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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: nutmeg

For those interested, Neil C has good coverage on FBN.


281 posted on 01/03/2012 5:33:07 PM PST by seekthetruth (I want a Commander In Chief who honors and supports our Military!)
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To: RedMDer

Are ‘moderates’ the lukewarm that Jesus vomits from His mouth in Revelation 3? Hmmm...


282 posted on 01/03/2012 5:33:34 PM PST by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: Free Vulcan
Santorum is at just under 45,000 FB fans as of now. He was at 26,000 last week. It will be interesting to see where he gets to by tomorrow.



Santorum for President ping. Let me know if you want on or off the list.

Top 10 Reasons why Conservatives should support Santorum
283 posted on 01/03/2012 5:34:19 PM PST by Antoninus (Defeat Romney--Defeat Obama.)
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To: Deo volente

My choices:

1) Perry
2) Santorum
3) Newt
4) Bachman
5) Huntsman
6) Paul
7) n/a


284 posted on 01/03/2012 5:34:19 PM PST by Kenny
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To: Free Vulcan

CNN Live Results link
http://www.cnn.com/POLITICS/

Nothing showing yet.


285 posted on 01/03/2012 5:35:03 PM PST by TomGuy
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To: McGruff

” I am so sick of the 24 hour news programs hype that I stopped watching them. “ <<<

I am using CSPAN coverage starting out tonight. VERY informative and you get to see the three minute speeches for the candidate before the ballots are passed.

The HYPE is getting to all of us.


286 posted on 01/03/2012 5:35:34 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: Deo volente

I think Paul takes it due to Dem crossovers.


287 posted on 01/03/2012 5:35:55 PM PST by ez (When you're a hammer, everything looks like a nail. | FR Class of '98 |)
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To: who knows what evil?
Are ‘moderates’ the lukewarm that Jesus vomits from His mouth in Revelation 3? Hmmm...

Of course moderates would agree and disagree with that statement. You couldn't ask them. :-)

288 posted on 01/03/2012 5:38:43 PM PST by writer33 (Mark Levin Is The Constitutional Engine Of Conservatism)
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To: Art in Idaho

Hear! Hear! Beautiful picture as well.


289 posted on 01/03/2012 5:39:13 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: ez

I suspect the Paul phenom is due to DemocRATs doing their own “Operation Chaos”


290 posted on 01/03/2012 5:39:13 PM PST by COBOL2Java (Virginia GOP: Romney's favorite butt boys)
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To: Free Vulcan

CBS News Break just reported that the IA race appears to be among Romney, Paul and Santorum, based on internal data.

[No real votes yet.]


291 posted on 01/03/2012 5:39:31 PM PST by TomGuy
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To: Kenny

Move over to CSPAN and avoid the volatility and hype.


292 posted on 01/03/2012 5:39:35 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: ez

I hope Ron Paul wins it.

It would make Iowa a joke and it would be a slap in the face to Mitty.


293 posted on 01/03/2012 5:40:29 PM PST by Reagan69 (I supported Sarah Palin and all I got was a lousy DVD !)
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To: RitaOK

I want to boycott FOX tonight. How’s that for resisting the Romney Regime at work?


294 posted on 01/03/2012 5:42:03 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: Art in Idaho

How I wish.......


295 posted on 01/03/2012 5:42:03 PM PST by luvie (This tagline reserved for a hero.......)
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To: Antoninus

Tonight Iowa completes its slow march toward irrelevance.


296 posted on 01/03/2012 5:42:24 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter
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To: ez
I think Paul takes it due to Dem crossovers.

Operation Chaos.

297 posted on 01/03/2012 5:42:37 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: TomGuy

I’m new to the thread but doesn’t the actual voting not start until 8 local?


298 posted on 01/03/2012 5:42:37 PM PST by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west)?)
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To: Reagan69

I agree. Pulling for Paul in this one.


299 posted on 01/03/2012 5:42:37 PM PST by wolfman23601
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To: ez
I think Paul takes it due to Dem crossovers.

I think Paul's support is mainly Democrats. If he ran as an independent, he would actually help the Republicans.

300 posted on 01/03/2012 5:42:55 PM PST by Praxeologue
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