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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: RitaOK

Thanks, Rita


1,781 posted on 01/03/2012 10:17:11 PM PST by berdie
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To: BenKenobi

Which network just called it for Santorum??


1,782 posted on 01/03/2012 10:17:26 PM PST by CedarDave
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To: thouworm

Looks like Santorum is a good economist!


1,783 posted on 01/03/2012 10:17:34 PM PST by pollywog ("O Thou who changest not, abide with me.".......)
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To: tennmountainman

Ok. Lets say Newt got 100,000 votes which represent 13%


You split that 100,000 in half for your sex split and it’s still 13% Men and 13% women.


1,784 posted on 01/03/2012 10:18:01 PM PST by TwoSwords
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To: STARWISE
Gingrich has new aggressive stance against Romney Associated Press By SHANNON McCAFFREY | AP – 12 mins ago

Excellent. I hope he carpet bombs Romney with exposes' about his true record. He won't even need to go negative. Just tell the documented facts. That oughta do it.

1,785 posted on 01/03/2012 10:18:10 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: CedarDave

I’m using my force powers.


1,786 posted on 01/03/2012 10:18:16 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: bigbob

You could be square corner correct. Maybe backers will back and family will encourage a run at South Carolina. I thought very much he would hang for South Carolina for sure, so something was up and a threshold must have been set for Iowa, by maybe the backers. I have no idea. He is just so “up” and energetic that when he is subdued, something is seriously up. I hope you’re right and he two-steps all over South Carolina. It just didn’t sound like it.


1,787 posted on 01/03/2012 10:18:34 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: bigbob

Santorum gave the speech of the season tonight. It blew Mitt’s stump speech out of the park.

Pray for America


1,788 posted on 01/03/2012 10:18:34 PM PST by bray (Romney is the Establishment)
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To: STARWISE

Watch out Romney!


1,789 posted on 01/03/2012 10:18:34 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: ICCtheWay
The 14th Amendment says all persons born in the US are natural born citizens. Rubio was born in the U.S. Therefore he is a Natural Born Citizen.

Constitutional Law is based on what the Constitution says. Not on what you wish it says or your own private interpretation of what it says.

1,790 posted on 01/03/2012 10:18:41 PM PST by HapaxLegamenon
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To: BenKenobi

The media knives are already out and aimed towards Santorum.

They’re going to savage him because he hates the idea of killing babies.
It’s ALWAYS about abortion with these people.


1,791 posted on 01/03/2012 10:19:27 PM PST by Deo volente (God willing, America will survive this Obamination.)
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To: naxetevitan

I hope that you and BigBob are right. Perry needs to stay.


1,792 posted on 01/03/2012 10:19:36 PM PST by World'sGoneInsane (We Can Take OUR Country Back--Perry 2012)
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To: Deo volente

Oh my gosh! How sweet is that!!


1,793 posted on 01/03/2012 10:19:53 PM PST by caww
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To: BenKenobi
FoxNews still rattling on about that "pickup truck" that apparently is lost in the backroads of Iowa, hauling the last 500 votes that will decide this race.

At any rate, whether or not the slim lead flips to Romney or stays with Santorum, Santorum is the big winner tonight and has stolen the spotlight from Romney - who felt he was finally about to get it shined on him for a change.

1,794 posted on 01/03/2012 10:20:00 PM PST by SamAdams76 (I am 34 days away from outliving Marty Feldman)
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To: pollywog

$113 per vote against $1.65.... he like me probably buys the Mean Green Cleaner at the Dollar Store... right on! Wonder which candidate even relates....???


1,795 posted on 01/03/2012 10:20:39 PM PST by antceecee (Bless us Father.. have mercy on us and protect us from evil.)
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To: Deo volente

Well, he’s earned my endorsement after tonight.

I am still going to write in Cain because I’ll be damned if thug Axelrod gets to pick my candidate for me.


1,796 posted on 01/03/2012 10:21:10 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: antceecee; STARWISE

Also odd that he just gave a canned stump speech filled with rhetoric.

In fact, Megan Kelly just said that she heard Romney speak earlier today, and she said it was nearly WORD for WORD the SAME SPEECH he gave earlier today.

How odd and rather disrespectful to all those people in that room who have hung around there for hours waiting for him to appear.


1,797 posted on 01/03/2012 10:21:14 PM PST by thouworm (.)
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To: HapaxLegamenon

Santorum/Rubio 2012! I would LOVE THAT...but think that Rubio has rejected a run for the WH and a VP position, right?


1,798 posted on 01/03/2012 10:21:20 PM PST by pollywog ("O Thou who changest not, abide with me.".......)
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To: baysider
If Perry withdraws from the race, it will be America’s loss. He would be a credit to the office of the President of the United States.

I agree. Be sure to tune in Rush tomorrow. Rather later today since it is 1:10AM here in FL. If Rush were to endorse I am sure it would be Perry, but of course, Rush does not endorse Primary candidates.
1,799 posted on 01/03/2012 10:21:47 PM PST by seekthetruth (I want a Commander In Chief who honors and supports our Military!)
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To: CedarDave
Laugh of the evening:

Michele Bachmann said she's soldiering on, giving no indication that she would bail on her Republican presidential campaign after a last-place showing in the contested Iowa caucuses, while Rick Perry, who finished just ahead of her in fifth, said he's going back to Texas to "determine whether there is a path forward."

"I believe I am the best conservative who can and who will beat Barack Obama in 2012," Bachmann told supporters late Tuesday night following projections that she would be last in the six-way contest. Jon Huntsman decided not to compete in Iowa.

Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/01/03/campaign-manager-bachmann-could-call-it-quits/

Or should I say "delusion of the evening."
1,800 posted on 01/03/2012 10:22:21 PM PST by CedarDave
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