Wow...no kidding, CU profs haul bums off the Pearl Street Mall to polling places, so this is kinda hugh...
Don’t tell those DUmmies who are shaking their piggy-banks to get more money to send to Obummer!
Any idea what kind of track record this Univ has in polling ?
Now that polling shows momentum for Romney in Ohio and Iowa, my weighted method has it as a 269 tie today. The direction of movement is toward Romney as about a month ago it had things 320 - 218 the other way. One caveat: since I am pessimistic about Romney, he is quite possible further ahead already.
All things being equal (under normal circumstances) if the DNC/ Obama show couldn’t fill the Panther’s Stadium (Bank of America Stadium for all of you who feel the need to correct everybody) then how the hell is he going to pull off a win in Nov? I know, I know... with Marxist’s, all things are possible (sorry God)...
do they have a link to past election predictions?
The CU thing is a computer program, not a polling result. It basically looks at the economy of past election years and compares them to this year and extrapolates the results.
The problem I have with their theory is that FDR was re-elected in 1936 and 1940 despite a crappy economy.
BIGOTS!!! They are BIGOTS I tell you!!!!! Obama is the ONE. He DESERVES to win!!!!!
(Sarcasm)
Just for reference- (Intrade)
Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012
Event: 2012 Presidential Election Winner (Individual)
57.9%
CHANCE
Mitt Romney to be elected President in 2012
Event: 2012 Presidential Election Winner (Individual)
41.9%
CHANCE
I’m personally prejudiced toward the University model.
MF
What gives me pause is this model shows Romney taking Pennsylvania. Short of a miracle, I don`t see any way that happens. For Presidential elections, it`s pretty firmly locked down for the dems.
Hey, maybe here in California, we’ll hold Obama under 65%!!