't identify themselves as Democrats or Republicans, break for Romney.

That might not matter if Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 39 to 32 percent, as they did in the 2008 exit poll. But just about every indicator suggests that Republicans are more enthusiastic about voting -- and about their candidate -- than they were in 2008, and Democrats are less so.

That's been apparent in early or absentee voting, in which Democrats trail their 2008 numbers in target states Virginia, Ohio, Iowa and Nevada.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Colorado; US: Florida; US: Indiana; US: Iowa; US: New Hampshire; US: North Carolina; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania; US: Virginia; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2012predictions; 2012swingstates; barone; colorado; elections; florida; indiana; iowa; michaelbarone; newhampshire; northcarolina; ohio; pennsylvania; romney; virginia; wisconsin
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To: Baynative
For those who care to follow up on the post above:

Attorney General's Office in North Carolina CONTACT


Contact NCDOJ www.ncdoj.gov

21 posted on 11/03/2012 8:44:28 AM PDT by Baynative
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

Yes. You are right about that.


22 posted on 11/03/2012 8:44:33 AM PDT by left that other site (Worry is the Darkroom that Develops Negatives.)
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To: ConservativeMind

Thank You.

:-)


23 posted on 11/03/2012 8:49:26 AM PDT by left that other site (Worry is the Darkroom that Develops Negatives.)
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To: Baynative

I sent the image(s) to some friends of mine in NC to see if they can stir the muck a bit ;-)


24 posted on 11/03/2012 8:53:17 AM PDT by rockrr (Everything is different now...)
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To: SeekAndFind

Ohio Touch Screen Changes Romney Votes into Obama Votes

Ohio is one of the most hotly contested states in the nation for this year’s presidential election. Every vote matters, and every vote that gets changed by acts of fraud or computer glitch is a reason for concern. Just look at what’s happening at one Ohio voting location.

As reported by the Marion Star, voting problems sprung up with the touch screen voting machines. When Mitt Romney was selected, Barack Obama was highlighted instead.

Joan Stevens was one of several early voters at the polls on Monday. But when Stevens tried to cast her ballot for president, she noticed a problem.

Upon selecting “Mitt Romney” on the electronic touch screen, Barack Obama’s name lit up.

It took Stevens three tries before her selection was accurately recorded.

“You want to vote for who you want to vote for, and when you can’t it’s irritating,” Stevens said.

http://illinoisteaparty.net/2012/11/02/ohio-and-illinois-touch-screen-changes-romney-votes-into-obama-votes/


25 posted on 11/03/2012 8:59:43 AM PDT by KeyLargo
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To: Izzy Dunne

Everyone I know who mentions “riots if 0 loses” follows it up with “Bring it!”


26 posted on 11/03/2012 9:05:09 AM PDT by Jane Long (Soli Deo Gloria!)
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

“Obama has thrown them under the bus, and....they don’t know it!!!”

I think they do know it, and airing that unambitious young black boy fearing that he will be turned out to pick crops is proof that Obama and his media seem to know they are losing their stranglehold on the hearts & minds of black America. I work with many blacks who voted for Obama that are very unhappy.


27 posted on 11/03/2012 9:06:20 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: Jane Long

There will be no riots if Obama loses; urban blacks have been safely quarantined, and the rest of the country would be content to let them just kill each other on the welfare reservations. It is already happening, and the rest of America already doesn’t care.


28 posted on 11/03/2012 9:09:43 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: Baynative
If this “professor” thinks voter fraud is saving democracy then he needs a new Job
29 posted on 11/03/2012 9:12:05 AM PDT by RedMonqey (Men who will not suffer to self govern, will suffer under the governance of lesser men.)
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To: SpaceBar

Full Monty on the Marxism!!

Comrade! You have nothing to lose but your chains!!


30 posted on 11/03/2012 9:23:13 AM PDT by ecomcon
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To: left that other site

I think blaming the RNC.for McCain is a bit of a dodge. He won the primary and caucus system. GOP primary voters, and a few Dems crossing over, gave him the delegates he needed to win.

Despite some disagreement with the system I saw no movement on FR too stay involved and fix it. Essentially the GOP belongs to conservative Americans. FR should take the lead in fixing the RNC if its broken. Frankly the Ron Paul voters are the only ones who seemed to.get this ac/dc invest in the process in off years.


31 posted on 11/03/2012 9:28:46 AM PDT by Jack Black ( Whatever is left of American patriotism is now identical with counter-revolution.)
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To: left that other site

I think blaming the RNC.for McCain is a bit of a dodge. He won the primary and caucus system. GOP primary voters, and a few Dems crossing over, gave him the delegates he needed to win.

Despite some disagreement with the system I saw no movement on FR too stay involved and fix it. Essentially the GOP belongs to conservative Americans. FR should take the lead in fixing the RNC if its broken. Frankly the Ron Paul voters are the only ones who seemed to.get this ac/dc invest in the process in off years.


32 posted on 11/03/2012 9:29:06 AM PDT by Jack Black ( Whatever is left of American patriotism is now identical with counter-revolution.)
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To: left that other site

I think blaming the RNC.for McCain is a bit of a dodge. He won the primary and caucus system. GOP primary voters, and a few Dems crossing over, gave him the delegates he needed to win.

Despite some disagreement with the system I saw no movement on FR too stay involved and fix it. Essentially the GOP belongs to conservative Americans. FR should take the lead in fixing the RNC if its broken. Frankly the Ron Paul voters are the only ones who seemed to.get this ac/dc invest in the process in off years.


33 posted on 11/03/2012 9:29:24 AM PDT by Jack Black ( Whatever is left of American patriotism is now identical with counter-revolution.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Strong, intelligent black conservatives like Herman Cain, Allen West and Mia Love are hated by liberals because Cain, West and Love make liberal arguments irrelevant.


34 posted on 11/03/2012 9:40:00 AM PDT by tlp2001 (Capitalism is based on human strength, communism is based on human weakness)
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To: left that other site

Any one with a D would have won in 2008. People got tired of 8 years of Republican rule and wanted a change.

But this Administration is even worse than Jimmy Carter’s and the country can’t take four more years of it.

Ours is famously a nation of “firsts.” In 2008, we elected our first black President. This year the first Mormon will be elected President.


35 posted on 11/03/2012 9:47:11 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: ontap

Barone is the ultimate political prognosticator. He litterally wrote the book that all the other guys read. And her re-writes it every two years. That book is called The Almanac of American Politics. Every other pundit,.news and polling organization depends on his deep knowledge.

He speaks softly and carries a big stick. He is definately a conservative, as evidenced by his occasional columns on topics other than elections in US News and World Report.

He is the ultimate “decision desk” resource, because he knows all the districts history and demographics.

Unlike many pundits he often doesn’t make predictions. My theory iscat he is off-put by Nate Silver.


36 posted on 11/03/2012 9:47:21 AM PDT by Jack Black ( Whatever is left of American patriotism is now identical with counter-revolution.)
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To: ontap

Barone is the ultimate political prognosticator. He litterally wrote the book that all the other guys read. And her re-writes it every two years. That book is called The Almanac of American Politics. Every other pundit,.news and polling organization depends on his deep knowledge.

He speaks softly and carries a big stick. He is definately a conservative, as evidenced by his occasional columns on topics other than elections in US News and World Report.

He is the ultimate “decision desk” resource, because he knows all the districts history and demographics.

Unlike many pundits he often doesn’t make predictions. My theory iscat he is off-put by Nate Silver.


37 posted on 11/03/2012 9:47:36 AM PDT by Jack Black ( Whatever is left of American patriotism is now identical with counter-revolution.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Today, in a REPUBLICAN AREA, the lines were around the building 3 times...

I already voted, R all the way down...

38 posted on 11/03/2012 9:49:38 AM PDT by ExCTCitizen (Yes, Obama, I had help with my business. MY CUSTOMERS!)
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To: SeekAndFind

I just think today with changes in technology, it’s very difficult to get an accurate poll, I think polls are going to be very inaccurate from now on, to the point where they will become useless.


39 posted on 11/03/2012 9:50:11 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: SpaceBar

Ann Compton has been having Obama orgasms ever since he came on the scene and she joined the rest of the MSM having “collective” orgasms.


40 posted on 11/03/2012 9:51:33 AM PDT by Jukeman (God help us for we are deep in trouble.)
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