Perry dominates in South Carolina (PPP Poll has Perry up by 23 pts.)

Public Policy Polling ^ | 8/30/11 | PPP

[CA Conservative]

Raleigh, N.C. – If there was any question that Rick Perry is the new Republican presidential frontrunner before now, PPP’s latest poll of South Carolina confirms it. A week ago, PPP showed Perry jumping to a narrow lead in first-caucus Iowa. Now, he has a double-digit lead in what will likely be the third-voting state. Perry tops with 36% to Mitt Romney’s 16%, Michele Bachmann’s 13%, Herman Cain’s 9%, Newt Gingrich’s 8%, Ron Paul’s 5%, Rick Santorum’s 4%, and Jon Huntsman’s 2%. This is a sea change from when PPP last polled the race in June, with Perry not included. Romney led with 30% to Cain’s and Gingrich’s 15%, Bachmann’s 13%, and Paul’s 10%.

If Sarah Palin joins the fray, it has no impact on Perry’s dominance but a lot on Bachmann’s standing. Palin would place third at 10% behind Perry still at 36%, Romney at 13%, followed by Cain’s 9%, and Bachmann and Gingrich tied at 7%.

[CA Conservative]

Yes, this is PPP, a Dem outfit, but it seems to follow the trend established by the Magellan Strategies poll from last week.

[CA Conservative]

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[ilovesarah2012]

For nearly three decades, South Carolina has been a make-or-break state for Republican presidential candidates. None has become the national nominee without a victory – often a decisive one – in this first-in-the-South primary.

http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0802/p01s02-uspo.html

[ScottinVA]

Call it a day, Mittens. Your support stops at New Hampshire, Michigan and maybe Utah.

[xzins]

If Perry wins the Iowa caucuses and then the South Carolina primary, it's pretty much a snowball going downhill.

The latest about Palin's Sept 2 or 3 entry into the race: she says Rove doesn't know what he's talking about. She's still thinking about it.

[Huck]

Good news if true. The sooner Bachmann is out the better. The same goes without saying for Romney, but I suppose he’ll stick around for a bit after winning NH and losing SC. But if Perry beats Bachmann in IA and SC, she will hopefully withdraw from her silly campaign.

[ScottinVA]

Yes, this is PPP, a Dem outfit

They do tend to be in the ballpark... closer to the truth than the MSM polls are.

[DoughtyOne]

Now the died in the wool “Conservatives” here are proud to spout Democrat polls in support of their candidate. Wow.

Don’t forget folks, he’s not a RINO even if his people are perfectly comfortable tapping Democrat polls to support him.

[ScottinVA]

She's still thinking about it.

More so, she's probably thinking about how to word her "thanks, but no thanks" address. I predict she'll endorse Perry.

[Lazlo in PA]

SC has a far more bigger impact on GOP elections than NH. Crushing Mittens this hard is encouraging. It is fun to watch the Mittens fade.

[subterfuge]

Yep. The Perry Pimps are busy today again I see.

[ScottinVA]

If Perry wins the Iowa caucuses and then the South Carolina primary, it's pretty much a snowball going downhil

I strongly agree. Looks to me like Perry has the "Big Mo."

[DoughtyOne]

They’ve turned this into RINO central USA.

We have them openly hoping Bachmann will pull out.

THIS is what Free Republic was created for?

[Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus]

It’s a CONSPIRACY!!!!!!!

[rintense]

Yep. Amazing, isn’t it.

[JerseyDvl]

From what I have seen thus far, Mitt acts entitled to the nomination and seems to believe “he is next”. Mitt makes it easy for me to support Perry if Palin doesn’t run.

[Artemis Webb]

So what you are saying is that who does the poll is more important than the polls accuracy?

[CA Conservative]

Don’t forget folks, he’s not a RINO even if his people are perfectly comfortable tapping Democrat polls to support him.

Well, since all of the polls to come out lately, regardless of their political leaning, are showing large Perry leads, it is hard to dismiss them as being somehow "tainted" because this one comes from a Dem polling outfit. Now, if polling groups like Gallup and Rasmussen were showing Perry trailing badly, and we were touting a PPP poll that showed Perry in the lead, you might have a point. As it is, it just sounds like sour grapes because your candidate is stuck at around 10%.

I actually find it interesting that Perry's number stays at 36% whether Palin is included or not. It appears that Palin pulls from Romney and Bachmann, but not from Perry, at least in this poll. Very interesting...

[Lazlo in PA]

PPP surveyed 750 usual South Carolina Republican primary voters from August 25th to 28th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.6%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republican candidates.

I agree to not trust any polls. That is why I always read the methodology and sample. I can't find any issues here and it seems to be in line with other polling on the subject. If you also read through the questions, they are straight forward. I don't see were the bias is if they are promoting Perry for some reason.